Baseball Prospectus released their PECOTA projections for the 2023 season, and the algorithm is bullish on the Mets chances this upcoming season. The latest model projects the Mets to win 95.8 games, which is more than five games clear of the Braves (90.6), and six of the Phillies (89.8) in the National League East. The Mets are third overall and second in the NL in projected win total in MLB...
Baseball projections wait for no one—not even Carlos Correa. Dan Szymborski of FanGraphs released the ZiPS projections for the 2023 Mets. Given the uncertainty of the Correa situation but reports that the Mets are still his most likely destination (at the time ZiPS was published), ZiPS has included Correa as a “maybe” member of the Mets’ lineup. Though you can read the entire...
While we still don’t have much of an idea as to when the New York Mets and the rest of Major League Baseball will actually get to start the 2020 regular season, we can at least hope it’ll happen at some point. Once it finally does, the Amazins will get to begin the next decade of Mets baseball in Queens at Citi Field. Despite starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard now being on the...
As we continue to wait to see what happens with the start of the baseball season, we continue to think about projections for different players. Under normal circumstances a player like J.D. Davis would be difficult to project. He’s coming off a breakout year without a clear position on to a Mets roster that gets increasingly crowded the healthier it gets. J.D. Davis made me look like I had...
When Brodie Van Wagenen took over as the New York Mets general manager, his first big splash was to make a blockbuster trade to acquire his former client Robinson Canó. That deal has become the defining trade for Van Wagenen and not for positive reasons. Canó hit a homer on Opening Day in his regular season Mets debut (actually he played a role in all the scoring offense that day), but from that...
Right before everything shut down, we all got word that Michael Conforto tweaked his right oblique, throwing is Opening Day start into jeopardy. That feels like a lifetime ago, right? Almost lost in Pete Alonso’s amazing rookie year, Jacob deGrom’s back to back Cy Youngs and Jeff McNeil’s arrival as one of the better hitters in baseball was Michael Conforto. Conforto, very quietly, had a good...
As the the novel coronavirus situation changes daily, it’s becoming even more difficult to think about projections. Following CDC guidelines, it looks impossible right now for baseball to come back before June. This is an interesting scenario for some players, including Yoenis Céspedes. The outfielder was supposed to debut in spring training sometime around when baseball games were...
Not having any baseball right now is tough and we are looking for ways to still engage with our favorite pastime and dream about the 2020 season, whenever it starts. So we are going to start examining the Mets roster and look at projections from Baseball Prospectus, ESPN, ZiPS and Steamer to them in perspective with the 2019 season. We wanted to address COVID-19 directly first. All of our...
With pitchers and catchers in reporting to Port St. Lucie in 18 days, BetOnline.ag has set the over/under win total for the Mets during 2020 season at 86.5. The number is eerily similar to last seasons final record, in which the Mets finished 86-76. The 2020 win projection has the Mets falling behind both the Atlanta Braves (91.5) and the defending World Series Champion Washington Nationals...
Division champions? It’s not that far fetched. On Tuesday, Baseball Prospectus co-founder and baseball sabermetrician Clay Davenport released his 2019 projections, and has the Mets finishing the year 91-71 and winning the National League East. Not only will they win the division, according to Davenport, but they will allow the fewest runs in baseball as well (612). Davenport has the...
This past Friday was the deadline for all arbitration-eligible players and their respective teams to settle on a salary for 2019 before having it drag out into Spring Training. Thankfully for the New York Mets, that process is officially done, as they came to terms with all six of their eligible players. A lot of the attention was given to Jacob deGrom’s salary, and for good reason. The...
Adam Rubin is rolling out his ever popular Pace Law Annual Salary Projection Series. In making their determinations, Pace puts together a panel that will base their projections on the following: The quality of the player’s contribution to his club during the past season (referred to as his “platform season”), including but not limited to his overall performance, special qualities of leadership...
