MMO Exclusive: Compiling 40 Mock MLB Drafts To Determine Mets Consensus Picks

An article by posted on June 4, 2013

bud selig draft

Draft day is approaching quick; June 6th to be exact. The most important phase of the June rule IV Player Draft is the first round, which is speculated over and over every year. The first round usually sets the tone for priority of picks by selecting players teams feel have the highest ceiling or amount of polish in the draft. Though baseball sites do not know the inside of any organization they are speculating on, they always give interesting insight of who they feel teams will pick. After scouring over the main database of mock drafts, I have recorded the results for the Mets from 40 different mocks. Here are the results:

PlayerPicked
Reese McGuire C5/40
Braden Shipley RHP5/40
Dominic Smith 1B/OF5/40
Colin Moran 1B/3B3/40
DJ Peterson 1B3/40
Clint Frazier OF3/40
Trey Ball LHP/OF2/40
Ryan Boldt OF2/40
Jon Denney C2/40
Austin Wilson OF2/40
Hunter Renfroe OF2/40
Chris Anderson RHP1/40
Andrew Thurman RHP1/40
Tony Kemp OF1/40
Bobby Wahl RHP1/40
Kohl Stewart RHP1/40
Jacoby Jones 2b/OF1/40


Analysis

Highest Picked:

Interestingly enough, the mock drafts have the Mets drafting high school catcher Reese McGuire, University of Nevada right-handed Pitcher Braden Shipley, and high school first baseman/outfielder Dominic Smith more times than any other player. They feel that the Mets are more likely to look for players in the infield rather than the outfield, with 3/8ths of the mocks saying they will pick one of these three.

I have also analyzed the positions covered in these mock drafts.

Outfield

In terms of the Mock’s coverage of the Mets’ needs for outfield prospects, the mocks do acknowledge the need as much as they should. Twelve out of 40 picks have the Mets taking Clint Frazier (HS, three times) Trey Ball and Ryan Boldt (HS, two times), and Austin Wilson and Hunter Renfroe (College, two times each). I do not consider Dominic Smith as an outfielder, nor Jacoby Jones, despite his athleticism. Interestingly enough, Clint Frazier falls to the Mets three times in these mock drafts, and they would have to be absolutely insane to pass up on him. My hope is for a player not on this list: Phillip Ervin. He provides speed, power, and a possibly great center field.

First Basemen

First basemen have the next amount of selections after outfield, being selected 11 times out of 40. I guess the mock drafts have felt our pain when it comes to Ike Davis and his recent disappointments. Dominic Smith is the player who has been selected the most out of this group, (HS, five Picks). D.J. Peterson is considered one of the top all-around college hitters in the draft class, and was picked three times, while Colin Moran has an interesting bat as well as some good power.

Right-Handed College Pitchers

College right-handed pitchers were drafted eight times by the Mets in these mock drafts. What’s the reason behind this? You can never have enough pitching on the horizon. University of Nevada’s Braden Shipley was drafted the most, with five selections.

High School Catchers

With the new promise of catchers in the system, it is uncertain why the Mets would pick another one, yet they were selected seven times. Reese McGuire has been selected five times, and while he has a high ceiling for a high school catcher, it is a stretch at #11 for both organizational depth, and the numbered pick to use on such a need. Jon Denney has the highest ceiling out of a deep class of high school catchers in this draft, with plus power, and was selected twice.

Conclusion

Although these sites are just press, they have interesting insight on the draft, and a few selected accurately within the last couple of years with Gavin Cecchini and Brandon Nimmo. If they are right, the Mets could go for McGuire, Shipley, or Smith for their first pick. On the outside chance, they will pick an outfielder such as high school player Clint Frazier, or first basemen like Colin Moran and D.J. Peterson.

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About the Author ()

A Westchester Native, Brooklyn Resident, New School Grad Winter '13, looking to go into the Social Work Field. I am a lifelong Mets fan with a background in minor league internships for scouting in both the Dominican Summer Leagues (08') and the Brooklyn Cyclones (10') with Cape Cod Baseball League sandwiched in between. Mets Minor Leagues are my main passion, and I research the minors heavily. I am an avid study of the functions of Latin American baseball, and I read more scouting reports per day than Baseball America can provide me. My twitter handle is @TK_MMO. I love questions, ask away below.

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