Comments on: 2013 Mets Projections: Daniel Murphy, 2B

By: Matt K.

Matt K. — Wed, 06 Feb 2013 02:39:04 +0000

Alderson and Collins have each stated that they want more power from Murphy. If he tries to hit more home runs, his average will decrease… Murph is a natural hitter so hopefully he can still hit .285 with 15 home runs and 75 rbis or so….

By: Connor O'Brien

Connor O'Brien — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 22:23:02 +0000

‘m using the other projections to put my projection in context

By: Hitman

Hitman — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 18:43:06 +0000

.308, 15 HRs, 75-80 RBI, 40 2Bs

By: Bayonne Mets Fan

Bayonne Mets Fan — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 18:35:33 +0000

Connor for your next projection how about just giving us your opinion without looking at any statistics. I can do it, a lot of people can do it, try it.

And give us YOUR opinion, not Bill James or Zippy’s

By: Carlos

Carlos — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 18:31:56 +0000

You’ve just done two of these so far right? Just want to make sure there weren’t any I missed thanks. I enjoy them and I’m looking forward to seeing what you think about Matt Harvey and Kirk Nieuwenhuis this season. Keep them coming.

By: USMF

USMF — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 18:19:48 +0000

I think .300(ish) is fair…I wouldn’t be surprised to see more power…I really think Murph struggled with the whole approach strategy that the Mets were doing. not say that I’m against it, but not every plan works for every hitter and you gotta let Murph be Murph.

I like Murph in the two hole, or three hole if the actually sign Bourn…He’s too aggressive with a base stealer on base and I like Tejada on the two hole for that role. I think Murph’s not best fit as a pure run producer…but a guy that transition between the table setters and the power guys.

By: Justafan

Justafan — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 15:41:30 +0000

SheawasWorse –
Starting with questions, you’re on solid ground. Concluding with the view the projections are bogus takes you off the high road. Whether Connor has a repeatable methodology or not, it’s his view. An authority is minimally someone who knows at least a bit more than the next guy. It just might apply here. BTW, since you imply you know what it takes to make a guesstimate into an accepted projection, why don’t you give and support your views?

By: Metfan Lou

Metfan Lou — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 15:08:37 +0000

Nothing to do with this post but just read in the post where the Wilpons want to put a casino, hotel, shopping and all the works on a 62 acre site at Willetts Point next to Citi Field. The reason the article said was to recoup 162 million dollars lost in the Madoff scandal. My gosh now you’ll be able to go to Citi and have your own slot machine at your seat. “how was the game Sam.” “Game want game I stopped at the casino and by the fourth inning the Mets were down 10-0 so I just stayed at the casino.” “But you had your granddaughter with you, you fool.” “Heck no she hit for a grand.”

By: peter

peter — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 15:02:53 +0000

Is it possible he can hit double digit dingers this year? Hope so, I am predicting, avg 309, hm 14 , rbi 68, obp 371, sb 9, . that is my optimistic prediction. I feel Murphy being more comfortable at second base will allow his bat to grow.

By: TRS86

TRS86 — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:43:29 +0000

LOL, it’s a fan site with bloggers. None of us are qualified.

By: SheawasBetter86

SheawasBetter86 — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:41:30 +0000

How’d you come to those stats? Is there a formula you followed? Graphs, charts? Or have you looked at 6 other projections and averaged them? Simply guessed?

I’d just like to know what scientific data or processes were followed in making these projections? Seems like a reach to just look at James’ predictions and put up something close. What makes you an authority on this subject? How are you qualified?

This is bogus man…

By: srt

srt — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:39:46 +0000

Like Murph’s work ethic and drive. Solid player who I think can hold down second adequately for the time being.

By: TRS86

TRS86 — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:32:49 +0000

Agreed, he’s a prototypical #2 hitter in my mind.

By: Donal

Donal — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:30:34 +0000

In Murphy’s defense, he’s never been big on walks. He doesn’t need to be.

He’s got a nice compact, level swing that lets him control most of the zone. He doesn’t go chasing pitches he can’t hit, but there are very few that fall into that category.

His swing is like the anti-Davis swing.

By: TRS86

TRS86 — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:30:10 +0000

.298, .340, 5 HR, 60 RBI.

By: BTF

BTF — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:29:18 +0000

Bet you Murphy connects for 15 homers this year. Just wait until you witness the power of the Irish Hammer.

By: ifthevansrockin

ifthevansrockin — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:28:31 +0000

if he stays healthy all year, that is probably reasonable. maybe a little optimistic on the power side.

Hopefully he makes some forward progress playing 2B at at least close to an average level. The defense still needs all thehelp it can get, and he was one of the primary weak spots.

By: Steve S.

Steve S. — Tue, 05 Feb 2013 14:23:24 +0000

The projection for 2013 seems quite reasonable, basically between Murphy’s 2011 and 2012 seasons.