25
2013
MMO Mets Top 25 Prospects – #5 (Fulmer) To #1 (Wheeler)

And here we are… I never realized how difficult this whole process was. Hope you all have enjoyed this series, and if you still haven’t had your MiLB fix, you can look forward to honorable mentions and sleeper picks next week.
5. Michael Fulmer, RHP
Height: 6’3”
Weight: 200 LBS
Age: 19 (20 in March)
Bats/Throws: Right/Right

If there is one glaringly strong pick from the Sandy Alderson era so far, it has to be Michael Fulmer. Fulmer has the potential to dominate major league teams for years, and already has the frame of a pitcher at just 19 years of age. He is coming off a strong year in Savannah where he made 21 starts that spanned 108 innings. He posted a 2.74 ERA and allowed just 92 hits, six of them going for home runs. He struck out 101 and walked 38, resulting in a 2.66 K/BB rate.
Fulmer throws three defined pitches, and has been known to mix in a fourth every now and then. His fastball is his best pitch, an explosive pitch that sits in the mid-90s and has touched 97 MPH on occasion. His slider is his second best offering, and it comes in at 83-85 with sharp late movement – exactly what you want from a slider. He has been working on a change-up, and it is still in development. Honestly, he did not need one in High School with the dominance of his fastball and slider, so the change is a project. Progress has been made, however, and he mixes in a 12-6 curve at times to keep hitters off balance. It is ridiculous that his pitches and mindset are so mature when you consider young he is.
Outlook: Fulmer’s 2012 line gave a lot of people, including myself, high hopes for the future. Some of the scouts that saw him were most impressed with his aggressiveness and poise. He moves ahead to St.Lucie next year where he will join a rotation packed with some of the best Mets righthanders in the system Fulmer stands to only improve on his position as a prospect in our system when you consider all things. He already has the build of an MLB pitcher, can overpower hitters, command his pitches, and pitches fearlessly. The goal now is to build his stamina and pitch deeper into games while he continues to develop at his own pace. So far, everything we’ve seen of Fulmer points to a fast rise through the minors. All things considered, Fulmer could find himself anchoring the top or middle of our rotation in a few years and not a single soul would be surprised.
4. Noah Syndergaard, RHP
Height: 6’5”
Weight: 200 LBS
Age: 20
Bats/Throws: Left/Right

When the Mets traded RA Dickey, they did not just acquire a young man with an awesome last name – they acquired a pretty legitimate pitching prospect and one of the top arms in the Blue Jays system. Syndergaard is raw and young, but he radiates potential and could turn out to be a fixture in the Mets rotation in the future. The 20-year old is coming off a solid season in Single-A Lansing where he struck out a ridiculous 122 in 103 innings pitched. That led to a 10.6 K/9, which was supplemented with a 2.60 ERA and only 81 hits / 31 walks, leading to a 1.080 WHIP. He only allowed three home runs, and for such a high strikeout pitcher, the across the board numbers really jump out at you.
In terms of a scouting report, Syndergaard might have the best pitcher’s frame in the entire system. He already has an impressive fastball that sits in the…you guessed it, mid-90s. His second best pitch is a sharp curveball. It sits in the mid-high 70s and will likely work as a great complement to his fastball. So, in the same mold as Fulmer, Syndergaard has a great fastball and a good breaking pitch to back it up. The difference between the two is that Syndergaard has a changeup that is slightly more advanced than Fulmer’s to this point. It will likely end up being average, but that will go a long way in establishing him as a top of the line starter.
Outlook: Syndergaard is a physical specimen and really looks like he can be a perennial all-star. Although there are some things that come into question – his command at times, his stamina, and as always, furthering the development of his third pitch, there is a lot to love about Noah Syndergaard. He is aggressive on the mound and stays relatively emotionless. He makes the move to AA for the 2013 season and I have faith that he will breeze through it. It is important not to put too much pressure or to rush the young prospect, as he represents a new wave of pitching prospects…or a changing of the Gaard. See what I did there? Good.
