Comments on: MMO Mets Top 20 Prospects – #3 Matt Harvey, RHP

By: Des

Des — Fri, 16 Dec 2011 14:00:01 +0000

Alex68 — As you know, injuries to young players are often impossible to predict. Humber was pitching for Binghamton in 2005 when he had to leave a game after feeling elbow pain. That turned out to be a Tommy John problem. Humber was never the same, despite coming back in just over one year.

By: Donal

Donal — Fri, 16 Dec 2011 13:54:31 +0000

No. Just, no. Santana was a beast for 3 straight years.

By: jessep

jessep — Fri, 16 Dec 2011 13:11:41 +0000

Des, I stil don’t get this fascination wih the fact that BA can be wrong. As though predicting prospects is such an easy job right? Without BA you would know barely anything about your farm players.

In 2006, some of BA’s top 50 players were
Delmon Young, Justin Upton, Francisco Liriano, Justin Verlander, Matt Cain, Prince Fielder, Howie Kendrick, Ryan Zimmerman, Conor Jackson, Carlos Quentin, Nick Markakis, Jon Lester, Troy Tulowitzki, Billy Butler, Hanley Ramirez, CarGo, Mike Pelfrey, Jon Papelbon, Phil Hughes, Bobby Jenks, Anibal Sanchez, Russell Martin, Erick Aybar, Ryan Braun, Andrew McCutchen

Now that’s half of their top 50 right there and all of these guys have had success as big leaguers and truthfully that is all you can project.

Asking somebody to predict that a 20 something year old kid can turn out to be a quality big leaguer is a tough job. Prospects don’t always have to be superstars. People act like if you’re on the top prospects list you’re advertised as a future HOF’er.

Nobody says it’s the bible and you need to assume it will be 100% correct, but I’ll take a Baseball America list over an Alex68 list any day and twice on sunday

By: Alex68

Alex68 — Fri, 16 Dec 2011 12:18:25 +0000

Petey, good job on this, although i must say, i am intrigue to see #1 and #2 coming up… with that being said, i hope this kid turns out to be good for us, god knows we need pitching and if is a power pitcher even better, and regarding humber, as usual, baseball america was DEAD WRONG ON YET ANOTHER PROSPECT, the mets of course took him and look what happened, where is baseball america apology after saying he was a stud.. but no.. for every jered weaver there’s hundreds of phillip humber.. ugh…

By: Des

Des — Fri, 16 Dec 2011 01:52:21 +0000

Another wonderful job, Petey. Thanks for all you’ve done.

By: chris

chris — Fri, 16 Dec 2011 01:27:50 +0000

very good read .. excellent job .. nice to see a bunch of names from last years draft and an appearance from juan urbina and a toby hyde favorite akeel morris

By: Petey Pete

Petey Pete — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 23:59:36 +0000

Thanks Sach!

By: Sach

Sach — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 23:57:57 +0000

Very good work as usual, Petey Pete.

By: francis

francis — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 23:25:28 +0000

LOL, trading Humber ( + Gomez, others ) for Santana will turn out to be a s**t move.

By: Petey Pete

Petey Pete — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 23:19:50 +0000

Like I said in the first paragraph, these two are very close. There’s no big shock here when you consider how close these two players are in terms of risk/ceiling/talent. Any player on this list is a risk, look what happened to generation K. Both of these guys (MH and JF) project as solid middle of the rotation guys, unless they have trouble with off-speed pitches in which case they are projected as 8th or 9th inning guys. I don’t want to compare their attributes now, because I am presently writing a piece about it for Monday’s release. But I will say this, their “stuff” is amazingly similar, and they are both nearly the same size, with the ability to pitch deep into games. Their rate of ascent to the major leagues should be very closely linked.

By: Hodges14

Hodges14 — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 23:01:08 +0000

Color me surprised here, but a very solid overall assessment. I’m also looking forward to the final two.

By: AV

AV — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 22:54:56 +0000

This is a shocker. I was convinced we’d be reading about Familia today and next Monday/Thursday would be a toss-up between Harvey and Wheeler. I’m curious to read about why the two guys ahead of Harvey are ahead of him. Great work!

By: Donal

Donal — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 22:44:24 +0000

That may be due to Familia having about the same potential but closer to the show. He may be ready to debut by midseason.

By: steve

steve — Thu, 15 Dec 2011 22:42:28 +0000

Wow you have Familia rated ahead of Harvey??? Not too many people do.