Mets Merized Online » predictions http://metsmerizedonline.com Wed, 10 Feb 2016 19:41:32 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.8.13 2015 Mets Staff and Community Predictions Thread http://metsmerizedonline.com/2015/04/2015-mets-staff-and-community-predictions-thread.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2015/04/2015-mets-staff-and-community-predictions-thread.html/#comments Sun, 05 Apr 2015 22:00:27 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=178201 collins harvey wright

With Spring Training officially wrapped up and the 2015 season set to begin, now would be the perfect time for everyone to state their 2015 predictions.

Why leave all the fun of predicting how our players and team performs to the beat writers and the “experts”? In the time that I have spent reading and interacting with the staff and members of MMO, I am convinced that many of you are just as knowledgeable if not more informed than the ones who are paid to cover the team.

Quite a few of you responded to user Schadenfreudianslip’s comment on creating a prediction thread the other day so let this be the official place for all of you to share your forecasts. It doesn’t matter if they are based off statistics, gut feelings or voodoo dolls, just tell us what you anticipate for the upcoming season so you can bask in the glory when they come true and say “I told you so” or get put to shame as your prophecies start to look silly.

We asked some of our team members for their thoughts on the following. Here are their responses.

Joe D.

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Juan Lagares
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Steven Matz
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Steven Matz
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Matt Harvey
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Jacob deGrom
  8. Most disappointing player – Travis d’Arnaud
  9. One Met who will be traded – Daniel Murphy
  10. Final team record – 86-75

Gerry Silverman

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Juan Lagares
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Rafael Montero
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Rafael Montero
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – David Wright
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda/Curtis Granderson
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Travis d’Arnaud
  9. One Met who will be traded – Dillon Gee
  10. Final team record – 92-70

 

Gregg Hopps

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Curtis Granderson puts up MVP numbers.
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Dillon Gee proves he should be a starter.
  3. Mets Top Rookie -
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Matt Harvey
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Bobby Parnell
  9. One Met who will be traded -
  10. Final team record – 92-70

Matt Mosher

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Travis d’Arnaud
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Steven Matz
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Steven Matz
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – David Wright
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Curtis Granderson
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Daniel Murphy
  9. One Met who will be traded – Daniel Murphy
  10. Final team record – 83-79

Tommy Rothman

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Juan Lagares
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Jon Niese.
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Noah Syndergaard.
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Wilmer Flores
  9. One Met who will be traded – Daniel Murphy  
  10. Final team record – 85-77

Destry

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Juan Lagares
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Rafael Montero
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Sean Gilmartin
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Michael Cuddyer
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jon Niese
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Jerry Blevins (pen) Jacob deGrom (rotation)
  8. Most disappointing player – Jenrry Mejia
  9. One Met who will be traded – SS Milton Ramos (PTBNL to SD)
  10. Final team record – 91-71 Mets win division (WAS & MIA way overrated)

Michael Mayer

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Wilmer Flores
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Jeurys Familia
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Steven Matz
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Travis d’Arnaud
  9. One Met who will be traded – Jenrry Mejia
  10. Final team record – 88-74

Stephanie

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Travis d’Arnaud/Juan Lagares (I can’t choose!)
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Rafael Montero
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Steven Matz (hopefully!)
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Daniel Murphy
  9. One Met who will be traded – Dillon Gee
  10. Final team record – 85-77

Logan Barer

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Travis d’Arnaud
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Dillon Gee
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Steven Matz
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Matt Harvey
  7. Team Leader (ERA leader) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Terry Collins (kidding, Wilmer Flores)
  9. One Met who will be traded – Dillon Gee
  10. Final team record: 91-71

Brian Devine

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Juan Lagares
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Rafael Montero
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Rafael Montero
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – David Wright
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Curtis Granderson
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Michael Cuddyer
  9. One Met who will be traded – Dillon Gee
  10. Final team record – 81-81

Avery Decker

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Juan Lagares
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Noah Syndergaard
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Noah Syndergaard
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Michael Cuddyer
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Matt Harvey
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Matt Harvey
  8. Most disappointing player – Travis d’Arnaud
  9. One Met who will be traded – Bartolo Colon
  10. Final team record – 83-79

Laurence Smith

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Kevin Plawecki
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Steven Matz
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Steven Matz
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Jacob deGrom
  8. Most disappointing player – Wilmer Flores
  9. One Met who will be traded – Dillon Gee
  10. Final team record – 83-79

Willywater88

  1. Mets Breakout Hitter – Wilmer Flores
  2. Mets Breakout Pitcher – Rafael Montero
  3. Mets Top Rookie – Rafael Montero (yes he qualifies)
  4. Team Leader (RBI) – Lucas Duda
  5. Team Leader (HR) – Lucas Duda
  6. Team Leader (Wins) – Jacob deGrom
  7. Team Leader (ERA) – Not sure but the team ERA will be under 3.50
  8. Most disappointing player – I don’t see any major disappointments but I am worried about Jon Niese getting injured
  9. One Met who will be traded – Buddy Carlyle
  10. Final team record – 88-74

Other Thoughts – Colon gets moved to the pen at some point. Steven Matz becomes a top 25 prospect. If the Mets do not make the playoffs or lose a wild card game, Terry Collins will not be back next year.

Now let’s see what you can do, and be bold with your predictions! But just beware that anything you say here can and will be used against you in the court of public opinion as the season progresses.

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Dwight Gooden Sees Mets In Postseason In 2015 http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/12/dwight-gooden-sees-mets-in-postseason-in-2015.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/12/dwight-gooden-sees-mets-in-postseason-in-2015.html/#comments Tue, 02 Dec 2014 13:45:06 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=170991 dwight gooden

Dwight Gooden told Anthony Sulla-Heffinger of Yahoo Sports, that he believes the Mets are on the right track and should go to the postseason in 2015 and possibly win the World Series in 2016.

“I think next year you will see some big strides from the Mets, possibly making the postseason, and then the following year, on the 30th anniversary of the 1986 team, that’s the year the Mets should win [the World Series]. That’s how I feel. I think they are definitely on the right track.”

Gooden also sees some similarities between the Mets rotations of those eighties teams and what they have now. “The Mets have some great arms and hopefully there is some parallel to our teams in the ’80s.”

Terry Collins and many of the players have also come out and made similar predictions about the team making the postseason in 2015.

“We should be playing in October”, Collins said last month. “Our young guys are starting to grow, with the addition of some offense, and…we’re going to make some more moves before spring training starts. I think 2015 is going to be a good year for us.”

Jacob deGrom talked playoffs just a week ago. “We should be able to make it to the playoffs next year and hopefully get to the World Series,” deGrom said.“With Matt Harvey coming back, another great pitcher, we’ve got Cuddyer and David Wright is going to be healthy. When that all comes together it should be something special.”

