Mets Merized Online » Josh Satin Sun, 07 Feb 2016 16:00:41 +0000 en-US hourly 1 Dykstra, Satin, Seratelli Among 17 Mets Minor League Free Agents Sat, 08 Nov 2014 17:31:39 +0000 Allan-Dykstra

Here is the full list of Mets minor league free agents as comprised by Baseball America:

RHP: Giancarlo Alvarado (AAA), Buddy Carlyle (AAA), Joel Carreno (AAA), Jeremy Hefner (A+), Ryan Reid (AAA), Miguel Socolovich (AAA), Ismael Tijerina (A)

LHP: Angel Cuan (A+), Dana Eveland (AAA), Scott Rice (AAA)

C: Kai Gronauer (AAA)

1B: Brandon Allen (AAA), Allan Dykstra (AAA)

2B: Anthony Seratelli (AAA)

3B: Brian Burgamy (AA), Josh Satin (AAA)

SS: Dimas Ponce (A)


Andrew Brown (Oakland A’s) and Juan Centeno (Milwaukee Brewers) were also claimed last week after the Mets placed them on waivers to clear room on the 40 man roster which now stands at 36 players.

The Mets have not reached out to the representative for minor leaguers Anthony Seratelli and Ryan Reid. Their agent, Joe Rosen, says he expects both to play for other organizations next year. (

It’s surprising that Dykstra, a 2008 first round selection by the San Diego Padres, didn’t get a September call-up. The 27-year old posted a .280/.426/.504 line in 439 plate appearances for Las Vegas and owns a .406 OBP and .858 OPS in seven minor league seasons.


]]> 0
The Mets’ Mistake with Josh Satin Sat, 10 May 2014 14:15:03 +0000 josh satin

Ike Davis or Lucas Duda.

Lucas Duda or Ike Davis.

It took until mid-April for Sandy Alderson to finally make a decision that he was going with Lucas Duda at first base, and therefore, trading away Ike Davis. Since then, a day on Twitter can’t pass without some Mets fan tweeting the comparison numbers between Ike and Duda. It never stops.

But what has been lost in the ongoing debate about who the future first baseman of the Mets should be is the handling of Josh Satin.

The Mets have a player in Satin who presents a perfect platoon opportunity. He hits lefties and hits them well. His career OPS numbers vs. LHP relative to the league’s split of right-handed hitters against lefties is 33% above average. The only thing preventing him from hitting lefties is playing time.

If we leave Ike Davis out of the conversation, since he only had a few at bats vs. southpaws while he was still on the Mets this season, and compare Lucas Duda to Josh Satin, we notice a disturbing pattern.

Satin vs Duda LHP

Satin has more plate appearances vs. LHP than Duda this season, but not by a wide margin. This is because the Mets see Duda as an everyday first baseman now that they have traded Davis. It doesn’t seem to matter that Satin is clearly the better option against southpaws considering his career statistics. And this is where the Mets are missing the point.

The debate to start the season, when the Mets inexplicably came up with the idea of playing three different first baseman in three straight games, should have been a simple one. The Mets had two left-handed hitters who can’t hit lefties, and one right-handed batter who can. They should have made an early decision on trading Ike, thus keeping Duda, but from the start, playing him in a pure platoon role with Josh Satin.

Instead, there was mass confusion surrounding the first base position, it took too long to make a decision on Ike, and Satin is 3-28 so far this season. He is not receiving enough regular at-bats, both because it isn’t often the Mets face a lefty to begin with and, for some reason, he is not guaranteed a start when they do. It makes it hard for a player like Satin to get into a groove.

Statistics courtesy of Baseball Reference.

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
Nieuwenhuis Could Go Down When Mets Activate Chris Young Today Fri, 18 Apr 2014 18:47:36 +0000 kitk nieuwenhuis

April 18

Chris Young Is expected to be activated prior to tonight’s game. Young hit .667 (8-12) with two home runs, seven runs scored and five RBI in his three rehabilitation games with Las Vegas (AAA) of the Pacific Coast League.

He was placed on the DL on April 3 with a tight right groin.

A corresponding roster move will be announced prior to the game.

it will come down to lefty-hitting Kirk Nieuwenhuis and righty-hitting Andrew Brown.

But keep in mind that Nieuwenhuis will not burn any options if gets demoted because he would have been active less than 4 games. Nieuwenhuis has made his time with the team count, going 3-10 a home run and four RBI.

April 17

GM Sandy Alderson wouldn’t say which player is likely to depart when the team activates outfielder Chris Young from the disabled list on Friday, but we did learn that the Mets first base situation will be unaffected.

Alderson offered no indication the Mets would use the opportunity to demote a first baseman and alleviate crowding there.

“I wouldn’t say that’s a primary consideration,” Alderson said.

Since Terry Collins named Lucas Duda the everyday first baseman and adding that he wouldn’t be platooned, Ike Davis has started there once each series, and Josh Satin has started all three games against left-handed pitchers.

“There’s one first baseman and two guys off the bench,” Alderson insisted. “So I don’t really look at them as all first basemen. If you’re referring to Josh Satin, he can play a number of positions, and as a right-handed hitter off the bench. And, right now, Ike fills a role as a left-handed hitter off the bench.”

Although Duda is hitting .364 (8-for-22) with a homer and four RBIs in his past five starts, a report on ESPN New York indicated that Terry Collins started Davis on Wednesday for two reasons: Davis has four career homers in 36 at-bats at Chase Field, and the manager felt it appropriate to give Davis one start in his hometown.

As for who does go on Friday, it will come down to lefty-hitting Kirk Nieuwenhuis and righty-hitting Andrew Brown. But keep in mind that Nieuwenhuis will not burn any options if gets demoted because he would have been active less than 4 games.


