seth lugo

We continue our look into the Mets top prospects with some promising position players and a starter that has stepped up to help the big league club tremendously.

#15 RHP Seth Lugo

Ht: 6’4”  Wt: 225  Level: Triple-A Las Vegas 51s/New York Mets

B/T: R/R  Age: 11/17/1989(26) Age Dif: -0.7

Acquired: Selected in the 34th round of the 2011 MLB June Amateur Draft out of Centanary College of Louisiana

Preseason Rank: #12

2016 Statistics:  3-4, 6.50 ERA, 21 games (14 starts), 73.1 IP, 103 H, 63 R, 53 ER, 20 BB, 63 K, 1.67 WHIP (with Vegas)

2016 MLB Stats: 4-2, 2.40 ERA, 10 games (5 starts), 48.2 IP, 36 H, 13 ER, 12 BB, 37 K, 0.99 WHIP

Profile: The right-hander made his major league debut out of the bullpen with the Mets. Lugo started the 2016 season in the Vegas rotation, but struggled like many other pitchers in Vegas. Out of the bullpen, Lugo showed an increase in velocity, which helped him preform better. As a starter Lugo pitched to a 3-4 record with a 6.93 ERA, allowing 88 hits in 69.1 innings pitched. Since joining the 51s bullpen Lugo pitched much better, with a 4.09 ERA in 11 innings out of the pen.

Lugo made his MLB debut against the Cubs on July the first and showed his good arsenal of pitches right away.  Lugo uses a four seam fastball that reaches 96 MPH to go with a two-seam fastball which is around the 90 MPH mark. His best pitch is his curve ball. If you remember Lugo striking out Anthony Rizzo on a pitch that hit his foot you know what I’m talking about. His curve has great 12-6 movement and was named the best curve in the Mets system before the season (by Baseball America).

Lugo made his first MLB start on Friday the 19th of August. He pitched really well going 6.2 innings allowing just three runs on seven hits. He threw only 69 pitches to get thru 6.2 innings and hit 96 MPH late in his outing.

What’s Next: Lugo has shown that he can be a viable option as a major league starter, the question is how will he finish the season and how will he fit into the Mets plans next year. After Lugo pitches 1.1 innings tonight he will no longer be eligible for this list.

#14 C Tomas Nido

Ht: 6’0″  Wt: 205  Level: St. Lucie Mets High-A

B/T: R/R  Age: 4/12/1994(22) Age Dif: -0.7

Acquired: Selected in the 8th round of the 2012 MLB June Amateur Draft out of Orangewood Christian HS (Maitland, FL)

Preseason Rank: #74

2016 Statistics:  344 AB, 38 R, 110 H, 23 2B, 2 3B, 7 HR, 46 RBI, 19 BB, 42 K .320/.357/.459

Profile: From our #74 to #14 in half of a season shows what kind of break out season the 22-year old catcher had. Plus Nido has done it behind the plate and at the plate. Nido has shown a gap-to-gap pop with a fluid line drive swing. Nido has a new career high in home runs (7), hits (110), doubles (23), and RBIs (46) Behind the plate Nido also made significant strides, gunning down 42% of the would-be basestealers. Before this season his career high was 25%.

In a recent scouting report from baseballprospectus.com scout Thomas Desmidt, Nido was profiled as an all field line drive hitter, who makes consistent hard contact. On the defensive end Desmidt wrote, Nido is a good receiver with an above average arm.

What’s Next:  Nido will start next season with the Double-A Binghamton Mets. He is a prospect to keep an eye on after his break out season. He has the tools to be an above average catcher in the big leagues.

#13 1B Peter Alonso

Ht: 6’3”  Wt: 225  Level: Low-A Brooklyn Cyclones

B/T: R/R  Age: 12/7/1994(21) Age Dif: -0.1

Acquired: Selected in the 2nd round of the 2016 MLB June Amateur Draft out of University of Florida (Gainsville, FL)

Preseason Rank: Drafted this season.