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A Look Back At 2014′s Boldest Mets Predictions http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/09/a-look-back-at-2014s-boldest-mets-predictions.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/09/a-look-back-at-2014s-boldest-mets-predictions.html/#comments Mon, 29 Sep 2014 16:00:21 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=166892 zack wheelerI love looking back after a season at what people were saying during spring training. Sure Sandy Alderson said that the team could win 90 games but we all knew that wasn’t a realistic goal. Instead, guys like Adam Rubin, Joe Lemire and the fine folks over at Bleacher Report all made predictions for the season. Let’s see how they did.

ESPN’s Adam Rubin speculated about whether .500 was a legitimate goal and if it mattered. Turns out the Mets fell short of that goal. He also correctly alluded to the trading of Ike Davis. He correctly speculated that Chris Young was overrated by Sandy Alderson but thought the same of Bartolo Colon. Colon ended up being a strong point for the Mets.

chris youngOne of the funniest things to look back on were the bullpen projections. Names like Jose Valverde, Kyle Farnsworth and Bobby Parnell were quickly replaced with Jenrry Mejia, Vic Black and Jeurys Familia. In the end, Rubin had the Mets finishing in 4th in the NL East with a 76-86 record. They ended up winning three more games and finishing in 2nd.

Bleacher Report Featured Columnist Sean Cunningham made some of the more amusing predictions. He had Chris Young finishing in the top 10 in home runs in the NL, Travis D’Arnaud becoming a first time All-Star and Daniel Murphy finishing in the top 5 for the batting title. Murphy’s .289 average puts him at #13.

Cunningham did get two things spot on. He predicted that Zack Wheeler would have the team’s worst winning percentage and that Juan Lagares would win a Gold Glove. While Wheeler’s wasn’t quite the worst at .500, it wasn’t good and Lagares could easily take home center field’s top award next month.

Sports Illustrated’s Joe Lemire made a few bold predictions that got away from him. Among them were that the Mets would have a winning season with 82 wins. We know now that this wasn’t the case.

The prediction game is fun but it’s meant more as an exercise than a critique. Predicting sports is near impossible and baseball is probably the trickiest of them all. I’ll be sure to make my predictions for 2015 well known so that one year from now I can see how wrong (or right) I was!

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Prediction Audit: Hits and Misses…Mostly Misses http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/06/prediction-audit-hits-and-misses-mostly-misses.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/06/prediction-audit-hits-and-misses-mostly-misses.html/#comments Thu, 12 Jun 2014 16:55:06 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=158449 David-Price

So here we are, 40% of the season is done and the Mets are 61 games away from the 90 win bar set by GM Sandy Alderson before the season started. So the Mets only need to play .628 ball the rest of the way to achieve their 90 wins, totally do-able (crickets).

So, Sandy wasn’t the only one who swung and missed on his 2014 prediction, before the season started I gave you my predictions too. Let’s look at my hits and misses thus far.

AL East: Tampa, Boston, New York, Toronto, Baltimore – Swing and a miss! Tampa’s offense has made the Mets look like the Big Red Machine, and Boston’s luck appears to have run out. Toronto has had a pretty red hot last 30 days and has the rest of the division in the rear view mirror. You know it’s bad here when people actually wish they had an injury prone .735 OPS hitter as their SS again. As for the Yankees? Nailed it.

AL Central: Detroit, Cleveland, Kansas City, Minnesota, Chicago –   Well, I guess I was right so far with regards to the Tigers. But seriously, anybody who picked against Detroit this year was just playing the odds. I think one big miss I had was Jose Abreu – that guy is scary. Still, the rest of the division is hovering the .500 mark so I think it’s too early to tell what was right and what was wrong. Xtreem’s MVP pick has been terrible huh? Where did you go Eric Hosmer?

AL West: Los Angeles, Texas, Oakland, Seattle, Houston – Right now, you can put LA, Texas and Seattle in a hat and draw two names and you’ll be just fine. I feel okay about my predictions for those 3 teams. What still gets me is Oakland. At the next Sandy lover meeting, I’m probably going to have to do push ups when they re-read my Oakland prediction. I don’t know what it is about that team, but they defy “on paper,” so magnificently. Their critics over the last twenty years point to the lack of World Series championships – but this is a team on its way to their 9th 90+ win season in the last 15 years, second only to the Yankees who have 11. It baffles me that people do not respect that.

NL East: Washington, Atlanta, New York, Miami, Philadelphia – You know what I find funny is when people excuse the Nats current lack of a big division lead on “injuries.” Meanwhile Atlanta is thinking, “um hello?” The Braves, like Oakland just continue to defy logic it seems. It’s really telling what a well-run organization can do when faced with great challenges. Atlanta pretty much started the whole Tommy John epidemic conversation, and they have not looked like a team that lost anybody. Miami is somehow still hanging tough without Jose Fernandez, probably thanks to that Giancarlo fella everybody talks about. I totally crushed my awards though right? Harper-Colon-DiceK. That’s what horse racing fans call a Trifecta!

NL Central: St. Louis, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Chicago, Milwaukee – Crushed it! Man those Brewers are terrible right? Probably something like 10 games out of the…what’s that? Oh they are the 3rd best team in the sport? Oh, that’s my bad. But seriously, isn’t that pretty much everybody’s bad? Is somebody going to comment that they saw this coming? Fun fact, Ryan Braun’s OPS is EXACTLY the same as it was when he was suspended last year. Weird. Still, I think the Cardinals can take this division and I’m okay with sliding Cincy and the Buccos down a slot to make room for the Brew Crew in 2nd. Before anybody does it, the fact Carlos Gomez is good now – doesn’t mean the Mets should have not acquired Johan Santana. So don’t even bother typing it. Speaking of Carlos Gomez (I know my most loyal “fans” won’t like this) but whenever a player in their late 20’s suddenly becomes a power hitter, don’t we usually have a habit of questioning that? 44 HR in 2,130 plate appearances through the age of 26, now 36 HR in 858 appearances at 27 and 28. No biggy, probably special vitamins or something. I guess I just find it odd that a guy who was never seen as a power threat is suddenly becoming one late in his career. (And here they go!)

NL West: Los Angeles, Arizona, San Diego, San Francisco, Colorado – Seems like the answer to my question “Can anybody stop the Dodgers?” is yes, “themselves.” I couldn’t have been more wrong about San Francisco and Arizona though, jeez. Back to LA, it’s amazing that a team with so much talent can be such a mess. They can’t even be looked at like the Marlins a few years ago – because this team is pretty much the same roster as last year with some minor tweaks. I saw manager Don Mattingly blame chemistry – and I hate to tell ya Donny, but that’s on you. Colorado started to play really well, but they are starting to come back to reality. This division is a two team race between San Francisco and Los Angeles – and I myself would love to see the Giants take it.

So what does this all mean?

Clearly, I am going to blame the unpredictability of the sport and ignore the fact that with 40% of the season completed – my pick average is somewhere between the batting average of Travis d’Arnaud and Ruben Tejada.

So what has surprised you about your own predictions as we head into the dog days of summer?

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Over and Under Predictions – Win A 2014 Topps Mets Team Set! http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/03/2014-overunders-mets-edition.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/03/2014-overunders-mets-edition.html/#comments Mon, 31 Mar 2014 11:00:57 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=152172 lagares

Win A 2014 Topps Mets Team Set!

