For the first time in nine seasons, the Amazin’s will take the field without their sparkplug, Jose Reyes. When the 4-time all-star inked his 6-year $106 million deal with the Marlins, the general idea was that the Mets offense would be left in shambles. Although the production will not be the same, the perceived gaping hole in the lineup left by Reyes’ departure may not be quite as big as one would think.
I took the probable 2012 starters’ 2011 offensive statistics, and converted them to a 550 at-bat season. With Reyes, Beltran and Pagan not in the lineup next year, many of these batters are bound to get more at-bats than 550, so take these stats with a grain of salt:
The 2011 starting eight alone scored 601 runs, this starting roster would score 548. Under normal circumstances, this would be a huge drop off, but between the shortened fences, players like Duda, Thole and Tejada getting more opportunities to score/drive in runs and probable improvements from Wright and Torres, the 53-run gap would likely be reduced.
In 2012, the Mets could realistically see Wright, Davis and Duda hit 30 and 100 in the middle of that order. That alone can make a successful offense, but with any combination of Thole, Torres, or Tejada getting on base, this lineup could be a legitimate force to be reckoned with.
These stats aren’t exactly “sexy” by any means, but if properly managed, — which I believe Terry Collins is fully capable of doing– the offense has the potential to be a bright spot on the otherwise dim 2012 New York Mets season.