Michael Conforto is seen as a force in the Mets lineup for now and the near future, if not longer. Earlier in June, Mickey Callaway stated “When other pitching coaches, and other pitchers, have to game-plan for someone in a lineup like Conforto, you understand that, hey, you better make your pitches. Don’t make mistakes. You’ve got to get the ball where you want to. It creates anxiety. It creates a part of the lineup that is tough to navigate.”

When in the midst of a hot streak, Conforto is one of the best left-handed hitters in the game. Something many Mets fans have been waiting to see from Conforto, however, is consistency. This is something Conforto struggled with in his 2018 campaign.

To better show this inconsistency, all you need to do is look at his numbers before and after the All-Star Break.

Given this history of inconsistency, there is a reason for some fans to be worried about the recent slump Conforto is in. Throughout the month of June, Conforto carried a .229/.303/.429 slash line. The short-sighted reaction to this would be that he needs to figure out how to avoid long stretches of slumps in order to become the next face of the franchise. However, there is only so many things a player can control when hitting. One thing they cannot control is luck, and Conforto has not had much of it lately.

Over the last week, Conforto’s batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is .071. Extending farther, his BABIP over the last two weeks is .161. To put these numbers  into perspective, the league average BABIP is around .300. His mark over his career is .291 while his 2019 number is .274.

The first thought outside of luck might be that he is not hitting the ball hard during his slump, therefore his balls in play aren’t becoming hits. This is not true, however. Diving into more statistics, Conforto had a 23.1 line drive percentage. The league average line drive percentage is 21%. His hard hit percentage was 32.5%, with the average being 31%. Michael Conforto has been hitting the ball relatively hard with nearly nothing to show for it.

Overall, there is no denying Conforto is in the midst of a dreadful slump, being just 2-for-his-last-25 after a big go-ahead hit on Tuesday. There is some solace Mets fans can take, however, knowing that luck has not been on Conforto’s side during his cold streak. If luck can go back to being on his side, I would find it fair to expect a successful July for Michael Conforto.