Opening Week is here, thank heavens. MMO has been rolling out a series of predictions over the past few days, and now it’s time for our annual Over & Under questions and results.

How many home runs will Curtis Granderson hit? How many saves will we get from Bobby Parnell? How many games will the Mets win this season? We tackle all those questions and two dozen more as we see what Met fans are thinking as we enter a new season that should be fun to watch and exciting to follow.

Here’s how 20 of our writers responded to 27 different under and over questions. You can click each chart for an expanded view. 

over under 1

MMO Staff Over Under – Part 1

over under 2

MMO Staff Over Under – Part 2

Now it’s your turn!

Go ahead and post your own Over & Under responses in the comment thread below, and we’ll choose one random winner who will get a cool prize!

harvey

2014 Topps Mets Team Set – Series One

This recently released set includes rookie cards for Wilmer Flores and Travis d’Arnaud, plus young up and coming stars Juan Lagares and Zack Wheeler. Matt Harvey is also included in the 9 card set!

Sound off in the comments with your predictions on the following!

  • Wins – 77.5
  • Final NL East Standing – 3.5
  • Games out of final WC spot – 9.5
  • Home runs for David Wright – 22.5
  • Home runs for Curtis Granderson – 25.5
  • Home runs for Ike Davis – 29.5
  • Starts for Bartolo Colon – 19.5
  • Debut of Noah Syndergaard – June 9
  • Debut of Rafael Montero – May 19
  • Number of saves for Bobby Parnell – 27.5
  • K/9 for Zack Wheeler – 9.00
  • BB/9 for Zack Wheeler – 3.50
  • DL stints for Bartolo Colon – 2.5
  • Starters with 200 innings – 1.5
  • Pitchers to make a start – 8.5
  • Relievers with 60+ appearances – 1.5
  • Relievers with 50+ appearances – 2.5
  • Relievers with 40+ appearances – 3.5
  • All Stars – 2.5
  • Total WAR (Fangraphs) of the entire outfield – 9.5
  • Number of Mets to get ROY votes – 2.5
  • Combined OBP for leadoff hitter – .3245
  • Number of starts at SS for Ruben Tejada – 119.5
  • Number of player to start 30+ games at first base – 3.5
  • NL rank in HRs – 10.5
  • NL Rank in OBP – 11.5
  • MetsBlog Fan Approval Rating – 69.5

Leave your Over and Under responses below and we’ll choose a winner for the Topps Mets team set after today’s game and announce the winner in our game recap!

Have fun!

mmo

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How Punxsutawney Phil Predicts the Mets Season http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/02/how-punxsutawney-phil-predicts-the-mets-season.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2014/02/how-punxsutawney-phil-predicts-the-mets-season.html/#comments Sun, 02 Feb 2014 13:18:57 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=147029 punxsutawney-phil

Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow today, which means we are in for a Long Winter…

But what does that mean for the Mets?

Unfortunately, it’s not a good sign. Since 1962, Phil’s predictions of Long Winters have by and large not boded well for the Orange and Blue. 2014 marks the 41st time the world famous Groundhog has predicted a long winter since the Mets began play. There have been only 15 winning seasons when he has predicted a long winter.

But when Phil has predicted an Early Spring, the Mets have fared much better. In the 12 seasons following Phil’s prediction, the Mets have had 8 winning seasons.

  • When Phil predicts a Long Winter – the Mets have a winning season only 38% of the time.
  • When Phil predicts an Early Spring – the Mets have a winning season 67% of the time.

That’s scary stuff. Darn that Groundhog.

Presented By Diehards

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MMO Free Agent Prediction Contest: Win Free Tickets To See The Mets In April! http://metsmerizedonline.com/2013/11/mmo-free-agent-prediction-contest-win-free-tickets-to-see-the-mets-in-april.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2013/11/mmo-free-agent-prediction-contest-win-free-tickets-to-see-the-mets-in-april.html/#comments Wed, 20 Nov 2013 17:45:59 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=131988 jacoby ellsbury

I was taking a look at a month old post from Jon Heyman of CBS Sports, who enlisted the services of one unbiased agent and one unbiased GM to put together their free agent predictions for this 2013-2014 offseason.

I was curious to see where they had LaTroy Hawkins, Marlon Byrd and Josh Johnson pegged and surprising all three signed for far less than what many expected.

Here is what they came up with:

predictions

Hawkins got literally half of what the consensus had projected, Johnson got 20% less than what they predicted, and Byrd they came closest to, but still less than what they expected on average.

I’m a little late on this, but we had a little Free Agent Prediction contest among our staff and wanted to share our predictions with you. We decided to go with what we believed were the top twelve available free agents and predict their ultimate destinations.

Johnson was included in our Top 12 and not one of us had him going to the Padres although many of us saw him going to the West Coast.

Here are the rest of our predictions including DrDooby who included projected deals as well…

DrDooby

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees, 8-years, $200 million

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Mariners, 6-years, $120 million

3. Brian McCann – Rangers, 5-years, $90 million

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Mets, 5-years, $95 million ;-)

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees, $70 million posting fee and 5-year, $55 million contract

6. Carlos Beltran – Red Sox, 2-years, $35 million contract

7. Ervin Santana – Cubs, 4-years, $54 million

8. Matt Garza – Phillies, 5-years, $75 million

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees, 1-year, $16 million

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox, 2-years, $28 million

11. Josh Johnson - Rangers, 2-years, $21 million

12. Nelson Cruz – Phillies, 3-years, $36 million

Clayton

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Yankees

3. Brian McCann – Rangers

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Rangers

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

6. Carlos Beltran – Red Sox

7. Ervin Santana – Cubs

8. Matt Garza – Yankees

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Japan

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Padres

12. Nelson Cruz – Mariners

Kirk

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Mariners

3. Brian McCann – Rangers

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Reds

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

6. Carlos Beltran – Cardinals

7. Ervin Santana – Royals

8. Matt Garza – Mets

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Nationals

12. Nelson Cruz – Phillies

Rusty

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Red Sox

3. Brian McCann – Yankees

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Phillies

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Dodgers

6. Carlos Beltran – Cardinals

7. Ervin Santana – Pirates

8. Matt Garza – Orioles

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Blue Jays

12. Nelson Cruz – Phillies

Satish

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Mariners

3. Brian McCann – Angels

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Pirates

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

6. Carlos Beltran – Royals

7. Ervin Santana – Twins

8. Matt Garza – Giants

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Dodgers

12. Nelson Cruz – Rangers

William

1. Robinson Cano – Nationals

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Red Sox

3. Brian McCann – Yankees

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Mets

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

6. Carlos Beltran – Yankees

7. Ervin Santana – Indians

8. Matt Garza – Angels

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Phillies

12. Nelson Cruz – Phillies

Gerry

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Cubs

3. Brian McCann – Yankees

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Reds

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Dodgers

6. Carlos Beltran – Cardinals

7. Ervin Santana – Royals

8. Matt Garza – Yankees

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Mets

12. Nelson Cruz – Philiels

Joe D.

