Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus reexamines their pre-season Top 11 Mets Prospects and issues some quick analysis on each.
No. 1 Prospect
Jenrry Mejia, RHP (48th overall)
What Was Said: “…his fastball alone could land him in the Mets bullpen.”
Analysis: Mejia’s heater did earn him a big-league job, but to what end? The soon-to-be 21-year-old Dominican needed innings and repetition more than getting his feet wet in the big leagues. He’s back to starting, but 2010 was not a favor to him development-wise.
The Other Ten
Outfielder Fernando Martinez (second) played well when healthy, but that’s been the story for five years now, and it’s starting to wear thin. Infielder Wilmer Flores (third) reached High-A (and played well there) as a 19-year-old, but he’s not a shortstop, and he’s yet to show much in the way of secondary skills.
Ike Davis (fourth) became a fan favorite in New York, but he wasn’t nearly as good as his hype, as a 791 OPS for a first baseman isn’t all that good. Left-hander Jon Niese (fifth) matured into a dependable mid-to-back rotation starter in the big leagues, while righty Brad Holt absolutely collapsed by walking 79 in 95 minor league innings.
Outfielder Kirk Nieuwenhuis (seventh) proved that last year’s offensive breakout was real, but questions about his ability to play up the middle remain. Josh Thole (eighth) made his case to be the everyday catcher in 2011, where at least he’ll provide some on-base skills. Shortstop Ruben Tejada (10th) still looks like a nice utility player down the road, while fellow infielder Reese Havens (11th) looked like much more than that before the injury bug struck again.
Sleeper: Left-hander Robert Carson didn’t take the expected step forward, and was exposed at Double-A with an 8.32 ERA in 10 starts.