It’s funny how some things work out in this game. About a year ago this week we were staging a “Don’t Trade Reyes Rally” at Citi Field and everyday we were consumed with countless posts about keeping Reyes at all costs and how the team would be doomed if we lost him. I oughta know because I wrote a handful of those posts myself.
But this why I love baseball so much. No matter how hard you crunch all those numbers and all of that historical data in the offseason, along comes the regular season and it renders all that information as useless and as worthless as the toilet paper it was written on.
The king of projections Bill James had R.A. Dickey pegged for a 4.06 ERA this season and Ruben Tejada would barely hit over .250 in this, his sophomore campaign.
Grantland thought highly of Frank Francsico writing, “The Mets got some grief for giving Frank Francisco a two-year deal, but his peripherals (better than a strikeout per inning) and a move to the National League bode well for solid results.” Umm, not really guys.
ZiPS had Ronny Cedeno scoring more runs than Josh Thole, Scott Hairston, Ruben Tejada and Daniel Murphy this season. And that David Wright would top out at 76 runs scored… Only 23 left to go David!
Scott White of CBS Sports warned his readers to avoid Wright like the plague, “You can’t assume the team’s decision to move in the fences this year will be Wright’s miracle cure. It’ll help, but it won’t eliminate the injuries, the perpetually rising strikeout rate and the curious home-road splits. With high-upside third basemen like Brett Lawrie and Emilio Bonifacio available later in the draft, you’re better off passing on Wright ” Bonifacio over Wright?
A 12 man panel of experts over at ESPN decided their consensus was that Johan Santana would top out at six wins in 2012. Maybe they were only projecting out to June 29th perhaps?
And those were just the expert projections.
Now getting back to Jose Reyes, if not for the simple fact that Ruben Tejada missed over a month of the season, are there any doubts that Tejada would have more runs scored, more hits, more RBI’s and not to forget a better glove than Jose Reyes?
As it stands now our young shortstop leads Reyes in batting, on-base, slugging and OPS. Despite having almost 200 more at-bats than Tejada, Reyes has just 19 RBI to Tejada’s 11. But the biggest thing to take away from this is that the Marlins are five games behind the Mets and far closer to last place than first place.
Oh yeah, then there’s that thing about the $106 million dollars the Marlins shelled out for Reyes only to see their team sink in the standings instead of climb.
Yep… This is why I love baseball so much…