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Cubs

3. Brian McCann – Rangers

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Tigers

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

6. Carlos Beltran – Orioles

7. Ervin Santana – Royals

8. Matt Garza – Giants

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – A’s

12. Nelson Cruz – Phillies

Tommy

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Red Sox

3. Brian McCann – Yankees

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Mariners

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Cubs

6. Carlos Beltran – Cardinals

7. Ervin Santana – White Sox

8. Matt Garza – Reds

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Rangers

11. Josh Johnson – Jays

12. Nelson Cruz – Mets (why not)

Corey

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Rangers

3. Brian McCann – Rangers

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Yankees

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Dodgers

6. Carlos Beltran – Cardinals

7. Ervin Santana – Cubs

8. Matt Garza – Angels

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – A’s

12. Nelson Cruz – Phillies

Joe S.

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Red Sox

3. Brian McCann – Dodgers

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Cardinals

5. Masahiro Tanaka -

6. Carlos Beltran – Red Sox

7. Ervin Santana – Rockies

8. Matt Garza – Rockies

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Mets

12. Nelson Cruz – Mets

Barry

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Red Sox

3. Brian McCann – Yankees

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Phillies

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

6. Carlos Beltran – Cardinals

7. Ervin Santana – Cubs

8. Matt Garza – Rangers

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Angels

10. Mike Napoli – Pirates

11. Josh Johnson – White Sox

12. Nelson Cruz – Indians

Peter K.

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Mariners

3. Brian McCann – Yankees

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Mets

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Angels

6. Carlos Beltran – Yankees

7. Ervin Santana – White Sox

8. Matt Garza – Rangers

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Dodgers

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Mets

12. Nelson Cruz – Rangers

Jim

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Rangers

3. Brian McCann – Yankees

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Mariners

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Cubs

6. Carlos Beltran – Phillies

7. Ervin Santana – Pirates

8. Matt Garza – Giants

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Cubs

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – White Sox

12. Nelson Cruz – Orioles

Xtreem

1. Robinson Cano – Yankees

2. Jacoby Ellsbury – Mariners

3. Brian McCann – White Sox

4. Shin-Soo Choo – Rangers

5. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

6. Carlos Beltran – Cardinals

7. Ervin Santana – Orioles

8. Matt Garza – Pirates

9. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

10. Mike Napoli – Red Sox

11. Josh Johnson – Cubs

12. Nelson Cruz – Phillies

I am going to giveaway a free pair of Mets tickets to an April game to the writer who comes the closest. But I also want to engage our readers as well and treat them to a free pair of tickets to see the Mets next season as well.

mets tickets

So leave your predictions for the remaining 11 players below in the contest and the readers who correctly guesses the most destinations will win. In the event of a tie, here is the tie breaker. The one who comes closest to guessing the total guaranteed deal for free agent Robinson Cano. How much will he get? This is for guaranteed money only. Option years don’t count but buyouts do as they are guaranteed.

Met fans who finish in second and third place will get a free Metsmerized T-Shirt!

I need all ballots/responses by Midnight on Friday night.

Good luck to all of you!

GET METSMERIZED 2

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2013 Mets: I’m Not Making Any Predictions http://metsmerizedonline.com/2013/04/2013-mets-im-not-making-any-predictions.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2013/04/2013-mets-im-not-making-any-predictions.html/#comments Fri, 05 Apr 2013 14:41:59 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=113145 crystal ballSo, this time of year, everyone wants a prediction on the Mets season. How many games will they win? Will Ike Davis hit more homers? Can our new captain lead the team to a better record? Who will be the pitcher to watch now that R.A. Dickey is gone and Johan Santana is done?

I am not a big fan of predictions probably because they never come true. Why waste your time guessing how the team will do?  It’s hard enough to hear all the so-called “experts” around baseball tell you that the Mets will be horrible this year. They don’t even mention that the Mets are even in the NL East – that really gets me mad!

So, instead of predictions, let’s look at what we hope for. I hope for our young pitchers to gain the experience necessary to make them credible pitchers in the near future, like in 2014. I am looking forward to watching Matt Harvey, Dillon Gee and eventually Zack Wheeler pitch, knowing that we can say we saw them when they first started. They all have great potential so let’s see what they can do.

I hope for our outfield situation to work itself out. Everyone is in love with Collin Cowgill after his Opening Day slam and I  think he played well this spring. Let’s see what he can do. I know that Lucas Duda and Marlon Byrd are starting for now and we’ll have to see what happens, especially in Duda’s case. We all know he’s not the greatest of fielders and hopefully his bat can make up for the defensive hole that he causes.

New York Mets shortstop Ruben TejadaI hope that Ruben Tejada and Daniel Murphy keep improving and working on their defensive craft. We all know Murph can hit and we will have to see if Tejada can improve on last year’s totals. Tejada played shortstop well last year – yes, we still miss Jose – but Tejada did an acceptable job.

I hope that Ike and David will continue to be the cornerstones of this franchise. We all know what David means to this team and the fans and Ike is turning into a fine defensive first baseman. Now let’s hope that he doesn’t suffer through a miserable first half like last year.

And how about the bullpen? Can Bobby Parnell turn into the closer we need? He has the stuff to do it; does he have the mentality?  Scott Rice is a great story and I loved what Josh Edgin did last year. Could LaTroy Hawkins be a surprise coming out of the bullpen?

Yes, there are many questions that need to be answered but I refuse to believe that we can’t improve on our 74 win season in 2012. I just don’t think we are that bad. If we do the hard work this year, 2014 and 2015 can be very special seasons for the Mets. I have seen many bad seasons over my 45 years of following the Mets but this year can be the start of a promising run.

Mets fans are a hearty bunch – we are loyal and in it for the long haul. I will be watching every game and looking to see a brighter future for our ballclub. My one prediction for 2013 – the Mets will be competitive and fun to watch. I’ll say we finish at 80-82.

Have hope, fellow Mets fans and look at 2013 as  the year when all the future pieces start to fall into place. Watch out in 2014!

Let’s Go Mets!!

"Positive thinking breeds positive results."  ~  Tug McGraw

“Positive thinking breeds positive results.” ~ Tug McGraw

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MMO 2013 Predictions: American League Award Winners http://metsmerizedonline.com/2013/04/mmo-2013-predictions-american-league-award-winners.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2013/04/mmo-2013-predictions-american-league-award-winners.html/#comments Wed, 03 Apr 2013 12:00:33 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=112781 The 2013 season is officially underway, and you all know what that means, our annual MMO preseason predictions. Each year our tireless staff of writers send in their predictions for the 2013 season, and the player with the most votes gets our pre-season nod for all that shiny MLB hardware. Later today, we will have the NL Awards and in the coming days will have plenty more of fun and interesting predictions! So without further ado, here are our award winners in the American League:

American League Cy Young Award

Felix Hernandez

Seattle-Mariners-Felix-Hernandez

Big King Felix took the Cy Young Award with five votes from our staff. In second was Justin Verlander with three and third was Chirs Sale with two. Jared Weaver, the imperfect Yu Darvish, Matt Harrison, Josh Johnson all had one vote a piece.