3. Wilmer Flores, INF
Height: 6’3”
Weight: 190 LBS
Age: 21
Bats/Throws: Right/Right

How many years has it been since we first heard of Wilmer Flores? The Mets signed Flores at 16 years old in 2007 and he vaulted onto their prospect radar right from the start. We were told he could be the next Miguel Cabrera…and while I think that is a pretty big reach, Flores still has the potential to be a solid MLB player, especially offensively. Flores is coming off his best season statistically, where he posted a .300/.349/.479 slash across A+/AA ball in 2012. He slammed 18 home runs, 30 doubles, and 2 triples while driving in 75 runs in 547 PAs. He drew 38 walks while striking out 60 times, both of which are passable.
We have always heard so much about the bat of Wilmer Flores, and it looks like all that advanced scouting is finally starting to make sense. Flores is still only 21 after all the tossing and turning over the years, so time is not exactly against him. Now that he is starting to post some solid across the board offensive numbers, the important thing with Flores is to find him a position. He started off at SS, but has spent time playing at 2B and 3B, while some believe he belongs in a corner OF spot. I will say that his arm is average and can get by at any of those positions, but his range is lacking for someone who once aspired to play SS.
Outlook: As I mentioned before, Flores is just 21, and still has time to bulk up and add a little power to that fluid swing of his. He will likely find his highest value at second base, where the power that he already shows would be superb for the position. He will never win a Gold Glove, nor will he ever be a speed demon – but those were never expected of him in the first place. Flores has demonstrated power to all fields, quick reaction time with the bat, and more recently, a discerning eye. He is the most advanced bat in the Mets system, and will likely see time in AAA before the end of 2013. If his bat advances in the way that it did last year…who knows how soon he will breathe the air in Flushing?
2. Travis D’Arnaud, C
Height: 6’2”
Weight: 195 LBS
Age: 23 (24 in February)
Bats/Throws: Right/Right

There is something to be said about a good catching prospect…and then there is something to be said about one that has been traded for two Cy Young winners. See, D’Arnaud has not only been involved in the more recent Dickey trade, but he was also traded away from his original team, Philadelphia, in the Roy Halladay deal. D’Arnaud is considered a future stud by almost every scout in existence, and his status as a high ranking prospect is helped by the fact that dons the tools of ignorance. I would be lying if I said I was not excited to see if D’Arnaud panned out or not – as sad as I was about losing RA Dickey. However, D’Arnaud has been touted as having good defensive skills and even better offensive skills. Although numbers in Vegas are inflated, he posted a .333/.380/.595 slash with 16 home runs / 21 doubles / 2 triples in just 303 plate appearances.
The one knock against D’Arnaud is the fact that he has been plagued with various injuries and has missed about 1 1/2 seasons worth of games in his pro career. His latest was a season-ending knee injury last season, his second season-ender in three years. Although that does not bode well for his career choice as a backstop, D’Arnaud has been described as mentally and physically tough, so we have to hope for the best in this situation. The Mets and their fanbase are hoping that their catcher of the future exists in D’Arnaud, and while he will not be Mike Piazza, a catcher with a solid bat and 15-20 home runs is something to look forward to.
Outlook: It is almost a given that D’Arnaud will end up on the MLB club at some point in 2013, and his debut is very much anticipated. If all breaks well for D’Arnaud, the Mets found themselves a future star – a player with an improving defensive foundation, a good baseball IQ, and the ability to hit for a great average with some pop…what else could you ask from an MLB regular, let alone a catcher? It is obvious that I am high on D’Arnaud, and rightfully so, and we will find out how right I am sooner rather than later. The future is now for Travis, and hopefully he turns into a great player that helps us stick it to the NL East for years to come.
1. Zack Wheeler
Height: 6’4”
Weight: 185 LBS
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: Left/Right

The level of success that Zack Wheeler achieves will likely go a long way in changing the fanbase’s opinion on Sandy Alderson. Wheeler was acquired for Carlos Beltran at the trade deadline in 2011, which essentially sent the team in downward spiral afterward. But Wheeler looked like an excellent return at the time, purging the Giants farm system of their top pitching prospect. Wheeler has a nice mix of pitches, ranging from his plus fastball and curveball to a changeup that he is still improving, and some scouts have credited him with a cutter. If I had to guess, the variation in his fastball speed might cause some confusion, as I have seen Wheeler drop it down to the high-80s to get a strike over, and he can also ramp it up to 95 when needed. Wheeler has poise and confidence on the mound, as he is consistently the aggressor in at-bats and pitches inside with much success. There are slight concerns with his mechanics, but he did a good job to dispel them with some solid numbers last year that showed some improved command.
