How Punxsutawney Phil Predicts the Mets Season


Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow today, which means we are in for a Long Winter…

But what does that mean for the Mets?

Unfortunately, it’s not a good sign. Since 1962, Phil’s predictions of Long Winters have by and large not boded well for the Orange and Blue. 2014 marks the 41st time the world famous Groundhog has predicted a long winter since the Mets began play. There have been only 15 winning seasons when he has predicted a long winter.

But when Phil has predicted an Early Spring, the Mets have fared much better. In the 12 seasons following Phil’s prediction, the Mets have had 8 winning seasons.

  • When Phil predicts a Long Winter – the Mets have a winning season only 38% of the time.
  • When Phil predicts an Early Spring – the Mets have a winning season 67% of the time.

That’s scary stuff. Darn that Groundhog.

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About Roger N - Big Mets Fan 128 Articles
Roger is a lifelong Mets fan since 1981, now married with kids and still knows that there is no such thing as a bad day at the ballpark with your child. Growing up, he wanted to be either the Second Baseman for the Mets - or their statistician. Follow him at @BigMetsFan1. email him at