]]> 0
MMO Game Recap: Angels 5, Mets 4 Sat, 12 Apr 2014 06:58:17 +0000 josh satin

Ugh… Jeurys Familia working in his third inning of relief, hit Hank Conger with the bases loaded in the 11th inning to give the Los Angeles Angels a 5-4 victory over the Mets in the series opener on Friday night.

Here’s the skinny…

Travis d’Arnaud hit his first home run of the season to pull the Mets to a 2-2 tie. He last homered 110 at-bats ago…

Josh Satin started at first base and ripped a two-run double to give Mets a 4-2 lead at the time…

In his third start of the season, Dillon Gee lasted just 5.2 innings, walked four, allowed six hits including a pair of homers and failed to hold a two-run lead. I’ve said this twice before during Gee’s last two starts… Gee is a solid pitcher, but his effectiveness vanishes the third time through a lineup… Why can’t Terry get that through his thick skull?

Though I was shocked to see him after throwing two innings the night before, Carlos Torres was amazing again getting four big outs, but than Collins used three more relievers to pitch just one inning – the eighth…

Enter Familia who then had to carry the full load from the ninth inning on… He was done in by his wildness after his first two tiring innings which saw him throw one 96-98 mph fastball after another… This kid was throwing gas, but also looked gassed when he came out for the 11th inning…


Exactly what purpose does John Lannan serve in our bullpen? Someone please remind me…

Anyway, Jon Niese makes his second start of the season on Saturday and opposes Jered Weaver for the Angels in a 9:05 PM start.

I’m dead tired… Good night, folks…

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
Collins Says Duda Is His Guy At 1B, Davis Will Remain On Bench Fri, 04 Apr 2014 20:14:14 +0000 duda davis

April 4

Lucas Duda is now the starting first baseman for the Mets and will hold onto the job for a significant period of time.

Ike Davis will remain on the roster according to Terry Collins who also said he considered Duda his guy at first base all along.

Collins also said that Josh Satin will not be in a straight platoon with Duda, which means less playing time for him as well.

Collins believes Davis can be a great bench player. .

April 3

Terry Collins told reporters that he’s picking one first baseman and sticking with him, beginning on Friday. Collins wouldn’t announce who it would be, but did say that he would play him for a while.

Both Lucas Duda and Ike Davis played today with the latter singling late in the game for the first and only hit from the first base position in three games.  The Mets have started three different first baseman in that span.

This is so ridiculous….

The fact they thought they could get away with a three-man platoon at first base to begin the season in the first place makes me question just how smart these guys really are. Everyone knew this was doomed to failure except for them.

Well the good news is that this three-headed-monster experiment will end after three games instead of three weeks.

I just hope whomever they decide on means the other one goes straight to Triple-A Las Vegas. We don’t need anyone looking glum and feeling sorry for themselves in that dugout.

Can you believe that we’re only three games into the season and that we’ve had this much drama already?

Why can’t they just be normal for a few days, as we can all use the mental break.


]]> 0
From Left Field: Playing With A Short Leash Is A Tough Way To Play Thu, 27 Mar 2014 16:38:19 +0000 lucas duda ike davis

So it’s looks as though the Mets will be carrying both Ike Davis and Lucas Duda on the 25-man roster come Monday’s Opening Day.

The injuries to both this spring precluded the team from being confident in naming a starter. It does look like though that Davis will get the first crack at the position.

If absolutely necessary, Duda could see time in left field, but let’s hope that never happens. He could be a nice lefty power bat off the bench however, along with Andrew Brown from the right side – if he makes the final roster.

So let’s say Davis gets the starting nod.

With Duda on the roster, Terry Collins has the option of playing the hot hand. But the problem with that is when you’re a player, a vote of confidence from the organization is huge to your performance.

I understand that this is a results-driven business. But imagine being in Davis or Duda’s shoes.

You go out there on Opening Day and go 0-for-4 with two strikeouts and four men left on base in key situations (hopefully not!). Not to mention you make an error in the field.

Not only would you hear the boo-birds from the fans the next day, but there may not even be a next day, since there is another first baseman – actually two if you include Josh Satin – on the roster.

If David Wright has that kind of day at the plate, he doesn’t have to worry about potentially losing his job. He forgets about it and moves on to the next day.

But for Davis and Duda, everything they do on the field will be highly scrutinized, and that’s a tough way to play.

Granted, the inconsistent performances of Davis and Duda, not only this spring but also throughout their entire careers, have put them in this situation. But still, when a ballplayer harps on a poor game, it undoubtedly affects him moving forward.

In a perfect world, Davis is given the nod and gets off to a great start. Duda fills in whenever necessary and maybe settles in to a pinch-hitting role. I do like the thought of Duda coming off the bench late in the game with the potential for some fireworks.

If Davis remains hot, trade Duda to an American League team where he could DH.

Now, let’s say Davis struggles out of the gate. I at least want him to be given the full month of April to show if he’s still got it. If after April he’s hitting .150, then make the switch to Duda on a permanent basis – or until he falters as well. Then go with Satin, who actually did a decent job last season.

But flip-flopping back-and-forth and game-to-game won’t do anybody any good.

]]> 0
Featured Post: The Reality (or lack thereof) of 90 Wins Sun, 23 Mar 2014 15:42:42 +0000 alderson-sandy

Let me first go on the record to say that I would much rather have Mets GM Sandy Alderson set an expectation of 90 wins, as opposed to, say, 90 losses. For teams that look to overachieve, the first step is believing you are better than you actually are. And when it was first reported, my initial thought was “well, Sandy is a smart guy, so maybe there is something to this.”