His 2012 season spanned across two levels, AA and AAA, and in a combined 25 starts he managed two shutouts, one at each level with a 12-8 record. He pitched 149 innings to the tune of a 3.26 ERA, and allowed only 115 hits, and only four of those went for home runs. He did walk 59 batters, but he struck out 148.
Outlook: Wheeler has come to symbolize the Alderson era thus far. Everything regarding the future success of the franchise has been pinned to Wheeler’s chest, perhaps unfairly. He instantly became the most recognizable name in the system and there isn’t a fan who is not anxiously awaiting his arrival and with high expectations at that. The plan is that he will eventually join Harvey in the rotation by the end of this year to give the Mets a dangerous 1-2 punch for years to come. That is the plan and the dream and hopefully the reality. Wheeler has the best floor of any prospect in the system right now as well as the highest ceiling. He could potentially be future ace and at worst top-shelf, mid-rotation starter who will throw 200 quality innings a season. We at Metsmerized did not all agree on any one prospect in ranking our Top 25 Mets Prospects – except for one – Zack Wheeler. We have many reasons to believe that he will be an ace quality pitcher for the Mets in the near future.
Thank you for reading our MMO Mets Top 25 Prospects. We hope you enjoyed our insights and final rankings which took months to finally put together so that we could present them to you.
If you have any minor league questions or concerns, feel free to email me at SatishRam1193@aol.com or Joe D. at GetMetsmerized@aol.com.
MetsMerized Top 25 Prospects
1. Zack Wheeler
2. Travis D’Arnaud
3. Wilmer Flores
4. Noah Syndergaard
5. Michael Fulmer
6. Brandon Nimmo
7. Jeurys Familia
8. Domingo Tapia
9. Rafael Montero
10. Luis Mateo
11. Gavin Cecchini
12. Matt den Dekker
13. Cory Vaughn
14. Phillip Evans
15. Vicente Lupo
16. Jack Leathersich
17. Jacob deGrom
18. Rainy Lara
19. Kevin Plawecki
20. Hansel Robles
21. Juan Lagares
22. Cesar Puello
23. Cory Mazzoni
24. Aderlin Rodriguez
25. Danny Muno
About the Author: Satish Ram
I am a Senior Writer and Editor here at MetsMerized - where I specialize in Minor League coverage. I have been on the staff since 2007 and I am currently in my third semester of college in New York City. You can find me at www.facebook.com/SatishRam or @SilverHeatMMO. Feel free to message me - I love talking about the Mets or baseball overall with anybody.
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NL East Standings
| Team | W | L | Pct. | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 42 | 28 | .600 | - |
| Nationals | 34 | 35 | .493 | 7.5 |
| Phillies | 34 | 37 | .479 | 8.5 |
| Mets | 25 | 40 | .385 | 14.5 |
| Marlins | 22 | 47 | .319 | 19.5 |
Last updated: 06/18/2013
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>>We at Metsmerized did not all agree on any one prospect in ranking our Top 25 Mets Prospects – except for one – Zack Wheeler.
d’Arnaud was a unanimous #2 behind Wheeler?
Should have been “wasn’t”.
Everyone used different methods to rank just as Mayo and Sickels do. Some weigh MLB readiness higher than others, some rank based on ceiling regardless of what level they are in, others still go by their gut feeling. That’s why to me the best prospects lists aren’t the opinions of one but a consensus choice of many, which is how we did ours. In the end what matters is the completed product.
Yesterday, I asked Jonathan Mayo to please, for the sake of all that’s holy, take Reese Havens out of the No. 9 spot in his recent Mets Top 10 rankings. He replied back laughing and said he understood, will update it this week or next, and that I will be pleased with the results. I told him, “We’ll see about that.”
