Comments on: 2013 New York Mets: Overs & Unders

By: Perseus

Perseus — Wed, 20 Feb 2013 01:27:04 +0000

Thanks for the salute up above there.

… I never got past the lead photo. Somehow I weighed the benefit of staring at over unders or letting my mind wander and my mind won. Damn it.

By: taskmaster4450

taskmaster4450 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 20:00:41 +0000

To start, a super first half wouldnt be out of character for Wright. I peg him at 22 HRs, 14 of them could come in the first half with a fall off after the AS break (again in character for him).

Also, look around the national league. Who are the best 3B? Sandoval, Zimmerman, Wright, Headley, and maybe, Ramirez (Breweres). 3 of them play in small markets. All things being equal, if it is close, Wright will get the nod over Headley and Ramirez (and most likely ZImmerman).

Of course, if you believe that Wright will be a total bomb trying to live up to the new contract, then this discussion is for naught. Personally, I think Wright will be as consistent as always, .300/20/90-100 overall with huge splits between halves.

By: Connor O'Brien

Connor O'Brien — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 19:48:17 +0000

There’s not going to be any extra pressure on Wright Alex. He’s been under intense pressure his whole career from top prospect to superstar playing in New York. He’s basically been unofficial captain this year. As much as you would like the pressure to get to him, it’s not happening.

By: Alex68

Alex68 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 19:42:36 +0000

Name recognizition??? He had a superb first half last year and barely made it… If your team is winning helps a lot as well believe it or not. Unless you’re arod in a losing team, very few people vote for above avg guys on losing team to the all star games..

By: taskmaster4450

taskmaster4450 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 19:39:21 +0000

22 HRS for Wright and yes he will be an all star…name recognition means a great deal.

By: Jesus Guzman

Jesus Guzman — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 19:04:19 +0000

Wins- Over with 80
Final Division Standing- Under with 15
Games out of final wild card standing- Under with 7
Home runs by David Wright- Under with 23
Home runs by Ike Davis- 38 sounds about right
Starts for Johan Santana- Under with 20
Starts for Marcum- Over with 27
Debut of Travis- Over with June 1st
Debut of Zack Wheeler- Under with early May.
Number of saves for saves leader- 23
K/9 for Matt Harvey- 7.0
Arm/Shoulder related DL stints for Johan Santana- Under with none.
Arm/Shoulder related DL stints for Shaun Marcum- Under with none
Arm/Shoulder related DL stints for Dillon Gee- Under with none.
All Stars- Over with 3. David Wright, Ike Davis, John Niese

By: Alex68

Alex68 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 18:47:47 +0000

Metro, you really think wright will hit more than 25 HR this year and be an all star??? That’s awfully migthy and predictable of you…

By: taskmaster4450

taskmaster4450 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 18:25:32 +0000

Actually Alex, you just summed up what is wrong with the CORE’s view. It is not about the team, it is about the ORGANIZATION. You see, an organization feeds into the team. If you have a good team but a pathetic organization, you end up with a collapse when players move on. Then you are stuck paying top dollar to fill holes in hopes they do not flop. How many times did the Mets have this over the last 2 decades? Each time is the same.

Now, you have a development of an organization. It resulted in pain at the major league level but, in the long run, hopefully will have a better effect. Instead of a 2 or 3 year run and then collapse, we all hope there will be a sustained run like the Braves, Cards, and teams like that put together.

By: Hotstreak

Hotstreak — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 18:17:13 +0000

When I mentioned Vegas should have your 77 wins as under or over I wasn’t thinking of whoopee.

By: Metro12

Metro12 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 17:39:05 +0000

Wins – Over (85 wins)
Final Division Standing – Over
Games out of WC – Under
HRs for Wright – Over
HRs for Ike – Under
All Stars – Under
OF WAR – Under
Combined leadoff OBP – Over
All-Star – Wright, Harvey
WAR leader – Wright
First Pitcher to miss start – Marcum
Will Johan be a Met 8/1 – Yes

By: jessep

jessep — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 16:57:37 +0000

Joe – when I get a salute, then you know you’ve got problems.

I’m writing my “Sabermetrics are So UnClutch” post now in hopes of receiving such acclaim.

By: van

van — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 16:53:48 +0000

over/unders are usually set that way so you can’t have a tie (push).

By: Connor O'Brien

Connor O'Brien — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 16:39:06 +0000

“Sandy Lovers & Sabergooners” LOL

By: TRS86

TRS86 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 15:37:54 +0000

I think, hope, that baring injury Niese gets to 200 this year.

By: Peter

Peter — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 15:22:13 +0000

So what do you think? When will we see Zack Wheeler and Travis d’Arnaud? How many starters will pitch 200 or more innings this season? Which Mets do you expect to see in the All Star Game? Will David Wright hot more than 25 home runs?

D’arnaud comes up in May. Wheeler right after the all star break, I will say little over August 5. No one pitches 200 innings because well some might be traded. Even if Santana and Marcum are not traded I see 180s 190s.

David Wright I All StAr Game and under 25 dingers. More than 76 wins.

By: TRS86

TRS86 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 15:18:29 +0000

I do have a question Joe. You must be predicting a lot of good teams in the NL this year.
You have the Mets at at least 77 wins and at least 10 games out of the final wild card spot. That’s gonna be close. I think last year the final spot was 88 wins.

By: DrDooby

DrDooby — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 15:16:21 +0000

The key answers are over 76.5 wins and within 9.5 games of the final WC (though unfortunately not THE final WC in all likelihood).
Due to a mostly young roster, the Mets do have the upside for some modest improvement overall – and the OF & bullpen production almost can´t be worse than it was in 2012, so under normal circumstances, these two areas will be improved anyway – be it at a modest level…

By: TRS86

TRS86 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 15:14:46 +0000

Care to prove that?
LOL, what am I saying? A member of the “core” proving something?

Never mind, carry on.

By: TX

TX — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 15:14:20 +0000

Not greater than. Just louder.

By: Alex68

Alex68 — Tue, 19 Feb 2013 15:13:20 +0000

My voices >>>>>>>>>>>> Sandblasting people,Sandy Lovers & Sabergooners