But you know who else is smart? Vegas. And the current Over/Under on Mets wins in 2014 is set at 73 ½. I’ll give the team the benefit of rounding up, and call it 74. And that is exactly the win total from last year.  I wouldn’t think it is common to lose a potential Cy Young candidate and staff ace for the year and see your projected wins go up. But the team did make some moves in the offseason, and the bookmakers have basically called it a wash with the absence of Matt Harvey.

So, in order for Sandy’s proclamation to become reality, the team needs to pick up 16 wins vs. last year. 16 wins that don’t appear to be there according to folks whose business it is to know such things. For every team, though, there is an upside number when trying to project a season. An “if all things break right” win total. Could that number be 90?

Looking at 2013 in detail, what emerged was a year clearly defined by four micro seasons:

  1. Horrendous Start- Opening Day-June 17th: Record 25-40
  2. A Burst of Energy :June 18th-All Star Break: Record 16-10
  3. Injuries, Injuries: All Star Break-August 28th: Record 18-22
  4. Playing out the String: August 29th-End of Season: Record 15-16

Below, I detail out some key highlights of each micro season and where the opportunity lies to pick up (or lose) wins this year.

1. Horrendous Start

The Mets dug themselves in a hole early, and were already 10 games under .500 by the third week in May. By the end of Micro Season One, the team was 15 games below .500. This is despite Harvey putting up Cy Young worthy stats throughout this stretch.

The culprits are not a surprise to anyone. The production from first base was beyond abysmal. The 1B slash line from Ike Davis (54 games) /Justin Turner (13 Games) /Daniel Murphy (6 games) and Lucas Duda (1 game) was a putrid .194/.268/.273. Ruben Tejada was batting .209 before he hit the DL in late May. And the Mets record in games started by Jeremy Hefner and Shaun Marcum was 4-20 in that stretch.

Clearly, there is an opportunity to improve in this stretch in 2014. But how much? Davis and Tejada, as of now, are still projected to be Opening Day starters. What is it they say about repeating the same mistakes and expecting a different result? But I think it is safe to say the leash will be considerably shorter than 2 months. Unlike last year, there are better backup options for those positions than Justin Turner and Omar Quintanilla. And there is also room for optimism on the pitching front.  While it is unfair to expect Bartolo Colon to match Harvey’s start from last year, the rest of the rotation should be much improved. Zack Wheeler could be a formidable #2. Dillon Gee was a much different pitcher at the end of last season than the beginning. That leaves Dice-K and Niese to improve on the Mets 4-20 record in games pitched by Hefner and Marcum.

Upside:  +6 wins

2. A Burst of Energy

Micro Season Two of 2013 commenced with the call-up of Wheeler on June 18th. But it was far more than the debut of the prized prospect that led to a turnabout in fortune for the struggling Mets. Hefner was lights out in this stretch going 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA in 5 starts.  Dillon Gee was consistent and provided depth. And Josh Satin provided some much needed stability at 1B with a 1.04 OPS by the Break.

2014 could shape up to be similar from a dynamics perspective, with an anticipated call up of Noah Syndergaard in the mid-June timeframe. Still, the .615 winning percentage from 2013 is probably as high an upside as we will get. It’s likely to even go down.

Upside: Even

3. Injuries, Injuries

Slow starts after the All Star Break have become something of a thing with these Mets lately. The last time they had a winning record from the Break through Aug. 1 was 2007. This is despite having an above .500 record going into the Break 5 times in this timespan. Last year, injuries played a key role in the six-weeks following the Midsummer Classic. Jon Niese, David Wright, Jeremy Hefner and Bobby Parnell all missed significant time during this stretch. And on Aug. 26th Matt Harvey was placed on the DL, ending his season.  This period ends with the trade of Marlon Byrd to Pittsburgh two days later.

Injuries are always the wildcard in these projections, and the Mets don’t have a ton of depth.  Since history shows us that .500 is even a reach after the Break, I’ll go with that for the upside:

Upside: +2 wins

4. Finish Strong or Playing out the String?

Projecting the final segment of 2014 is completely dependent on the results of the first 3. Will the Mets shut down Wheeler? Did the Mets improve their roster at the deadline? Did they sell off key assets? If the above upside scenario manifests itself, they will enter the September stretch with a record of 66-65. While a nice improvement, it would not put the Mets in an “all-in” scenario to finish the season.  With the squad they had last year, they finished a respectable 15-16 in these final 31 games. I can see a couple of games of upside here, but realistically, they probably overachieved last year.

Upside: + 2 wins

Adding it together, an upside ceiling may be an incremental 10 wins, putting the team at 84. Still a considerable gap remains between this and the 90 thrown out by Alderson. And again, this does not take into consideration any potential downsides (injuries, players have down years, etc). Getting past 84 will likely require more talent, and getting 6 more wins from the options we have been reading about seems unlikely.

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
MMO Game Thread: Tigers vs Mets, 1:05 PM (SNY) Tue, 18 Mar 2014 16:36:28 +0000 daisuke matsuzaka dice-k

The New York Mets will host the Detroit Tigers at Tradition Field in Port St. Lucie this afternoon at 1:10 PM. Daisuke Matsuzaka, who is closing in on the fifth starter role, will opposes Kyle Lobstein for the Tigers. The game will be televised on SNY.