American League MVP

Mike Trout

trout

Mike Trout took home seven MMO votes to take our MVP award, and to think, he could have been a Met ;-). Albert Pujols was second with three and the new Jay-Z client Robinson Cano was third with two.

AL Home Run Champ

Jose Bautista

jose-bautista1

Brief but former Met Jose Bautista received six votes to become our preseason home run king. Prince Fielder was second with three tallies.

AL Batting Champion

Mike Trout and Robinson Cano

mvp race

We have a tie! At four votes a piece, Mike Trout and Robinson Cano were voted co-batting champs. Miguel Cabrera was behind them at three. Josh Hamilton and Joe Mauer had two.

AL Stolen Base Leader

Mike Trout

mike trout

I’m starting to see a theme here, something seems a little fishy. Mike Trout leads the American League with five votes. Michael Bourn with his new Indians at four and former-met speedster Jose Reyes in third at two picks.

AL Rookie Of The Year

Wil Myers

2012 Sirius XM All-Star Futures Game

Now Tampa Bay Rays prospect Wil Myers is our choice for ROY at seven votes. Trevor Bauer had three, and Jurickson Profar and Dylan Bundy nabbed two a piece.

AL Comeback Player Of The Year

Mariano Rivera

Mariano Rivera gets our nod for Comeback Player at five tallies. Jose Bautista had himself four votes. Lance Berkman, Jacoby Ellsbury took home two a piece, hell even Jason Bay got thrown a bone from Jessep!

mmo logoSo that’s our 2013 A.L. Award predictions, hope you enjoyed… We’ll have the National League posted later today. In the mean time, here is how our staff voted individually. Feel free to comment with your own AL predictions!

Joe D.

AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez

AL MVP: Mike Trout

AL Homerun Champ: Prince Fielder

AL Batting Leader: Robinson Cano

AL Stolen Base Leader: Mike Trout

AL ROY: Trevor Bauer

AL Comeback Player: Jacoby Ellsbury

Paul Zinn

AL Cy Young – Felix Hernandez

AL MVP – Robinson Cano

AL Homerun Champ – Albert Pujols

AL Batting Leader – Miguel Cabrera

AL Stolen Base Leader – Jose Reyes

AL Rookie of the Year -Trevor Bauer

AL Comeback Player – Mariano Rivera

Clare Laferty

AL Cy Young – Felix Hernandez

AL MVP – Mike Trout

Michael Barrett

AL Cy Young – David Price

AL MVP – Mike Trout

AL Homerun Champ – Mark Trumbo

AL Batting Leader – Miguel Cabrera

AL Stolen Base Leader – Mike Trout

AL Rookie of the Year -Jurickson Profar

AL Comeback Player – Mariano Rivera

Vinny B.

AL Cy Young – Jered Weaver

AL MVP – Albert Pujols

AL HR Champ – Jose Bautista

AL Batting Leader -Robinson Cano

AL Stolen Base Leader – Desmond Jennings

AL Rookie of the year – Will Myers

AL Comeback player of the year – Lance Berkman

Matt Balasis

AL Cy Young – David Price

AL MVP – Jose Bautista

AL Homerun Champ – Jose Bautista

AL Batting Leader – Joe Mauer

AL Stolen Base Leader – Jose Reyes

AL Rookie of the Year – Wil Myers

AL Comeback Player – Jose Bautista

Joe Spector

AL Cy Young – Justin Verlander

AL MVP – Albert Pujols

AL Homerun Champ – Jose Bautista

AL Batting Leader – Robinson Cano

AL Stolen Base Leader – Brett Gardner

AL Rookie of the Year – Dylan Bundy

AL Comeback Player – Jose Bautista

Jessep

AL Cy Young – Felix Hernandez

AL MVP – Prince Fielder

AL Homerun Champ – Prince Fielder

AL Batting Leader – Mike Trout

AL Stolen Base Leader – Jose Altuve

AL Rookie of the Year – Trevor Bauer

AL Comeback Player – Jason Bay

Rob (Tie Dyed)

AL Cy Young – Chris Sale

AL MVP – Mike Trout

AL Homerun Champ – Jose Bautista

AL Batting Leader – Billy Butler

AL Stolen Base Leader – Jose Reyes

AL Rookie of the Year – Wil Myers

AL Comeback Player – Jose Bautista

Connor

AL Cy Young – Justin Verlander

AL MVP – Miguel Cabrera

AL Homerun Champ – Adam Dunn

AL Batting Leader – Joe Mauer

AL Stolen Base Leader – Michael Bourn

AL Rookie of the Year – Dylan Bundy

AL Comeback Player – Eric Hosmer

Clayton Collier

AL Cy Young – Matt Harrison

AL MVP – Robinson Cano

AL Homerun Champ – Jose Bautista

AL Batting Leader – Miguel Cabrera

AL Stolen Base Leader – Michael Bourn

AL Rookie of the Year – Wil Myers

AL Comeback Player – Victor Martinez

Gerry Silverman

AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez

AL MVP: Mike Trout

AL Homerun Champ: Prince Fielder

AL Batting Leader: Mike Trout

AL Stolen Base Leader: Mike Trout

AL ROY: Jurickson Profar

AL Comeback Player: Jacob Ellsbury

Adam Rossi

AL Cy Young – Yu Darvish

AL MVP – Mike Trout

AL Homerun Champ – Jose Bautista

AL Batting Leader – Mike Trout

AL Stolen Base Leader – Mike Trout

AL Rookie of the Year – Wil Myers

AL Comeback Player – Jose Bautista

Dan Valis

AL Cy Young – David Price

AL MVP – Jose Bautista

AL Homerun Champ – Jose Bautista

AL Batting Leader – Josh Hamilton

AL Stolen Base Leader – Michael Bourn

AL Rookie of the Year – Wil Myers

AL Comeback Player – Mariano Rivera

XtreemIcon

AL Cy Young – Justin Verlander

AL MVP – Evan Longoria

AL Homerun Champ – Josh Hamilton

AL Batting Leader – Josh Hamilton

AL Stolen Base Leader – Emilio Bonafacio

AL Rookie of the Year – Wil Myers

AL Comeback Player – Mariano Rivera

Gregg Hopps

AL Cy Young -Josh Johnson

AL Batting Leader -Mike Trout

AL Comeback Player -Mariano Rivera

Jim Mancari

AL Cy Young – Chris Sale

AL MVP – Albert Pujols

AL Homerun Champ – Albert Pujols

AL Batting Leader – Robinson Cano

AL Stolen Base Leader – Michael Bourn

AL Rookie of the Year – Jurickson Profar

AL Comeback Player – Lance Berkman

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MMO 2011 Staff Predictions: Award Winners http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/04/mmo-2011-staff-predictions-award-winners.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/04/mmo-2011-staff-predictions-award-winners.html/#comments Fri, 01 Apr 2011 16:00:26 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=47531 Here is who we think will bring home all the hardware in 2011 as well as who we believe will lead their leagues in a few key categories.

