Yesterday, I took at the newly updated Top 20 Mets Prospects list by MLB’s Joey Nowak and Jonathan Mayo. I was very disappointed to say the least, and it didn’t look like much thought was put into it. Some of their choices were way off and hard to justify. Reese Havens at number 8 was laughable, and Gavin Cecchini at number 6 seemed like a poor attempt to drum up some extra clicks and attention. Sure Cecchini belongs on the Top 20, but not at number 6, not yet. So anyway, here are my thoughts, and at the end of each of their picks I included who I would have chosen.
1. Zack Wheeler - RHP – ETA: 2013
A great start and one that I whole-heartedly agree with. Wheeler has made his case for being the Mets top prospect and in fact, as Adam Rubin said on our Radio Show yesterday, “If Dylan Bundy is the top pitching prospect in the majors or even 1A, Wheeler is good enough to be 1B, he’s that impressive”. He still needs to work on his walk rate and his overall command, but Wheeler is the real deal and is significantly better than Matt Harvey in many ways. My #1 Pick: Zack Wheeler
2. Matt Harvey – RHP – ETA: Major Leaguer
This is kind of lame pick and a throwaway. If you’re going to update your prospect list to reflect changes and promotions from this season, how could you still have Matt Harvey on it? Harvey is a major leaguer who could become a solid number three starter type like Jon Niese in time, maybe a number two type on a small market team (like us?). He’s been up and down this season, but he’s in the majors to stay and will get better as his confidence builds and as he learns to trust his secondary pitches more, which are MLB caliber. My #2 Pick: Wilmer Flores
3. Jeurys Familia – RHP – ETA 2013
I’ve never viewed Familia as anything more than a reliever with a power arm. His high-nineties fastball runs in on lefties and righties cant catch up to it. His secondary offerings have shown meager improvement and none of them are plus pitches – not even close. Number three overall prospect? Really? No way, not in my book. That doesn’t mean he won’t be a good addition to the bullpen some day. My #3 Pick: Brandon Nimmo
4. Wilmer Flores – 2B/3B – ETA: 2013
Wilmer Flores is a star in the making. He may not have a permanent home defensively for now, but that will come in 2013. This kid could rake with the best of them and he knows how to adjust. He had a .799 OPS in 64 games in High-A St. Lucie, then gets promoted to Double-A Binghamton and improves to an .855 OPS in 65 games, unreal. He just turned 21, his power is growing, and he’s a natural born run producer. Flores could be one of the best position players to emerge from the Mets system since Wright and Reyes. He should be ranked number two and I agree he’ll make his MLB debut in 2013, but not until August or September . My #4 Pick: Rafael Montero
5. Brandon Nimmo – OF – ETA: 2014
I love Nimmo, this kid has impressed the heck out of me. I wasn’t a huge fan of the pick at the time, but the little I’ve seen of him and all the raves I’ve heard from Pete about him are enough to convince me we have something special here. He is cut out of the same fabric as David Wright and one day he will be the face of this franchise and as beloved as #5. Did you hear our exclusive interview with Brandon Nimmo last week? Check it out and you’ll learn why I’m so high on him. On my top 20 Nimmo is number three right behind Flores. My #5 Pick: Michael Fulmer
I’ll have my thoughts on Pick’s 6-10 posted Saturday, 11-15 on Sunday and 16-20 on Monday.
Let me know what you thought of MLB’s choices, and whether you agree or disagree with mine.