Here is the starting lineup:

  1. Eric Young Jr, 2B
  2. Chris Young, LF
  3. David Wright, 3B
  4. Curtis Granderson, RF
  5. Josh Satin, DH
  6. Eric Campbell, 1B
  7. Wilmer Flores, SS
  8. Travis d’Arnaud, C
  9. Juan Lagares, CF

Ruben Tejada gets the day off and Wilmer Flores gets his third start of the spring at shortstop. Yesterday, Terry Collins sounded like he needs to start giving Flores a lot more time at short because time is running out and he needs to get him feeling comfortable at the position just in case.

Josh Satin is crushing the competition at first base, but he’s assured of a playing against lefthanders at the very least this season, and some are saying he could be in for more playing time than that.

Travis d’Arnaud is making is making a lot of the Mets brass nervous I heard on Monday. Coaches are spending more time with him now to try and get his bat going and to remove this “wrap thing” he does that is believed to be the problem. TDA said the team made him aware of it and showed him video, but it happens subconsciously and he doesn’t even realize he’s doing it at the plate.

Eric Young Jr. leads off today and Collins as divided it pretty evenly between him and Juan Lagares. It is down to them to said Collins last Friday, and Chris Young who had been considered an option as well is now out of the picture.

Look for Collins to stop dilly-dallying with the lineups from here on in and start playing his regulars. “We’ve got Wednesday off and then we’re down to 10 days,” Collins said. “We’re going to tighten things up a little bit.”

Enjoy the game folks, and Lets Go Mets!

mets Always Believe

]]> 0
Ike Davis To Wear Walking Boot On Right Leg Mon, 10 Mar 2014 17:04:07 +0000 MLB: New York Mets-Workout

Adam Rubin of ESPN New York writes that Ike Davis sported a new accessory in the clubhouse on Monday morning, a walking boot on his right foot.

Rubin adds that Davis said the boot will keep the lower leg immobilized and hopefully speed up the healing and that the extent of the injury has caught Davis off guard since he merely has felt “tightness.”

The Mets haven’t gotten an MRI on his leg yet but Davis may be preparing for it, I’m sure we’ll do that at some point,” he says.

With three weeks until Opening Day, and the Mets first base situation yet to be resolved, the team may have to plan on breaking camp without Davis, especially if the injury lingers.

But Davis isn’t worried about it, ”It’s just a walking boot,” Davis said. “Nothing crazy happened… Hopefully I’ll get two weeks of games in before the season starts. I can still get a lot of ABs.”

Even if Davis has to start the season on the DL, the Mets don’t have to make any drastic moves at this point, since they have Josh Satin and Lucas Duda who can fill that role for now.

Still, he has just six at-bats this Spring and the plan was to give him 80-100 at-bats according to Collins.

Interesting to see how this plays out in a few weeks.

(Photo Credit: Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports)

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
Mets vs Cardinals at 1:05 PM – Dice-K Starts, Tejada Scratched Sun, 02 Mar 2014 17:46:20 +0000 New York Mets Spring Training at their Minor League practice facility located within Tradition Field in Florida

After a 0-2 start to the Grapefruit League season, the Mets leave the comfort of home and head to Jupiter to take on the defending National League Champions – the St. Louis Cardinals.

Fifth-starter candidate Daisuke Matsuzaka will try to one-up John Lannan who tossed two scoreless innings on Saturday. He will oppose righthanded phenom Michael Wacha in a  1:05 PM start. (WOR 710 AM) By the way, Josh Lewin will be joined by former Mets GM Steve Phillips on the WOR radio broadcast.

Ruben Tejada was expected to start at shortstop for the Mets, but has been scratched with what the team is calling a tight left hamstring. It’s precautionary. Anthony Seratelli instead will start at shortstop.

Here are the starting lineups:


  1. Juan Lagares, cf
  2. Anthony Seratelli, ss
  3. Curtis Granderson, rf
  4. Ike Davis, 1b
  5. Josh Satin, 3b
  6. Brandon Allen, dh
  7. Travis d’Arnaud, c
  8. Andrew Brown, lf
  9. Wilmer Flores, 2b  


  1. Matt Carpenter, 3b
  2. Peter Bourjos, cf
  3. Matt Holliday, lf
  4. Allen Craig, rf
  5. Yadier Molina, dh
  6. Matt Adams, 1b
  7. Mark Ellis, 2b
  8. Tony Cruz, c
  9. Pete Kozma, ss

Hey, the lineup for the Mets looks a little bit more normal than what we saw yesterday… I count five potential regulars…

Note: Eric Young Jr. expects to make his first Grapefruit League appearance on Tuesday.

(Photo by Anthony J. Causi)

lets go mets dog

]]> 0
Mets To Scout Mariners’ Nick Franklin Wed, 26 Feb 2014 19:36:03 +0000 franklin

Updated 2/26

The Mets will be scouting Nick Franklin throughout Spring Training according to John Harper of the Daily News.

The Tampa Bay Rays are also interested in Franklin  according to Jon Heyman of CBS Sports.

The M’s are looking for a comparable pitching prospect in return.

Heyman says that the Rays probably match up better than the Mets according to sources. 

That could be an indication that the Mets are reluctant to part with Montero or the like, or that Tampa Bay has a stacked farm and are eager to give the M’s what they want in return for Franklin.

Get ready for three weeks worth of Franklin updates. :-)

Updated 2/24

A Mets insider acknowledged validity to an ESPN New York report about a potential match for the Mets in Seattle infielder Nick Franklin.

The source said there had been dialogue with Mariners officials at the winter meetings. The talk is expected to resume in the next month with Seattle having an excess infielder and the Mets having the type of young pitching Seattle desires to obtain in a swap.

Looks like this has gone from a rumor to serious business…

Adam Rubin says that the Mets will need to figure out if Franklin could handle shortstop full time before pulling the trigger on any such deal.