(Click the image to enlarge!)

Let us know what you think and feel free to share your predictions too!

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What Can the Mets Expect From Carlos Beltran This Year? http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/03/what-can-the-mets-expect-from-carlos-beltran-this-year.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/03/what-can-the-mets-expect-from-carlos-beltran-this-year.html/#comments Wed, 23 Mar 2011 10:00:48 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=46759 With just nine days left until Opening Day, Carlos Beltran has only appeared in one game as a DH and has had only three at-bats. At this point, it is getting very hard to believe that he will start the season anywhere other than the disabled list.

Earlier this week there was news that Beltran participated in limited batting practice, but he rarely swung at any pitches. In addition, he participated in some outfield drills. It has also been reported that when Beltran plays in a minor league game he will have a pinch runner when he gets on base. This means that he is not yet at full speed.

It is becoming clear that Beltran will not be on the Opening Day roster. If the Mets keep him in minor league games during the rest of the spring they can backdate his DL-stint so that he can come back sooner. The question is what can the Mets expect from Beltran once he is able to play?

For the first four years of his contract with the Mets, Beltran put up great numbers. However, since 2009 he has had an injury bug. Over the past two years he played just 145 games. However, he did hit 17 home runs and batted .295 over that span. Could that be what the Mets can expect from Beltran this year? Those numbers certainly don’t justify the $18.5 million that Beltran is owed for this year.

It is possible that Beltran will not play on a daily basis for at least a month. The move to right field should help Beltran stay healthier since he does not need to cover as much ground as he did in center.

Assuming that Beltran stays healthy, it is possible that he plays in as many as 135 games this season. If that does happen, it is reasonable to expect that Beltran could put up a line close to .280/.365/.490. The Mets could also see Beltran hit between 20 and 25 home runs and drive in 80 to 95 runners. Beltran will likely see his stolen base numbers drop to less than 10 in an attempt to keep his knee healthy. This would be the best-case scenario.

A possible worst case scenario would be that for the third year in a row Beltran struggles to remain healthy. He is only able to appear in 70 to 80 games. In this limited playing time Beltran posts a triple slash line of .260/.335/.440. He is only able to hit 8 to ten home runs and he does not drive in more than 45 runners. This is also a plausible outcome for Beltran’s season.

If Beltran is able to stay healthy this year and the Mets struggle then the team could trade him away to a contender and bring back a solid prospect or two that can help them in the future. If the Mets are still in contention, they can hold on to Beltran to help them make a playoff run.

The fact of the matter is that Beltran could be the key to the Mets season. If he is healthy, the Mets could be a playoff team. If not, the Mets could suffer through a long season yet again.

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It’s Time To Put Up Or Shut Up http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/07/its-time-to-put-up-or-shut-up.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/07/its-time-to-put-up-or-shut-up.html/#comments Mon, 12 Jul 2010 16:25:59 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=31191 The All-Star Game isn’t until tomorrow, but my thoughts have already turned to the post-Break schedule for the Mets.  The Mets are one of nine teams in the hotly contested National League playoff race.  The other eight teams are either leading their respective divisions, leading the Wild Card race or within two games of the Wild Card leader.  The Mets will play six of those eight teams between July 15 (the first game after the Break) and August 15.  That one-month stretch of games will go a long way towards determining whether the Mets are pretenders or contenders in the National League.

Let’s take a look at the schedule and break down the upcoming month of games for the Mets:

July 15-18:  4 games at San Francisco (playoff contender)

July 19-21:  3 games at Arizona

July 22-25:  4 games at Los Angeles (Wild Card co-leader)

July 27-29:  3 games vs. St. Louis (playoff contender)

July 30-Aug. 1:  3 games vs. Arizona

Aug. 2-4:  3 games at Atlanta (best record in the NL)

Aug. 6-8:  3 games at Philadelphia (playoff contender)

Aug. 10-12:  3 games vs. Colorado (Wild Card co-leader)

Aug. 13-15:  3 games vs. Philadelphia (playoff contender)

The Mets begin their second half schedule with their longest road trip of the year, an 11-game jaunt through California and Arizona.  The series in Arizona must be looked at similar to their two series against Baltimore and Cleveland last month.  The Mets were doing poorly on the road before those series but they didn’t play down to the level of their competition.  They won all six games against the Orioles and Indians and gained ground in the playoff race.

Likewise, the upcoming series in Arizona, sandwiched between two series against playoff contenders, must be gone into with a sense of “we’re better than you and we’re going to prove it”.  Although winning two out of three on the road is usually considered a success, I believe the Mets can and should take all three games in Arizona.  The Diamondbacks have nothing to play for in the NL West, other than to showcase some talent that may be used in deals at the trading deadline.  The Mets have won 16 of their last 19 games played in Arizona going back to 2004.  They can’t settle for anything less than a sweep.

Meanwhile, the two series wrapped around the Diamondbacks series are a little tougher to look at.  The Giants have been hot of late, winning six of their last seven games going into the All-Star Break.  Of course, those games were against the Brewers and Nationals, two teams with a combined record of 79-99.  However, the Giants have held their own against the NL East this year, going 12-6 against them, despite losing two out of three to the Mets at Citi Field back in May.  The Giants are 25-17 at AT&T Park this season, but the Mets have Carlos Beltran coming back for this series.  His return will not only boost the lineup, it could also give them a sense of completeness that they haven’t felt in quite some time (assuming Jose Reyes is ready to play).  For now, I will accept a split of the four-game series, but I’m really hoping for three out of four.

Will the real Los Angeles Dodgers please stand up?  Are they the team that went into Citi Field back in April and got swept by the Mets in a series that included John Maine’s sole victory of the season?  Are they the team that blistered their way through the National League in May and June, going 23-7 over a 30-game stretch to temporarily take over the division lead from the Padres?  Or are they the mediocre team we’ve seen since then, winning series against non-contending teams (Diamondbacks, Marlins, Cubs), while losing series to playoff contenders (Red Sox, Angels, Yankees)?  The Mets have to take the Dodgers seriously even though they’ve been more streaky and slumpy this year than Jeff Francoeur.  To add to the confusion, the Dodgers are great at home (28-18), but horrible against the NL East (5-11).  It’s a tough call, but I think the Mets will split the four games in LA, which makes sense considering the split personality the Dodgers seem to have this year.

From there, the Mets will come back home to the friendly confines of Citi Field.  They will face the Cardinals and the Diamondbacks.  Again, the only option with Arizona is a sweep, especially at home.  Anything less than three victories would be unacceptable.  The series with Arizona will coincide with the trading deadline, so it’ll be interesting to see where the Mets are in the standings during this series and who they end up acquiring, if they acquire anyone at all.

