Yep and who started this line of conversation again?

Oh Right the court jester Jackass of MMO!
Donal!

Usually what happens when a link gets posted to remind everyone on this blog just how dumb your actually capable of being!

“You wouldn’t know this because no one would bother to give you an IQ test they are too busy running tests to see if your retarded or merely crazy!”

Good baseball talk right there.

Luck does not exist, Only probability!
And when your numbers suggest what is probable and the numbers don’t match up LUCK is used to explain away thier error!

Here maybe these can help you form your response…

http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=web&cd=2&ved=0CGcQFjAB&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.esm.psu.edu%2Fabout%2Fwhatisesci%2F&ei=RHQpUOqAH8mE0QHYq4E4&usg=AFQjCNFaOw7CA4qki4cAvMvO7t_ijBtOdA&sig2=vyIW2cDLAhweBd36F7VPlw

http://www.esm.psu.edu/research_outreach/

http://www.eng.ox.ac.uk/

So go on slappy please do what I have tried and show the world just how smart your not!

There are LOTS of different IQ tests out there, That use many different ways of scoring the results and in the end the score is not important as the percentage of people you are in that takes the test!

My 303 Scored in the top 1% of the people!

You wouldn’t know this because no one would bother to give you an IQ test they are too busy running tests to see if your retarded or merely crazy!

But hey, you go keep telling us how smart you are. It really is precious.

And then continue to talk down to another poster based on his age.

There is nothing wrong with being wrong provided you recognize where you made an error and learn from the mistakes!

Connor is going to be a much smarter person than either of those two provided he doesn’t just ACCEPT what the layman says is the way of the world and chellenges every beliief with his own mind and fact checking!

If everyone was like Donal and Jessup we would all still think the sun revolves around the earth because the earth is the center of the universe!

Only those who were smart enough to challenge the Mass convention and beliefs actually found the truth of it all!

If you’re trying to imply it’s impossible for us to find any young baseball fans who are smarter than you then I suggest you ask Joe D to delete a lot of your comments first.

Seriously though – you’ve gotta be the 3rd maybe 4th person who has gone after Connor’s age as a way to say you’re right and he’s wrong.

Debate, Discuss based on what he says – not how long he’s been alive to say it.

Yes Luck is a big part of Baseball!
But not a part of STATISTICS in any way shape or form!

Statistics are simply numbers that don’t tell you if Luck was involved or not!
And as I told you before, Statistics do NOT tell you the situation in which those statistics were compiled or what events led to that result!

It is merely a result with no pre-history as to how that result happened.
Sure it can tell you which count you got the hit, Can even tell you how many pitches it took you to get it.
But they can’t tell you what pitch you hit, what location it was hit at and what pitch set up the one for the result to occurr!

Numbers do NOT translate to reality until such time as a theory of EVERYTHING is derived and every factor that was in play (including wind, Heat, Air pressure and any other VARIABLE that YOU call luck and I call AFFECT is measured and placed in it’s proper place with the proper weight in the equation!

There is no distinction in the stats of what is an earned hit or a lucky hit!
No distinction of what is an earned Walk and an Intentional they are both counted as equals even in Sabermetrics.
a HBP is as ALL about luck yet OBP is a highly regarded stat that gets favored over BA despite the fact all BA is EARNED!

The only time a Sabermetrician talks about Luck is when one of his philosophies on scoring runs doesn’t panj out and then he says well I’m not wrong about what I think is important he was just luckier than the guy I thought was supposed to be better based on my philosophy!

wOBA (and WAR by inclusion of wOBA) count RBOE’s a weighted more than actual Hits!
So why would you count a stats of LUCK as more than one that is earned?

The bottomline of Sabers is really all about finding some niche act the guy is good at who if he can maintain that would help the rest of the good traditional players increase those traditional stats!

This is why people say go for more OB you get more runs but that theory really only works if you have a good traditional BA/RBI guy behind him to make that extra pay off!

Sabers really are an exercise in finding players who can work with the good traditional players you have when there are no other good traditional players you can get!

And hoping to find some quality that will be advantagous with the good players you HAVE since you can’t find another player LIKE those good players to fill a hole that exists!