Feb
7
2011

Reese Havens Is Top Met on 2011 Project Prospect Rankings

Project Prospect released their Top 100 Prospects list for the 2011 season today and surprisingly it features six Mets, including Reese Havens (42), Matt Harvey (48), Fernando Martinez (53), Jenrry Mejia (83), Brad Emaus (94) and Wilmer Flores (100).

These prospect ranking may seem very odd compared to other recent lists like those from John Sickels of Minor League Ball and Baseball America.

The reason for that is because the guys at Project Prospect not only consider a player’s ceiling but also his floor.

In other words, yes Wilmer Flores may have a high ceiling. but he also is at great risk of being a very poor player or below average. Reese Havens on the other hand is expected to have great upside, but even if he doesn’t meet that expectation he will still be a very solid MLB player.

A good recent example of this would be in the case of Ike Davis who did not appear on any top prospects lists last season, except for Project Prospect.

Nobody expected Ike Davis to be a cant-miss phenom with a high ceiling and so you saw that in how everyone else snubbed him as a top prospect. However, PP ranked Ike Davis at #57, because they felt he had a higher floor which meant he would be at minimum a solid major leaguer. They also ranked Jon Niese #48 and he came up and proved he belonged in the majors.

It’s actually very encouraging to see six Mets on this list for 2011.

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About the Author: Rob Johnson

15 Comments + Add Comment

  • I can’t say I am surprised to see them rank Havens where they did. If you recall they did an article about the top 10 sleeper hitters and Havens was #2 on that list. Here is an excerpt explaining why.

    2. Reese Havens – After a studly junior year at South Carolina, Havens was slowed by a quadriceps injury in 2009. He then got a late start to 2010 because of an oblique injury, which became a problem again in June and ended his season. Given how important the core is for all physical activities, Havens’ injury is a bit of a concern. But if he can regain his health, he could quickly surface as one of the top second basemen in the big leagues. He has crazy power to go along with above-average patience. Guys with as much athleticism and power as Havens don’t come around often.

    projectprospect.com/article/2011/01/03/10-sleeper-hitters

    By the way they also had Fernando Martinez ranked 6th on that list.

    • cross your fingers that he devoted all off season to a PT program focusing on core strength and flexibility. And Yoga would probably help.

      if he can just stay on the field, I think he will put up a huge ST (think Ike last year), and really push for a job after a couple months in the minors, if it takes that long (largely dependant on what the guys that win the 2B job do)

  • Project Prospect sounds like they do a better job in the scouting department by taking into account not only how good a player can be but also considering what he can be at worst. Good job.

    • I agree. I especially like how they approach it.

      “While we travel thousands of miles every year to see hundreds of prospects with our own eyes, we also have put a lot of energy into exploring and understanding the intricacies of statistical analysis. Combining our statistical knowledge with scouting information, we believe our work offers a one-of-a-kind look at elite amateurs, minor league talents and young big leaguers. ”

      projectprospect.com/about-us

  • “Reese Havens on the other hand is expected to have great upside, but even if he doesn’t meet that expectation he will still be a very solid MLB player.”

    So to the all one of you who was touting the good field, no hit Ruben Tejada, maybe some reality is entering the picture. When I first mentioned Havens a couple of years ago as a guy with a great (not just good) swing, a plus arm at 2B, good range at 2B. the howls started.

    Sound off!!!

    P.S.: All bets are off if Havens’ obliques go south while his body is north at Buffalo or CitiField.

    • If Havens health holds up, he will demonstrate the best swing in the Mets infield. that includes Wright, Reyes, and certainly Davis.

      He really is that good.

      • are you sure Jerry Manuel didn’t take Amtrak instead? I can’t find any information on the flight you said he took. What airline was it?

        • Bayonne, I’m no match for your stupidity. You argue over the most asinine things. So lets call a truce.

        • For the sake of everyone else that enjoys this site, can you please just let this one go and move on?

          • Just stick to your fantasy baseball & unimportant analysis of numbers pal, this guy followed me around looking for it, now it’s my turn. None of your business.

            • In other words it’s OK for him to do unto others but not for others to do unto him so mind your own business.

              ;-)

              • this place would have more visitors if they could include an “ignore” button.

                but you are right, for someone that is so incensed about being stalked, he certainly seems to enjoy doing it to others.

    • Why do you care if some people didn’t agree with your opinion of Havens when he was drafted?

      You didn’t really expect every1 on a public blog to agree with you just because you said it did you?

      I just want to see what he can do at AAA while playing 2b if he can stay healthy for at least half a season. Then I will take it from there.

      • I saw him after he was drafted. But most importantly, despite not expecting everyone to jump on the bandwagon, I was floored when someone went ballistic when I mentioned how good I thought Reese Haves was. The insults and snide remarks deserved a payback. It’s over now.

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