Baseball Prospectus released their annual PECOTA projections Monday. The forecast for the Mets? Good news. Before we get to that, according to Baseball Prospectus, PECOTA projections do not “pick” a team to “win” any particular number of games. Rather, they identify an estimated range of games a team might win and tells you the average of that fairly wide range. PECOTA projects the Mets will...
Following a disappointing 74-win season in 2023 and an offseason that left some fans hoping for more, Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA standings projected the Mets to finish in third place in the NL East with 83-84 wins. PECTOA gave the Mets a 3% chance of winning the division for the first time since 2015 and a 49% chance at returning to the playoffs. They have a 2.3% chance of reaching the...
Baseball Prospectus released their PECOTA projections for the 2023 season, and the algorithm is bullish on the Mets chances this upcoming season. The latest model projects the Mets to win 95.8 games, which is more than five games clear of the Braves (90.6), and six of the Phillies (89.8) in the National League East. The Mets are third overall and second in the NL in projected win total in MLB...