Yea, I get that everyone views these things differently but d’Arnaud is one of the most exciting position prospects to come around in sometime.
Ah well, if we all agreed on everything it would be a boring world.
Should read 3. Wilmer Flores, no clue on position…
Man, all that pitching can cause one to salivate.
Ahhh Perseus… Thanks for putting up with my anal retentiveness, demands for perfection, and the many long and late nights in producing the final version of our MMO Top 25 together. After all the time we deliberated in coming up with the top 25, it was you who then went about the job of explaining why we chose who we did, and you did a heck of a job. I’ve seen no other Mets Top Prospects lists that were as detailed, analytic, to the point and most importantly, fun to read, as yours. You set the bar very high for everyone else. WELL DONE, MY FRIEND!
I was glad to do it!
I’mneverdoingthisagainmygod
I think Wheeler #1 and d’Arnaud #2 is pretty standard. I was glad to see Flores at #3 though. His August birthday means that he played most of last season as a 20 year old. I get the worries about his glove and lack of range. However, the kid might not be fast, but he is athletic, and that’s enough to play an average 2B. For me, the biggest worry about him at 2B has to be him continuing to physically mature and not whether or not he can hack it there. He might outgrow the position, but I do believe he can play the position. Since he already played half a season in Binghamton so he could be in Vegas by June or July…and Wilmer in that league and in that Vegas park…look out,
quite likely that 1, 2 and 3 on the list will all be debuting with the Mets this season.
This is pretty accurate.
“Flores is just 21, and still has time to bulk up and add a little power to that fluid swing of his”
Ummm Satis…err, Perseus, you might wanna go on Metsblog and see the picture of Flores coming in to camp early. I think he has the bulk up part down because he looks like he put on a lot of muscle during the offseason.
Hitman,
Well, my bad. You’re right though…definitely looks like he added some muscle.
Ah….1-5 Mets prospects.
If they all make it to the MLs and contribute, that will be well done.
It would be such a huge lift for the team if Flores could just go to 2B and play it well enough to be a viable ML option there. Such a high upside, RH bat there as part of the LT foundation would help a lot.
Wilmer Flores, The CORE salute you…..
Did anyone notice Mateo’s numbers? 165 K 9 BB in the last 2 years.
That is incredible even for a Sunday softball league let alone against professional hitters.
I think you can’t go wrong either way with having Wheeler 1 and d’Arnaud 2 or the other way around. Overall I think moany would agree with these as the top 5.
On another note it will be good to finally see d’Arnaud in Mets colors. Tired of seeing these Blue Jays uni’s.
LoL, many not “moany”.
Do you think Darnaud will stay at catcher? I was listening to Joe and Evan talk about him Monday or Tuesday and Evan said that he heard that he’ll be playing another position in 3-4 years. What do you think? Thanks in advance.
I think he will stick at catcher.
However, in four years, we might have to face a decision on whether to change him or not… Considering the stress that catching puts on the knees, people are just worried about the knee injury he sustained.
I personally think he’ll stay at C.
I never understood why there needed to be so many top prospect lists. I never take anything on any of these lists serious. Unless the person writing the list has seen every player play, is giving their first hand account of what they have seen, is knowledgable and experienced enough with the game to analyze what they see, then all it is is a regurgitation and summary of what some other person wrote. Then the author shifts a few names around and blamo it’s a new prospect list.
We were never given any reasoning behind why the players were ranked the way they were. Were certain things more heavily rated than others when you came to the final rankings? When ranking players in any type of format this should be clear, otherwise I will assume that the rankings and all information is a summary of the work that somoene else did. For instance, why is Syndergaard ranked fourth? He’s third on some lists, so why did you rank him fourth and slide Flores up to #3? Is it because you think he will be a better prospect, or did you just want to be different?
You could have emailed me this, but this will give me an opportunity to let our readers know about our minor league coverage.
It always bothered me that there was never any Mets minor league coverage on the web. I hated having to wait for my issue of Mets Inside Pitch or Baseball America to come every month so I could read the blurbs about the Mets Minors.
After having had enough, I decided to start covering the Mets Minors on MMO and in August 2006 our first minor league recap was born. Every night during the season we had two people who ate, slept and lived the minors do a nightly report giving a full account of all our affiliate games.