He adds that the Mets would have to part with a prospect the caliber of Rafael Montero and it remains to be seen if they would move a prospect like that.

You can read more about Franklin below…

Original Post 2/22

The Mariners are likely to trade Nick Franklin or Brad Miller – most likely Franklin — before Opening Day, according to Adam Rubin.

MMO’s Peter Anselmo profiled Franklin as a potential trade target for the Mets back in December and wrote:

Nick Franklin has a good chance to be one of the best players on this list offensively. Like Chris Owings, Franklin has the coveted power and speed combination but maybe even more so. Franklin struggled in his first taste of the major leagues last season with a line of .225/.303/.382 in 369 AB’s but he did show the ability to draw some walks with a 10.2% BB rate.  He also needs to cut down on his strikeouts, whiffing 113 times last season in that span.

With more major league experience, Franklin has the potential to hit 15-20 home runs and swipe 20-25 bases per season.  There is a drawback to Franklin, however, as he does not play the kind of defense Didi Gregorious or Owings does.  Franklin has a fringe average arm at best.  That combined with mediocre range makes it look like he is destined to be a second baseman, which is perfectly fine, but not for the Mets.

Franklin, 22, told the Seattle Times he prefers to play shortstop. ”Shortstop’s really my natural position. Being at second was a little outside of it. The big thing with me, I grew up playing shortstop my whole life. It’s nothing new to me.”

The Mariners want a top pitching prospect in return so it may come down to moving a prospect like Rafael Montero. However it’s not clear if the Mets are confident enough in their stable of young pitching to move one of their key arms. The front office has closely guarded their young pitching surplus all offseason long and have resisted the temptation to trade an arm to fill a pressing need.

Still, it doesn’t hurt to check in.

]]> 0
Flores Seems Bound For Triple-A Start Tue, 18 Feb 2014 21:00:56 +0000 wilmer flores

Terry Collins strongly hinted that Wilmer Flores seems destined for a Triple-A start unless he can work his way into an infield position, reports ESPN’s Adam Rubin. Something that doesn’t seem likely.

“I think with what we have on the infield — you know what? — if he’s not going to get a lot of a playing time, he’s got to go play at his age,” Collins said to Rubin. “Because the ceiling on his bat is too high. He’s got to go get at-bats.”

Rubin also shares that Collins said it’s unlikely Flores sees much time at first base during spring training due to the presence of Ike Davis, Lucas Duda, Brandon Allen, Josh Satin, Zach Lutz and Matt Clark.

There are not many options left on the table for Flores. The odds are stacked up against him and the only way that he sticks is if he has a tremendous spring and earns the right to play shortstop, but the minds that make that decision may already have him penciled in to go down to Triple A and continue his progress.  And the idea may not be a bad one, especially if he puts the time in at short and comes back stronger defensively.

]]> 0 Spring Training Battles: Will Consistency be Rewarded at First Base? Wed, 12 Feb 2014 14:52:28 +0000 lucas duda ike davis

In an article written Monday for the New York Post, Ken Davidoff asked 30 questions, one for each major league team as they head to spring training. Of the Mets, Davidoff asked the following.

“Who is the starting first baseman, and does the loser of the Ike Davis/Lucas Duda competition stick around?”

The answer to the first part of this question is still very much up in the air and will come down to pure production come springtime, but if overall consistency can serve as a projector, Josh Satin may win at least part of that starting job. We all want facts and stats to determine 2014’s starting First Baseman, and for those we will need to hang on a bit longer and wait for spring training to start. But until then, why not have a little fun? Here are Josh Satin’s slash lines (AVG/OBP/SLG) in each level of pro ball.

satin stats

Satin, through each tour in the Mets’ organization rarely faltered. His numbers dipped a bit when he joined the Mets’ midseason in 2013 but that was to be expected. It doesn’t appear that his numbers fell enough to suggest banishment to the minors forever. What is a bit worrisome is Satin’s K% of 25.3% that he posted once he joined the the big league team. This clip was the highest he had every posted. However, Satin accompanied that percentage with a 13.6 BB%, which in his first year of pro ball is a pretty nice mark. For a player who does not rely on raw power but on sharp, well-placed line drives a high BB% would be key in his overall success. Satin’s tremendous On Base Percentages throughout his minor league career offer encouragement that he may be able to bring those to the Majors.

This is not to suggest that Davis and Duda did not enjoy similar success in the Minors, they did. But we have seen both men prove less than successful in the Major Leagues. With Davis’ batting average hovering around .216 in his last two seasons and Duda posting a career -0.8 Wins Above Replacement, it is hard to figure that it will take a phenomenal spring for Satin to slide into that starting job. Ironically, the fact that Satin has played the least in the Major Leagues is what may prove to benefit him most significantly in the competition. Satin, with a strong spring could spark Collins to opt with the “lets try this guy” approach.

As for the second question offered by Davidoff, will the loser of the Davis/Duda competition stick around? I can’t imagine so and Sandy Alderson sounded like the loser could very well go to Triple-A, in his interview on WFAN on Tuesday, even adding that both still have minor league options.

Both Davis and Duda bat left-handed while Satin bats Righty. Joe DeCaro of MetsMerized offered an insightful article on the possibility of a platoon situation involving Satin and Davis with Duda falling by the wayside. The “winner” of this competition should prove to be the second piece of a platoon with Satin at First Base, while the loser heads back to AAA.

addicted to mets button

]]> 0
Spring Shots: Mets Baseball in Port St. Lucie Tue, 11 Feb 2014 16:21:21 +0000 tradition field mets

Many Mets players are already in Port St. Lucie and the number keeps growing everyday. Pitchers and catchers don’t report until February 15 and the position players until February 20, but that hasn’t stop some Mets from trying to get a step ahead.

