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Phil Rogers of MLB.com looks back at the 2015 postseason and ranks the chances of those ten teams returning to the postseason in 2015. Topping the list at No. 1 Rogers has the New York Mets. He writes:

1. Mets

They’ll roll if: Lefty Steven Matz stays healthy for a full season, adding another piece to baseball’s best rotation. Hitters already hate facing the Mets’ staff, and the emergence of Matz, along with the return of Zack Wheeler, should make them even tougher.

They’ll struggle if: Yoenis Cespedes regresses back to his form in 2013 and ’14, when he hit .251 with a .744 OPS and a 21.7 percent strikeout rate. He’s the key to a lineup that looks improved up the middle with Asdrubal Cabrera at shortstop and Neil Walker at second.

Rounding up the top five are the Chicago Cubs, Kansas City Royals, Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates. The New York Yankees ranked last with the lowest probability of returning to the postseason.

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