According to our friends at Number Fire they project that the Mets have a 45.72% chance to beat the Cubs and advance to their first World Series appearance since 2000.
They have the Cubs winning the series in six games games at 16.36%. However, if it goes seven, the Mets would be the favorite.
NL Championship Series
- New York Mets win in 4: 5.46%
- New York Mets win in 5: 10.24%
- New York Mets win in 6: 14.37%
- New York Mets win in 7: 15.65%
- New York Mets win series: 45.72%
- Chicago Cubs win in 4: 7.93%
- Chicago Cubs win in 5: 14.83%
- Chicago Cubs win in 6: 16.36%
- Chicago Cubs win in 7: 15.16%
- Chicago Cubs win series: 54.28%
Additionally, heading into the NLCS, New York is third most likely to win their first World Series since 1986 at 19.74%. Here is how they compare:
| Team | World Series |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 40.74% |
| Chicago Cubs | 25.68% |
| New York Mets | 19.74% |
| Kansas City Royals | 13.84% |
The New York Mets have been beating the odds since day one, and actually I’ve taken a fondness to being the underdog. We are underestimated and to me that’s an advantage.