Here are some of the sights from Tradition Field as posted by the beat writers and the New York Mets.

dominic smith's bat kevin kernan

Dominic Smith is in St. Lucie and his gear is ready for action. It will be a treat for Met fans to catch a glimpse of one of the team’s top hitting prospects this Spring. (Kevin Kernan, NY Post)

shots from st lucie 1

Ike Davis and Josh Satin reported to Mets camp Monday, well ahead of the Feb. 20 official date for position players. Davis plans to wait until Friday to speak with the media. (Adam Rubin, ESPN)

jay horwitz jon niese mets

We haven’t figured out what Jon Niese and Jay Horwitz are doing here. Maybe this is one of Niese’s warm-up routines? The Mets’ southpaw was the Opening Day starter in 2013, will he repeat this season? (NY Mets)

dice-k glove kevin kernan

That orange glove belongs to none other than Daisuke Matsuzaka. Looks like neon is back in style, at least in Port St. Lucie. (Kevin Kernan, NY Post)

bobby parnell mets

Bobby Parnell was one of the first arrivals to camp and tosses the ball on Monday. He’s expected to be ready for Opening Day. (NY Mets)

mets in cage psl

We think that’s Ike Davis, but we’re not so sure though in this cool, but unattributed photo taken by TC Palm.

shots from st lucie 9

This time we’re certain it’s Ike Davis as he takes some batting practice on Monday. (Adam Rubin, ESPN)

david wright spring 14 mets

David Wright set to fire one home from left field? Nah, he’s just having a catch and rocking some cool Mets gear. (NY Mets)

eric young speed swag by mets

Eric Young Jr. sports a t-shirt that reads, “Speed Swag.” These Stolen Base Crown winners are all alike. :-) (NY Mets)

Mets cap dubble bubbe USA TODAY

Totally cool shot from our friends at USA Today.

As you can see, baseball is in full swing at Tradition Field in Port St. Lucie, and in a couple of weeks we’ll start to see the Mets playing some games. It should be a lot of fun.

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
Josh Satin, The Classic Moneyball Player Sun, 26 Jan 2014 04:55:50 +0000 josh satin

Tim Rohan of the New York Times, wrote an extensive piece on Josh Satin this afternoon. He says that the 29-year old infielder has been taking this playing the outfield thing pretty seriously. Not willing to sit on his laurels and hope that he makes the team next Spring, he says Satin’s survival instincts kicked in.

“When the off-season began, Satin went to work, refining his body and working on his swing, which he retooled before last season. And he practiced playing the outfield, shagging fly balls and perfecting his footwork, his positioning and throwing arm, all to expand his repertory as a utility man and pinch-hitter that the Mets would not want to be without.”

Rohan says that Satin turned to Marlon Byrd for outfield advice, a solid defender himself. He is applying techniques and says the next step will be to play the outfield in spring training and keep improving.

Whether this experiment works for Satin or not, you have to hand it to him when it comes to initiative and drive. But let’s face it, Satin’s stock in trade is his bat and not his glove, and I found it interesting when Rohan referred to him as a classic Moneyball player.

He puts up valuable numbers at every level of baseball, Rohan writes, but is discounted because he lacks certain tools or does something — in Satin’s case, using a wavy, unorthodox swing he has since streamlined — that suggests he just won’t make it in the major leagues.

Satin may seem like an enigma, but actually he’s not. He’s a very refined hitter with some of the best on-base skills in the entire Mets system and I’m including the big league team as well.

The article points out that Satin’s .376 on-base percentage was the 14th-best figure among National League batters with at least 200 plate appearances. That’s higher than the OBP for Ryan Braun, Buster Posey and Bryce Harper. On the Mets, only David Wright (.390) had a higher figure among players who took part in more than just a couple of games.

I’ve been a big Josh Satin fan since 2012. Although too old to be considered a prospect any longer, he can carve out a nice little major league career as a late bloomer.

Teams are always on the lookout for righthanded batters who can drive in runs, keep a rally going, and even ignite one. Satin can do all those things and he adds value to any roster as long as his metrics hold. His career .398 on-base percentage in the minors, is no fluke.

If we end up keeping Ike Davis, and it certainly looks that way, Satin should get the majority of at-bats against lefthanded pitching. Or at least that’s the hope, but one never knows with Terry Collins.
Given both their lefty/righty splits, there’s some potential for tremendous production from first base for the Mets this season.

Here are their career splits:

Satin vs LHP:   .862 OPS – .152 ISO – .376 wOBA – .467 SLG – 145 wRC+

Davis vs RHP:  .827 OPS – .215 ISO – .357 wOBA – .471 SLG – 127 wRC+ 

In my opinion, if Davis gets all the starts at first base against right-handed pitching, it will be Lucas Duda who stands to lose the most playing time. Hence the Duda to the outfield whispers we heard last week.

This will be one of the more interesting storylines to follow after the Mets head to St. Lucie beginning 21 days from today.

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
Mets Spring Training Battles: The Infield Thu, 23 Jan 2014 15:48:37 +0000 ike davis david wright

Now that the Mets’ arbitration slate has been wiped clean and all seven players have agreed to deals that they will undoubtedly repay tenfold in Wins Above Replacement (one can always hope), the only thing left to do is wait for those pitchers and catchers to report already. Hurry up, guys…

I know the offseason is still not over, but it certainly feels that way doesn’t it?

I think we’re close enough to the end of this hot stove season that we can at least examine what will most likely be some of the more interesting Spring Training battles in camp. I want to go around the diamond and review the catchers and infielders first, tomorrow I will consider the outfield, and then pitchers on Saturday.

