Michael Baron of MetsBlog wrote the following this morning regarding the Mets projected starting rotation:
According to FanGraphs, Bill James predicts Gee will go 8-10 with a 4.33 ERA in 160 innings, Niese will go 9-10 with a 4.28 ERA in 160 innings, Dickey will go 12-11 with a 3.89 ERA, Pelfrey will go 9-11 with a 4.36 ERA in 188 innings, and Santana will go 14-7 with a 3.10 ERA in 189 innings.
That’s a pretty optimistic view of things by Bill James who has the Mets starting five pegged for 52 wins. The thing that stands out the most here is Johan Santana winning 14 games with a 3.10 ERA in 189 innings pitched. Damn I hope he’s right, but to expect Johan to pitch that many innings and to return to form seems like a big stretch to me. Santana’s career ERA is 3.10 so he’s basically expecting him to perform at his previous level. Like I said, I hope he’s right, but I’m betting he’s way off.
Let me switch gears on you and ask you all a question. With the incredible amount of talent being swapped this offseason for starting pitching, why haven’t the Mets tried to trade R.A. Dickey?
The front office talks a lot about building a contending Mets team for 2014 and beyond. So why is Dickey still here when the lack of starting pitching in this market has led to an insane amount of teams overpaying for a legit top of the rotation starter like R.A. Dickey.
I don’t get it.
We have so many Mets fans who said we finished in fourth place with Reyes and we can finish in fourth place without him. Can’t that also be said of Dickey who is 37 and could go kaput at anytime?
What ever happened to sell high and buy low?
I just think it’s very odd. If you’re going to rebuild then rebuild, or if you’re going to contend then contend.
I have no idea what we are doing and I sometimes wonder if the front office has any idea either.
All of this Mets financial stuff must be getting to them too. It feels like they are just going through the motions this offseason with no real direction or plan.
Who knows if we’ll ever see such a great seller’s market for starting pitching like this again.