We were doing Minor League Recaps years before Mets Minor League Blog burst onto the scene, and five years before Amazin Avenue started doing them.
But we never stopped there, we kept evolving because we believed first hand analysis was important. In 2008 we created our own minor league division of MMO. A staff dedicated to the minors and who attended the games, watched the games, and gave their analysis.
Finally in 2009, Omar Minaya and his staff credentialed us. With that we went onto getting credential with all of our affiliates and then search the world over to get correspondents for each team.
Today we have Tim Burns who lives in Binghamton and loves the B-Mets now and long before they were a Mets affiliate. he attends dozens of games a season and provides the best coverage of the B-Mets on the web. He actually helped build the players clubhouse. We have Andrew O’Brien who is a reporter and columnist for St. Lucie’s paper and he will again provide us with his full in depth coverage this year of the St. Lucie and GCL team. Covering the Savannah Sand Gnats is Joe from South Carolina. Our man in Las Vegas is Rob Silverman.
Last year MMO picked up field passes and credentials for 76 different games between Rookie League to Triple-A. We conducted over 100 interviews with the players and posted about 50 of them in stand alone posts. Half of our recorded interviews never even made it to the blog, but the information we learned was priceless.
All 12 members of our minor league staff subscribe to minor league packages to cover the games when they don’t attend and each night they write their own report along with accompanying news about injuries, transactions, quotes, etc. In 2012 we posted 575 of these individual reports.
Over two dozen players email the site regularly and bust our chops if we write something too critical about them, and when they get traded or released they also write and thank us for writing about them and covering them through the season. Sometimes I post those on the site.
So yes, while you’re right that most sites don’t haven’t a clue about the players they are ranking, here at MMO we are different.
We work months on our rankings because they contain a year’s worth of eye witness accounts, insights, analysis, things we learned from our conversations with players, discussions with many of the coaches who we get most of our info from, and of course our passion for our system which is why MMO is the best when it comes to Mets Minors coverage.
Last September we handed out our Metsmerized T-shirts, caps, buttons, etc. to many of the players who proudly wore them as the season wrapped up.
Anyway, that’s why we do what we do. In about 2-3 weeks, you’ll see a dozen more rankings and you can believe that many of them will include information they gleaned from a year’s worth of game data and analysis from MMO.
Joe, the reason why I didn’t email you off to the side was because I was playing devil’s advocate. I wanted the readers to see the time & effort and appreciate the work that was done on this and see what sets the MMO top prospect list apart from the others. Had I come off wishy washy, you would not have written such a concise background and explanation. You get new readers every day, so I wanted them to understand why this list is different. Thanks for your response, and I’m sure the other readers appreciate it as well.
Why I oughta… LOL
I’ve got both my eyes on you, Mitch…
There is no way to have someone at every single game to cover the minors, not even Jonathan Mayo and John Sickels even do that. In this day and age there is plenty of coverage, on the web, using YouTube, and using Milb.com. listening on the radio and many other ways.
Content is always available and with the amount of scouting reports it is very easy to come to a consensus on the overall talent of a player, and what their abilities and strengths and weaknesses actually are.
I get the feeling that Alex is a teenager or possibly even a kid…
Who else would actually write “..the CORE salute you!”, as if he’s in some sort of Mets’ fan site militia or something?
Salutes.
2012 2011
1 Jesus Montero, SEA 1 Jesus Montero, NYY
2 Devin Mesoraco, CIN 2 Wil Myers, KC
3 Travis d’Arnaud, TOR 3 Gary Sanchez, NYY
4 Gary Sanchez, NYY 4 Wilin Rosario, COL
5 Wilin Rosario, COL 5 Devin Mesoraco, CIN
6 Yasmani Grandal, SD 6 J.P. Arencibia, TOR
7 Christian Bethancourt, ATL 7 Wilson Ramos, WAS
8 Ryan Lavarnway, BOS 8 Austin Romine, NYY
9 Sebastian Valle, PHI 9 Travis d’Arnaud, TOR
10 Jorge Alfaro, TEX 10 Derek Norris, WAS
No such thing as a sure thing….