2016 Statistics: 109 AB, 20 R,  35 H, 12 2B, 3B, 5 HR, 21 RBI, 11 BB, 22 K .321/.382/.587

Profile: Unfortunately we got the news that he will miss the remainder of the season with a broken finger. Alonso was showing why he was the most powerful hitter on one of the best college teams before the Mets drafted him. Alonso his .587 slugging % would be leading the NYPL, if he had enough at bats to qualify. Alonso shows the ability to hit for power to all fields, he showed a quick bat and made consistent hard contact in Brooklyn before his injury. Alonso raw power from the right side is a very interesting tool to keep an eye on.

Baseball Prospectus said in a scouting report (before he was drafted) that Alonso has a pretty long swing, which could result in a lower batting average in the higher levels, but his power will be his main tool.

What’s Next: The 21-year old could be on the fast track through the Mets system. I expect him to play with the Columbia Fireflies or even the St. Lucie Mets to start his first full season as a pro next year.

#12 SS Luis Carpio

Ht: 6’0”  Wt: 165  Level: GCL Mets Rookie League

B/T: R/R  Age: 7/11/1997(19)  Age Dif: -1.5

Acquired: Signed by the New York Mets as an international free agent in 2013 for $300,000

Preseason Rank: #8

2015 Statistics:  181 AB, 31 R, 55 H, 10 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 22 RBI, 17 BB, 34 K, 9 SB, .304/.372/.359 (in 2015 with Kingsport)

2016 Statistics: 74 AB, 7 R, 9 H, 3 2B, 3B, 0 HR, 3 RBI, 9 BB, 21 K, .203/.314/.270 (only as the DH)

Profile: The young shortstop has lost four places on the list mostly due to a shoulder injury that kept him out most of the season and limited him to being the DH when he returned.  After a very impressive season as a 17-year old in Kingsport last year, Carpio is still one of the best middle infield prospect the Mets have. In 2015 Carpio hit .304 which is very impressive knowing it was his first season playing state side.

Scouts see Carpio as a small hitter with a short stroke and the ability to hit to all fields (up the middle approach). As a young middle infielder, Carpio is still small build and uses that to his advantage with his approach at the plate. Scouts raved about his Baseball IQ which shows in his solid on base percentage at .372 and helps him as a defender.

Carpio has average speed, excellent instincts, good first step and a good approach for a top of the order hitter. He is expected to become a second baseman rather than a short stop because he lacks the arm strength. At just 19 years old he could develop a better arm that could keep him at short, but it seems like second will work better for the young middle infielder.

What’s Next:  He should start the 2017 season with the Columbia Fireflies.

#11 C Ali Sanchez

Ht: 6’1”  Wt: 200  Level: Low-A Brooklyn Cyclones

B/T:  R/R  Age: 1/20/1997 (19)  Age Dif: -2.1

Acquired: Signed as an International Free-Agent in 2013 for $690,000

Preseason Rank: #15

2016 Statistics:  171 AB, 15 R,  37 H, 10 2B, 0 HR, 11 RBI, 10 BB, 26 K, 2 SB .216/.260/.275

Profile: Although the young catcher is not having a great season with the Brooklyn Cyclones, he is still named our top catching prospect in the minors. Being only 19 years old and already playing in NYPL is not a surprise to see him struggle a little bit facing other teams top draft picks from this season.

The biggest plus on the game of Sanchez is his great defense as a back stop. Scouts have raved about the defensive skills, even before the Mets signed him.  Ben Badler of Baseball America touted his arm and high IQ in his original report, along with his receiving skills, framing pitches and handling balls in the dirt. This season Sanchez has thrown out 48% would-be base stealers and has a 50% caught stealing rate in his career.

As a hitter Sanchez is seen as a high contact kind of hitter without much power. He hit three home runs in the DSL and none since that. This season Sanchez had ten extra base hits, all doubles. Scouts don’t expect Sanchez to become a power hitter when he gets older. He has a promising future as a great defensive backstop with a solid contact bat.

What’s Next: I think Sanchez should be able to play his first full season as a pro and start the 2017 season with the Columbia Fireflies.

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