13
2011
Determining Jose Reyes’ Trade Value
An article by 
The trade rumors regarding Jose Reyes have been constant since the season has begun. While it will not be the best move for the New York Mets to trade Reyes, it is still a possibility. If Reyes is dealt, the return that the Mets get will be incredibly important.
Reyes is putting up MVP-type numbers this season. Through 62 games, Reyes has batted a league leading .346 and also leads the league with 94 hits. He also has scored 47 times, hit three home runs, driven in 25, and has stolen 20 bases in 25 attempts. Reyes has also improved his patience at the plate and now has 21 walks versus 25 strikeouts.
Acquiring Reyes, who is having a phenomenal year, will be a tough task for any team. The Mets will obviously be asking for a huge return, and deservedly so. Valuing Reyes will be difficult because of his number and the fact that he will be a free agent after the season.
There is a precedent for trading big name potential free agents. One example of this is the Braves trading Mark Teixeira in 2008.
Teixeira was having a good year at that point. He was hitting .283 with 20 home runs and 78 RBI through 103 games. The Braves only received Casey Kotchman and pitcher Steve Marek in return.
Reyes has more value than this. A much better example is likely the trade between the Athletics and Cardinals in 2009 that sent Matt Holliday to St. Louis.
Holliday was not having as good of a year as Teixeira did in 2008, but he brought back a much better package. He was hitting .283 with 11 home runs and 54 RBI through 93 games with the Athletics.
The Cardinals needed to send one of their best prospects, Brett Wallace, as well as pitcher Clayton Mortensen and first baseman/outfielder Shane Peterson to Oakland. This is much likely a better point of comparison if Reyes were to be dealt.
Based on the big deadline deals from two years, it appears as if the Mets should be able to get a good return for Reyes. They would likely get a team’s number one or number two overall prospects in addition to some young pitching.
Even if the Mets are able to get a great return for Reyes, moving him is not the best move for the franchise. He is a fan favorite, as evident from the “Don’t Trade Jose Reyes” rally that happened it Citi Field this season.
In addition, when Reyes is on his game, as he has been all year this season, he is one of the best players in baseball. Players of this caliber should not be traded. Even if the Mets do get a great return for Reyes, they likely will not be able to get full value for him.
About the Author: Robert Knapel
Robert is from New Jersey. He is currently pursuing Bachelors degrees in both Finance and International Business at Washington University in St. Louis. He has been a Mets fan for as long as he can remember. Robert also serves as an MLB Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report.
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NL East Standings
| Team | W | L | Pct. | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 23 | 18 | .561 | - |
| Nationals | 23 | 19 | .548 | 0.5 |
| Phillies | 20 | 22 | .476 | 3.5 |
| Mets | 16 | 23 | .410 | 6.0 |
| Marlins | 11 | 31 | .262 | 12.5 |
Last updated: 05/18/2013
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all those prospects can pan out to be nothing. Why piss off the fan base? you know many wont go to citifield if they trade him or not sign him. the mets wont be contenders for long time with out reyes.
JOSE=FOREVER MET
This all assumes Reyes wants a Crawford like deal, which would not be a wise investment but he has not stated he wants:
You’re not getting value for Reyes on the trade market. Nobody is giving up top prospects for a rental player. Besides, there’s no one like Reyes out there anyway.
And the odds are against you getting another player of Reyes’ caliber in the draft. Not that it can’t or won’t happen, you just can’t bank on it.
What you need to do is if you are sure that Reyes is not a Met in 2012, figure out which will give you the higher return.
Lets go Mets
JoRey must stay in a Mets uniform. He is there best player and with money coming off the books the Mets must do everything they can to resign him.
jay,
they have no excuses anymore.. not even the saberidiots in the front office can’t deny what this man is doing for this franchize
You do know that saberidiots have had him valued as a top 20 hitter in baseball from 2006-2010, even with the injuries? Saber metrics has always valued Reyes greatly, more so than the average fan who thought he smiled too much and didn’t take the game seriously and therefore needed to be traded.
Shhh, logic and fact have no place in the agenda of the frightened.
again, i do not need to see a stat sheet to realize this guy IS a baseball player… look at #5, he puts up numbers all the time, but do the numbers actually tell you how unclutch he is?? nooooooo.
numbers lie man, when you go or see the game you get to see what happens, i’ve seen games where wright strikesout in a big spot with the game at reach or take the lead, then the game gets out of reach, and wouldn’t you know, here comes wright with his stat padding 2 run HR in the 8th or in the 9th, when we didn’t needed.. therefore you see his stat sheet that says : 1-2, HR, 2 rbi in clutch situations.. gimme a f*ing break!!!!
So Reyes’ homer yesterday was just padding his stats, right?
i won’t even respond to you… if you read again you would understand exactly what i mean..
He’d be the first one
“but do the numbers actually tell you how unclutch he is?? nooooooo.”
Yes, they do. the problem is, Wright’s haters have no idea what “clutch” actually means. They hear someone else use it and try to mimic.
“numbers lie man,”
No, people lie.
“when you go or see the game you get to see what happens, i’ve seen games where wright strikesout in a big spot with the game at reach or take the lead,”
And I’ve seen games where Wright got the big hit that won the game. But, I don’t use my personal perception as a reference source.
“take the lead, then the game gets out of reach, and wouldn’t you know, here comes wright with his stat padding 2 run HR in the 8th or in the 9th, when we didn’t needed.. therefore you see his stat sheet that says : 1-2, HR, 2 rbi in clutch situations.. gimme a f*ing break!!!!”
and that happens how often? If you’re going to state that as a fact, I’m not just taking your word. You should be able to reference it.
You lie
You know nothing about the game and each day bring a chuckle to me as you spew your ignorance and say the same stupid day after day.
The reason the cardinals gave up that much was because they already knew they were going to re-sign him. They never looked at Holliday as a rental and from his first day as a Cardinal they opened up a dialog for negotiation which ultimately happened after he became a free agent.
If anything, a Reyes package should be closer to what Colorado got for Holliday from Oakland, not what Oakland got from St.L….The A’s parted with Carlos Gonzales & Houston Street for Holliday. Jose is having an unbelievable year, and his value is multiplied by the fact that he is a plus defensively, not to mention the fact that he plays a position where offense is a premium. He, among Tulo & Hanley are the best SS in the majors, but Reyes provides a very unique skillset. Is there any better leadoff hitter in the game?
How can I count the ways that would hurt this team if the Mets trade Jose Reyes – he’s a superstar here as well as an old friend who has grown up with the Mets family. Just imagine if he was not here – how full do you think Citi Field would get?????