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20130123&content_id=41111110&vkey=news_mlb&c_id=mlb
How many of those prospects hit well at the Double and Triple A level though ?
Let´s take a look at Catchers who were considered Top 25 overall in Baseball prospects by Baseball America over the past 10 years (some of them multiple times, D´Arnaud will also be a repeat choice, Montero, Mauer, Posey, Wieters all were too):
Joe Mauer
Victor Martinez
Jarrod Saltalamacchia
Matt Wieters
Buster Posey
Carlos Santana
Jesus Montero
Devin Mesoraco
Travis D´Arnaud
We´re talking about a very small select group here – because strong C prospects are quite rare. Mauer & Posey are superstars. Vic-Martinez, Carlos Santana and Matt Wieters have become well above average / All Star sort of catchers. Saltalamacchia has become a solid decent average C. Montero always had major defensive question marks surrounding himself and probably is a 1bman longterm. He´ll probably get a final shot at C this spring before the M´s pull up Mike Zunino, the other elite C prospect with D´Arnaud at some point this summer.
Finally that leaves Devin Mesoraco who has broken in as more of a backup to Ryan Hanigan for the contending Reds.
So, if you´re asking “What´s the likelihood of advanced top C prospects to become an impact player ? ” – it´s very high.
If you´re asking: “What are the odds that a highly touted young C out of the draft makes it ?” The answer is: quite low.
Interesting comment that really explains the difference between what we have now and those others you named from the past. Most of out top righthanded pitchers already have great stuff and velocity and even three pitches. The thing with them is refining the quality pitches they already have which is pretty big and speaks to how much better our system is pitching wise. That said our position players are week and the best ones are still longshots and need plenty to go right.
Cory Vaughn is WAY to high! Old for his league and doesn’t make enough contact. Aderlin was nearly 3years younger and side by side with him in st.lucie by the end of the year. Aderlin had more power and is just a flat out better hitter. He had fielding problems but is young an has much more time to correct them than Vaughn does. I would definitely flip those two in the rankings! Just my opinion.
First of all, very nice list. I may not agree with all of the rankings. But it´s a highly subjective thing anyway and the Mets have probably 35 or so valid candidates for a top 25 right now.
To me, there is one key difference about the current & former Mets systems, especially among pitchers: Most of these prospects already have performed with advanced tools on the field. You don´t need a lot of projection like with many other prospects – which often doesn´t come.
Remember formerly highly touted Mets prospects such as:
Juan Urbina
Scott Moviel
Deolis Guerra
Matt Peterson
or way back Pat Strange
They had in common: A good secondary pitch, pretty good control for their young age, a “feel” for pitching and a fastball in the upper 80s to low 90s that was PROJECTED to add velocity once they “fill out” their “projectable” bodies.
Well, the “plus” fastball never came – or only in brief stretches of max effort. All of theme flamed out. With all due respect to Urbina and Guerra who are still active and may discover something.
Today´s group of pitching prospects is more about refining their stuff, i.e. improve a 3rd pitch, be more consistent and obviously stay healthy – but there´s no projection fantasy you need with any of them. If you look at former prospect lists, the biggest reason besides injuries for prospects to fail is that something that was projected “should grow into his body and develop power or velocity” never came. At times it does. Most often it doesn´t.
Excellent observation. Basically every single one of our prospects around the top ten has a developed second pitch at this point, which is great to see. I’m really excited about this new wave of arms.
Im a litle nervous about leathersich too. His trickery might not work as well as he moves up the ladder. There were times that he really got worked in st lucie last year after his call up. Lupo and degrom could shoot up this list this year! Degrom stuff is legit and he just scratching the surface of his ability considering he just started pitching and is coming off surgery. Lupo, I think everyone is excited about! I know it was the dsl but his age/eye/power and low strike out rate looks special! Can’t wait to see him stateside this year! He could be a top 5 by years end!
Great job on the list, I pretty much agree with most of it except for 1-2 players I would have added instead of Aderlin, Mazzoni and Muno. I appreciate the info you provide on the minors and it’s gotten so much better in the last two years. It’s going to be fun watching our minors this year with all these promising arms.