Catcher - Travis d’ArnaudAnthony ReckerTaylor Teagarden, Juan Centeno 

For most of this offseason, it appeared that the Mets were going with a tandem that included D’Arnaud as the starting backstop and Recker as his caddy. Juan Centeno was in the family photo too, but the buzz was that he’d likely serve as the first line of defense in Las Vegas should something go wrong in Flushing. But then the Mets decided to sign Teagarden to a minor league deal and bring him into the fold. You can never have enough catchers, especially if you can never have enough pitchers, right? (ducks) It looks to me like Recker now has some stiff competition for backup duties. May the best man win and all that jazz, but I’m pulling for Recker here, although neither one of them is going to bring home a Silver Slugger anytime soon.

First Base – Ike Davis, Lucas Duda, Josh Satin

So what went wrong? Back in September we learned that Duda wasn’t a core player, that the Mets were unhappy with Davis and some in the organization wanted him gone, and that Satin is well, uh, he’s just Satin. The only sure thing here is that Satin will likely get the lion’s share of playing time against lefthanded pitching – and that’s a good thing. As for the other two, it looks like they’ll be putting on their gloves (not those gloves) and duking it out in the ring, that small circle of dirt around the first base bag. Who would’ve believed that these two would both be in camp together come February? Ron Davis (Ike’s dad) certainly didn’t see it coming and he’s kind of ticked off about it. But he assures us that Ike’s attitude is just fine. Here’s the thing in my opinion… Who ever wins this battle of offensive futility doesn’t really matter because either way the Mets lose. We needed a legitimate masher at first base and the Mets had four months to try and find one.

Second Base – Daniel Murphy, Eric Young?

This isn’t really a battle at all, but there have been some cries to bring Eric Young into the picture at second base, with a possible move to first by Murphy. That may have been something to think about had the Mets traded Davis, but as it stands now, Murphy will stay put at second. Young will likely serve in a super utility role covering all three outfield positions and spelling Murphy at second occasionally.

Shortstop – Ruben Tejada, Omar Quintanilla, Wilfredo Tovar

As of right now, Tejada has the hold on the job. The real battle here will be between Quintanilla and Tovar for the backup infielder role. Given his experience and Terry Collins‘ propensity of going with the veterans regardless of performance, Quintanilla is the solid play here. Tovar is the best defender of the three, but that alone won’t get him on the Opening Day roster. In the meantime, between now and Opening Day, many fans hold out hope that it’s Tejada who will be the backup and that someone better than him will start at short.

Third Base – The Captain

David Wright is like the Alpha Male on the plains of the Serengeti, and as long as he’s in his prime he will remain unchallenged. He is the Mets’ Lion King. Hail Satin will likely get some starts at third to keep Wright fresh, but this is the only position where the Mets are undoubtedly set and good to go.

On Deck: The Outfield

Presented By Diehards


]]> 0
Mets’ Most Clutch Hitting Performances of 2013 Sat, 18 Jan 2014 02:13:35 +0000 It is the middle of January. It is cold. Spring Training is near, only if counting by weeks, but real baseball is still far away. What better time to take a look back at some of the most clutch performances of 2013.

Clutch is a word that comes up a lot in the sports lexicon. Fans, especially in New York, like to look at a player’s performance when it counts the most. Who cares if he gets a hit with the score 6-0 in the fifth inning of a meaningless game. Talk to me about the players who get that big hit in the 9th, with the score tied, to win the game. Unfortunately, for the Mets, meaningful games are taken in a different context of late. But that doesn’t mean there aren’t some at-bats that are bigger than others. Let’s take a look at the most clutch hitting performances of 2013.

In order to quantify the importance of a particular event during the course of a game, there is a statistic called win probability added. WPA quantifies the probability that a team is likely to win based on the outcome of a particular event.

Example.. If David Wright comes to the plate with the bases loaded, and one out, but then grounds into a double play, his individual WPA on that play would be largely negative. If he hits a home run, his WPA would be positive. Of course, the change in score, whether the game is close or a blowout, has an impact on the win probability added of each play as well. Taking a collection of each at-bat’s WPA, for each game throughout the season, we can tell which hitters had the greatest contributions to individual wins.

Here are the top five clutch hitting performances for the Mets in 2013 based on their game WPA total:

Josh Satin: September 18 vs Giants (WPA 0.731)

2-4, 3 RBI, Walk-off 2-out, 2-rbi hit

In the bottom of the 9th, with the Mets trailing 4-3, Josh Satin got a two-out base hit to left field, driving in two runs, and winning the game for the Mets. The Mets had loaded the bases against Sergio Romo with one out, but Omar Quintanilla flied out, failing to bring home the tying run. Satin responded with the game-winning hit. This after a key at-bat one inning earlier, in the 8th, with the Mets trailing 4-0, his sacrifice fly put the Mets on the board, setting up the four-run rally in the 9th.

Kirk Nieuwenhuis: June 16 vs Cubs (WPA 0.696)

1-3, 3 RBI, Walk-off 3-run home run

Captain Kirk brought sunshine to Mets fans hearts with a three-run home run in the bottom of the 9th off Carlos Marmol to give the Mets a 4-3 win. The Mets entered the inning trailing 3-0, but Marlon Byrd started the rally with a solo shot, and then Kirk came through with two runners on base.

andrew brown

Andrew Brown: July 1 vs Diamondbacks (WPA 0.683)

1-2, 2 RBI, Walk-off 2-run single

This game lasted five hours and thirteen minutes. It was a marathon series with the Diamondbacks. Andrew Brown came through with the big hit in the bottom of the 13th, giving the Mets an exhausting 5-4 victory. Arizona had taken the lead in the top of the inning, but the Mets fought back. Josh Collmenter intentionally walked Omar Quintanilla to load the bases and face Brown with two outs. On an 0-2 count, Brown singled to left field to win the game in dramatic fashion.

