Opening Day is here! After three straight seasons of uncertainty surrounding baseball – either via COVID or the lockout, Major League Baseball is back in full swing for the 2023 season. The New York Mets had quite a busy offseason. Newcomers Justin Verlander and Kodai Senga join Max Scherzer and gang in the starting rotation. Omar Narvaez takes over James McCann’s catcher role, and Tommy Pham...
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The 2022 Major League Baseball season is now just two plus months until the currently scheduled opening day. Unfortunately, the player lockout puts the timely start of the season in jeopardy. As the two sides are currently negotiating at the bargaining table, I have optimism that they will cement a new collective bargaining agreement in the near future. Just prior to the December 2nd lockout...
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We are still just a few short weeks from spring training. It has been an eventful offseason for the Queens ball club. The Mets have a new owner (with same last name as me), who has injected a shot of enthusiasm into the fan base. The Mets hired and subsequently fired a general manager. They have signed a catcher, a reliever, traded for pitching, and obtained a superstar in his prime. Although...
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Last week, I unveiled the 2020 ATC projections for New York Mets hitters. I am the creator of the Average Total Cost (ATC) Projection system, which has appeared on FanGraphs since 2017. As a quick refresher, ATC is a “smart” aggregation model of other projection systems – a methodology similar to what Nate Silver does with his presidential forecasting at www.fivethirtyeight.com. The Average...
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We are still just a few short weeks from pitchers and catchers reporting. Although the off-season has a been an unusual roller-coaster for the Queens ballclub, statistical modelers (including me) have been hard at work to get ready for the upcoming season. Projection models, refreshed for 2020, are starting to rapidly appear in the public domain – including the ATC projections. I am the creator...
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