For the series against the Cardinals, it’ll all boil down to pitching.  The Cardinals have a great one-two punch in Adam Wainwright and Chris Carpenter, while the Mets currently have one great puncher in Johan Santana.  However, the Cardinals are just as poor on the road as the Mets are and they will be the road team in this series.  I’m hoping the Mets can take two out of three in this series, but wouldn’t be surprised if the Cardinals’ pitching holds the Mets to just one win in the series similar to the way the Braves’ pitching did this past weekend.

Speaking of the Braves, following their short homestand against St. Louis and Arizona, the Mets take their show on the road to face their hated division rivals in Atlanta and Philadelphia.  That road trip could make or break this team more than the 11-game trip after the All-Star Break could.  The Mets know that losing both of these series could drop them back into third place in the division (a place where they might be already if they don’t get off to a quick start after the Break).  They will need to split these six games at the very least.  Losing a minimum of four games on this road trip could prove devastating.

Finally, this tough stretch of games ends with a six-game homestand against the Rockies and Phillies.  The Rockies are doing what the Rockies do best, and that is going on a run that takes them from the bottom of the division to the top of the Wild Card race.  A month ago, the Rockies were a .500 team, sitting in fourth place because the Diamondbacks had a no vacancy sign in last place.  Since then, they have been one of the hottest teams in baseball, going 19-9 and moving into a tie with the Dodgers for the Wild Card lead, after the Mets had held the Wild Card lead for weeks.  In their month-long run to the top, they have won series from contenders like the Red Sox, Giants and Padres (twice) and swept the Cardinals.  The Rockies will not be a pushover, even with the series taking place at Citi Field, especially if the Mets have to face Cy Young Award favorite Ubaldo Jimenez, who may be closing in on 20 wins by the time the Rockies travel to New York.  I’ll be cautiously optimistic when I say that the Mets will win two out of three against the Rockies, but will be prepared for them to lose two out of three.

As for the Phillies, they will certainly have their last series at Citi Field on their minds when they return to New York.  In what might have been the highlight of the Mets’ season so far, the Phillies came into New York and left with nothing, as in no runs on the scoreboard.  The three-game shutout of the Phillies gave the Mets hope and has given fuel to their post-season push, but to expect something like that again would be ridiculous.  Even to expect another three-game sweep might be too much.  The Phillies just swept a four-game series from the NL Central division leading Reds, the same team that came into Citi Field and took two out of three from the Mets last week.  Despite the injuries that have wiped out most of their infield, the Phillies have remained in contention all year and will continue to do so.  Just like the series with the Rockies, I’ll say I want the Mets to win two out of three, but will not be surprised if they lose two out of three.  I’m expecting a split of the six-game homestand with the Rockies and the Phillies.

The Mets will begin their post-Break schedule by playing 29 games against mostly contending teams.  Having a losing record over that stretch would surely damage their post-season chances.  Using all my fingers and toes, I have tallied up the wins and losses I expect from the Mets over this month-long stretch of games following the All-Star Break.  My caveman math has given the Mets an 18-11 record over that stretch, which of course, includes six wins in six games over the Diamondbacks.  Failure to sweep both series against Arizona would change things drastically, but I have confidence in the Mets that they can pull it off.  Of course, that means I’m also saying that the Mets will barely have a winning record against all the other teams they play during this tough stretch of games.

Getting Carlos Beltran back into the lineup on Thursday, along with the return of Jose Reyes will make the offense whole again.  Hopefully, this will prevent many extended periods where the Mets go into a hitting slump (like during the just-completed 2-4 homestand). The combination of the upgraded offense, Johan Santana’s resurgence and perhaps a little help at the trading deadline (if it is a starting pitcher, Omar Minaya can’t just acquire him just to make an acquisition.  He has to be someone who will improve the rotation immediately.  Please, no more Victor Zambrano-like deals!) can help the Mets approach the 18-11 post-Break record I’m calling for them to have.

After that 29-game stretch, the Mets will spend the next two weeks playing Houston, Pittsburgh, Florida and Houston again.  All three teams have fallen out of contention in the National League.  All four series are winnable series.  The Mets should feast on these teams, but of course, feasting on paper and feasting on the field are two different things.

It’s time to put up or shut up for the Mets after the All-Star Break.  The next month’s schedule is going to tell us a lot about this team.  Either things could spiral out of control or we’ll prove we belong to be mentioned with the big boys of the National League.  Get ready for the second half of the season.  Regardless of what happens, it’s sure to be one fun ride!

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Jerry Divulging Secrets Again… Or Is He? http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/03/jerry-divulging-secrets-again-or-is-he.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/03/jerry-divulging-secrets-again-or-is-he.html/#comments Wed, 03 Mar 2010 13:28:31 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=21817 In his recent “discussion” with Mike Francesca on WFAN, Jerry Manuel discussed his “predictions” for the upcoming season.  He is always very candid and forthcoming in his interviews, this was no different.   Among other things, Jerry admitted that Jon Niese and Daniel Murphy were the leaders to start the season at their respective starting roles.  This kind of openness is not really the norm in professional sports, and it should be a breath of fresh air.  The problem is….is he ever telling the truth?

No-one is accusing Mr. Manuel of lying; in fact I think that he definitely means what he says when he talks to the media.  The issue, it seems, is that he changes his mind way too often.  This kind of candidness is not the norm in professional sports.  Most coaches and players would rather be clichéd, and then have to answer for being wrong about something.  To me there’s nothing better than the occasional Ozzie Guillen who says it like it is, and isn’t afraid to say when he is wrong.

Jerry is a very personable guy, and I don’t think many Mets fans out there get the old “snake oil salesman” vibe that say, Jeff Torborg emitted (I’m being mean, that was a dark period).  The problem is that I think he jumps the gun with his “predictions” way too often, and never gives an explanation for why his actions differ from his words.

This kind of behavior can often lead to mistrust by the fans and more importantly, the players on the field.  Take for example 2009; no matter what they said on camera, we all knew that some players were concerned with Jerry saying one thing, and then doing the opposite. Wasn’t it just a year ago that he proclaimed Daniel Murphy to be a better hitter than Ryan Church?

I am not claiming that I am a better judge of talent than Jerry and his staff, but I do know that it is way too early to deem a 23 year old with 39 major league innings under his belt, coming off of a major hamstring injury the front runner for anything.  What is Jerry’s conclusion based on?  Bullpen sessions?  Wind Sprints? Let’s at least face some live hitters who have something to lose before we throw this kid into the fire.

The bottom line is that Jerry gives a great interview, and an even better press conference, and I certainly feel that he means what he says, at the time he says it.  I just feel that he is way too eager to please the media and the fans, and instead needs to focus more on his job. Maybe he should rein it in until this team starts to win again.  He doesn’t strike anyone as the Ozzie Guillen type, and we wouldn’t want him losing some of the guys on this team like he did last year, do we?

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Long Balls A-Plenty or… http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/02/long-balls-a-plenty-or.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/02/long-balls-a-plenty-or.html/#comments Fri, 19 Feb 2010 18:51:43 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=21137 Dizzy with Hope: Amazin (s’) Power Projections for 2010

Now that the ridiculous talk of winning the World Series in 2010 has started, why not speculate about one stat that can be a fairly important contributing factor that helps a team get to that greatest of sports’ stages, the home run.