Josh Satin: July 1 vs Diamondbacks (WPA 0.612)

3-6, 1 RBI, Game-tying hit in the 9th, Double to start game-winning rally in the 13th

In the same game as Brown’s heroics, Josh Satin had another clutch game. It was his hit in the bottom of the 9th that forced extra innings. He then hit a double in the bottom of the 13th to start the game-winning rally, scoring the tying run on Brown’s single.

juan lagares mets

Juan Lagares: August 6 vs Rockies (WPA 0.443)

2-4, 3 RBI, Two-out, 2-run triple to take lead in the 1st, Eventual game-winning hit with 2-outs in the 8th

The slick fielding center fielder had three two-out RBIs that provided all of the offense the Mets needed on this day to beat the Rockies 3-2. He started things off in the first inning with a two-out triple to drive in the Mets first two runs. Then in the bottom of the 8th, he collected another two-out hit to give the team the lead for good.

All statistics courtesy of

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
MMO Mailbag: Harvey vs Kershaw, Moving Murphy To First Base Fri, 17 Jan 2014 15:50:43 +0000 matt harvey

TerriLoves28 asks…

How do you think the Clayton Kershaw deal will impact Matt Harvey when his time comes? Should we say our goodbyes now?

Joe D. replies…

I would hold off on saying goodbye for now. I think it’s way too early for anyone to speculate on Harvey when the Mets won’t have to make that decision until 2017. Harvey has just 36 starts under his belt and while he’s been phenomenal, it doesn’t even begin to compare with what two-time Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw has done. In 186 starts over the last six years, Kershaw in 77-46 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.

Harvey will also miss all of the 2014 season recovering from Tommy John surgery, and while we all remain hopeful, he needs to comeback and show that he can pitch at the same level he did for two-thirds of the 2013 season. I think it’s a bit silly to put Matt Harvey and $216 million in the same sentence right now.


Alex in CT asks…

Do you think we could just drop Ike Davis, play Eric Young at second base and move Daniel Murphy to first base?

Joe D. replies…

While it’s a very real possibility that the Mets release Ike before the end of spring training to avoid paying him $3.5 million and just giving him his $600K severance pay, it likely won’t mean that Murphy slides over to first base.

With Davis out of the picture, the plan would probably be to have Duda and Josh Satin platoon at first base and leaving Murph exactly where he is. The platoon at first will mean more production at first base than Murphy alone could provide, and leaving him at second makes Mutphy more valuable as a trade chip down the road.

As for Young, he’ll serve the Mets better as the fourth outfielder and backup second baseman. The Mets will find a way to ensure he gets at least 350 at-bats this season.

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
Love Is In The Air… Thu, 16 Jan 2014 17:27:35 +0000 wright-beers

I’m sure that you’ve all heard about David Wright getting married to his longtime girlfriend Molly Beers, last month. Sorry ladies, he’s officially off the market.

Wright, 31, tied the knot in California and most of his teammates both were all on hand.

“For me it’s the next step to growing up and the next step for me in life,” he said. “Everything went great. I’m in a good place. I’m happy.”

It seems the Mets’ captain has sparked a wave of Mets nuptials as Anthony ReckerJosh Satin and Kirk Nieuwenhuis all got married as well this offseason.

But this rush of Mets romance has not been limited to just the major league roster but down in the minors as well. 

Yesterday, both Kevin Plawecki and Matt den Dekker took huge first steps and proposed to their lovely girlfriends, and after accepting, both couples are now officially engaged.


Kevin Plawecki gets down on one knee, but not to fire a throw to second base.


Matt says, “364 days together and I couldn’t wait another day to marry this girl!”

Who knew the Mets had so many romantics on the roster… Congratulations to all of you from Metsmerized!

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0
A Satin and Davis Platoon At First Base Could Prove Very Productive Fri, 10 Jan 2014 21:46:53 +0000 New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Kenny asks…

Let’s say the Mets don’t trade Ike Davis and he’s with the team come Spring Training, does it mean that Josh Satin is out of a job?

Joe D. replies…

There’s still plenty of time for the Mets to trade Davis, but let’s assume they end up keeping him. My hunch is that unless he hits the living daylights out of the ball this Spring, he’ll likely end up as part of a platoon with (Hail) Satin.

Given their lefty/righty splits, there’s some potential for tremendous production from first base for the Mets this season. Here are their career splits:

Satin vs LHP:   .862 OPS – .152 ISO – .376 wOBA – .467 SLG – 145 wRC+

Davis vs RHP:  .827 OPS – .215 ISO – .357 wOBA – .471 SLG – 127 wRC+ 

In my opinion, if Davis gets all the starts at first base against right-handed pitching, it will be Lucas Duda who stands to lose the most playing time.

It will make for a very unorthodox bench to carry two left-handed hitting first basemen in Davis and Duda, especially when you consider that neither can play any other infield positions.

Satin, on the other hand, can play third base to backup Wright and even play second base in a pinch. Additionally, he’s been putting in a lot of work in the outfield this offseason to increase his versatility and thus his value to the Mets.

I doubt the Mets will ever entertain the thought of Duda in the outfield again after a failed experiment that really shook his confidence and degraded his production at the plate. His role in 2014 is very cloudy to say the least.

But to answer your question, no matter how first base ultimately shakes out, rest assured that Satin is a lock for at least a bench spot if not a more significant role.

Presented By Diehards

]]> 0