Given my sterling track record for home run predictions (Sure, bring on the wisecracks and insults!), I cannot prevent giddiness from getting the better of me as I think about how many long balls will be hit by the Mets this season, as well as which sultans of swat will own particular numbers of these gopher balls. At least we can all be reasonably sure that the 2010 Mets will exceed 2009’s dismal total of 95 HRs.

Oh, before your read any further my predictions must be prefaced with the following caveat: everybody’s going to have a great year! The Mets will hit about 184 HRs this year.

Alright, here goes (not in any particular batting order):

  1. Jose Reyes - 17 HRs, 81 RBIs, and .298 BA
  2. Luis Castillo and Alex Cora – 2 HRs, 61 RBI, and .286 BA
  3. Carlos Beltran – 24 HRs, 91 RBIs, and .293 BA
  4. Jason Bay – 31 HRs, 115 RBIs, and .267 BA
  5. David Wright – 26 HRs, 109 RBIs, and .308 BA
  6. Jeff Francoeur – 29 HRs, 89 RBIs, and .254 BA
  7. Daniel Murphy – 19 HRs, 83 RBIs, and .272 BA
  8. Catchers-Go-Round – 20 HRs, 67 RBIs, and .229 BA

Cora, Mathews Jr., Pagan, Jacobs, and Sundry – 16 HRs, 55 RBIs, and .240 BA

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Eh, What’s Up Doc? My 5 Fearless Predictions! http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/01/eh-whats-up-doc-my-5-fearless-predictions.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/01/eh-whats-up-doc-my-5-fearless-predictions.html/#comments Fri, 22 Jan 2010 15:20:25 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=19528 This morning, Matt Cerrone of MetsBlog writes,

“Yep, the Mets are up to something, and close to making a deal… fingers crossed.”

I would certainly hope the Mets are up to something…

With Ben Sheets now being the best option left in free agency, everyone suddenly thinks they are Nostradamus and are predicting that he is the Mets’ top target and that they will be making a strong push to sign him. Really? Well, DUH!!!

As long as everyone’s making predictions, let me peer into my crystal ball and see what the immediate future  might hold for the Mets.

Joe D’s Five Fearless Predictions

1. This one is not really a prediction, but merely just overstating what you already know. The Mets “will” sign Ben Sheets, not because they love him, but because at this point they need to sign another big name for PR’s sake, and they need a number two starter. As I said, Sheets is the most talented pitcher left at this point, and when he’s healthy he’s a top ten pitcher. Health is always a concern, but the Mets will have to roll the dice and hope for the best.

2. The Mets will sign a 4th outfielder type that might include either Rocco Baldelli, Endy Chavez or Eric Byrnes. With Angel Pagan pressed into starting duty, the Mets will make sure they don’t make the mistake of letting Fernando Martinez languish on the bench again.

3. The more I keep hearing Carlos Delgado to the Mets, the more I believe they will instead sign Ryan Garko to platoon with Daniel Murphy. Garko can really mash lefthanded pitching. Signing Delgado and Sheets and Smoltz (read below) would be taking on way too much risk.

4. The Mets will probably add John Smoltz because he makes sense. He is versatile enough to work out of the bullpen, and can quickly jump into the rotation if the need arises. He’s a bulldog, even at 42 years old. 

5. For some strange reason the Mets don’t like Rod Barajas even though one look would suggest that he’d make a lot of sense for the Mets. Dan Warthen and Jerry Manuel are not impressed with Omir Santos and blamed him for some of the pitching problems last season. Omar knows this, so he may have to look at the other Molina brother, Jose, or make his peace with Yorvit Torrealba.

Bonus Prediction – The Sheets thing wasn’t all that fearless, so let me conclude with this. Despite everything you may have read on this site or elsewhere, the Mets will make the post season in 2010 and possibly even win the division. Remember that you read it here first.

]]> http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/01/eh-whats-up-doc-my-5-fearless-predictions.html/feed/ 0 2009 Mets Merized Predictions – Part 1 http://metsmerizedonline.com/2009/04/2009-mets-merized-predictions-part-1.html/ http://metsmerizedonline.com/2009/04/2009-mets-merized-predictions-part-1.html/#comments Tue, 07 Apr 2009 19:03:01 +0000 http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=2811 Here is part one of our staff predictions for the 2009 season. Let us know what yours are!

NL Biggest Bust

Rob – Pamela Anderson…. oh, wait, that’s a different kind of big bust. I’ll go with Manny Ramirez

Sach – Aaron Harang, Cincinnati Reds

Joe D – The Phillies bullpen and rotation is rocked by injuries and ineffectiveness and keeps the Phillies out of the post season.

Mikey J – Francisco Rodriguez, NY Mets

Ryan – Aramis Ramirez, Chicago Cubs

Paul – Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies

Joey M – Raul Ibanez, Philadelphia Phillies

Jessica – The Cubs…

Matt – Philadelphia Phillies

Kelly – Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia Phillies

AL Biggest Bust

Rob – AJ Burnett, NY Yankees

Sach – Jarrod Washburn, Seattle Mariners

Joe D – A-Rod returns, but fails to above .280 for the first time since 1995, and will struggle to knock in 75 RBI’s.

Mikey J – CC Sabathia, NY Yankees

Ryan – Joe Mauer, Minnesota Twins

Paul – AJ Burnett, NY Yankees

Joey M – Mark Teixeira, NY Yankees

Jessica – If the Yankees don’t win division it will be considered a bust. Go Rays!

Matt – Los Angeles Angels

Kelly – CC Sabathia, NY Yankees

NL Biggest Surprise

Rob – Garret Anderson has a huge year in Atlanta

Sach – Matt Lindstrom of the Marlins will have more saves than Brad Lidge, but Jose Valverde will lead the NL in saves for the 3rd consecutive year.

Joe D – Hanson, Vasquez and a rejuvenated Francoeur lead Braves to a Wild Card.

Mikey J – Fred Lewis, San Francisco Giants

Ryan – Mike Pelfrey, NY Mets

Paul – Fred Lewis, SF Giants

Joey M – Daniel Murphy, NY Mets

Jessica – The Reds will rebound nicely this year.

Matt – Florida Marlins

Kelly – Daniel Murphy, NY Mets

AL Biggest Surprise

Rob – The Yankees fail to make the post-season again, and the Royals are in a pennant race thru early September.

Sach – The Angels sign Ben Sheets in July, and finally get out of the first round.

Joe D – Despite off-season improvements from the Yankees and Red Sox, the Rays win the AL East division.

Mikey J – Manny Parra, Milwaukee Brewers

Ryan – Alex Rios, Toronto Blue Jays

Paul – Russell Branyan, Seattle Mariners

Jessica – Texas Rangers

Matt – Kansas City Royals

Kelly – Nomar Garciaparra, Oakland A’s

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