2
2011
2011 Mets Over/Under, Predictions
In most circles, the Mets are pegged for fourth place in the NL East with roughly 77 victories. Considering their offseason and the issues around the team that seems about right. I’ll throw out a number and you tell me if you’ll take the over/under.
Mets victories: 78
Phillies victories: 98
Mike Pelfrey wins: 16
R.A. Dickey wins: 11
Jon Niese wins: 12
Different Mets pitchers to make a start: 11
Francisco Rodriguez game-ending appearances: 50
Rodriguez saves: 25
Ike Davis homers: 21
Games played by Jason Bay: 110
Bay homers: 19
Times Bay will appear on the DL: 2
Games played by Carlos Beltran assuming no trade: 110
Jose Reyes steals: 55
Reyes games with Mets assuming no trade: 145
David Wright homers: 30
Wright strikeouts: 130
Wright RBI: 107
Angel Pagan average: .280
Pagan stolen bases: 30
Jose Thole average: .275
Date we’ll see Johan Santana: Aug. 9
My picks:
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Reds
NL West winner: Giants
NL wild card: Braves
NL champ: Phillies
Mets finish in NL East: fourth
NL MVP: Troy Tulowitzki, Colorado
NL Cy Young: Matt Cain, San Francisco
AL East winner: Boston
AL Central winner: Minnesota
AL West winner: Texas
AL wild-card: New York
AL Champ: Boston
AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez, Boston
AL Cy Young: CC Sabathia, New York
World Series winner: Boston
About the Author: John Delcos
I am an active member of the BBWAA and have covered Major League Baseball in several capacities for over 20 years, including ten in New York working the Mets' and Yankees' beat. I covered the Baltimore Orioles for eight years and the Cleveland Indians before that. I currently serve as an editor and senior staff writer for Mets Merized Online. Follow me on Twitter @jdelcos.
12 Comments + Add Comment


NL East Standings
| Team | W | L | Pct. | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 42 | 30 | .583 | - |
| Phillies | 35 | 37 | .486 | 7.0 |
| Nationals | 34 | 36 | .486 | 7.0 |
| Mets | 27 | 40 | .403 | 12.5 |
| Marlins | 22 | 48 | .314 | 19.0 |
Last updated: 06/19/2013
MMO Mets Chat
Recent Comments
- Djmurphy: on Wilmer Flores: It’s Time For Another MLB Debut: This guy is a hitting machine. When...
- Djmurphy: on Wilmer Flores: It’s Time For Another MLB Debut: Trade murph his value has nvr been...
- Fonzie13: on Mateo Had Tommy John Surgery This Week: This sucks. I'm just as high on...
- Russell's Mets: on Marcum Can’t Find Win Column As Mets Fall To Braves 5-3: Now you're just trolling, Giants won...
- Russell's Mets: on Marcum Can’t Find Win Column As Mets Fall To Braves 5-3: a 22 year old playing in low...

An article by



My picks:
Mets victories: 72
Phillies victories: 90
Mike Pelfrey wins: 13
R.A. Dickey wins: 15
Jon Niese wins: 12
Different Mets pitchers to make a start: 9
Francisco Rodriguez game-ending appearances: 48
Rodriguez saves: 27
Ike Davis homers: 28
Games played by Jason Bay: 118
Bay homers: 22
Times Bay will appear on the DL: 2
Games played by Carlos Beltran assuming no trade: 110
Jose Reyes steals: 57
Reyes games with Mets assuming no trade: 155
David Wright homers: 31
Wright strikeouts: 110
Wright RBI: 102
Angel Pagan average: .290
Pagan stolen bases: 30
Jose Thole average: .280
Date we’ll see Johan Santana: Aug. 15
Okay Mr. Delcos, here’s my over/under based on your picks…make sure you jot this down:
Mets victories: 78 – I’ll take the over
Phillies victories: 98 – under
Mike Pelfrey wins: 16 – under
R.A. Dickey wins: 11 – over
Jon Niese wins: 12 – over
Different Mets pitchers to make a start: 11 – under
Francisco Rodriguez game-ending appearances: 50 – under
Rodriguez saves: 25 – over
Ike Davis homers: 21 -over
Games played by Jason Bay: 110 – over
Bay homers: 19 – over
Times Bay will appear on the DL: 2 – under
Games played by Carlos Beltran assuming no trade: 110 – over
Jose Reyes steals: 55 – under
Reyes games with Mets assuming no trade: 145 – over
David Wright homers: 30 – under
Wright strikeouts: 130 – over
Wright RBI: 107 – under
Angel Pagan average: .280 – over
Pagan stolen bases: 30 – under
Jose Thole average: .275 – over
Actually on ‘different Mets pitchers to make starts should be over not under
Mets victories: 78 – over (87)
Phillies victories: 98 – under (92)
Mike Pelfrey wins: 16 – under
R.A. Dickey wins: 11 – over
Jon Niese wins: 12 – over
Different Mets pitchers to make a start: 11 – under
Francisco Rodriguez game-ending appearances: 50 – over
Rodriguez saves: 25 – over
Ike Davis homers: 21 – under
Games played by Jason Bay: 110 – under
Bay homers: 19 – way under
Times Bay will appear on the DL: 2 – over
Games played by Carlos Beltran assuming no trade: 110 – over
Jose Reyes steals: 55 – under
Reyes games with Mets assuming no trade: 145 – over
David Wright homers: 30 – under
Wright strikeouts: 130 – over
Wright RBI: 107 – under
Angel Pagan average: .280 – over
Pagan stolen bases: 30 – over
Jose Thole average: .275 – over
Date we’ll see Johan Santana: Aug. 9 – July 15
Mets victories: 78 – under (71)
Phillies victories: 98 – under (94)
Mike Pelfrey wins: 16 – under (14)
R.A. Dickey wins: 11 – over (12)
Jon Niese wins: 12 – over (13)
Different Mets pitchers to make a start: 11 – under (9)
Francisco Rodriguez game-ending appearances: 50 – under (47 followed by an MLBPA grievance)
Rodriguez saves: 25 – over (33)
Ike Davis homers: 21 – over (24)
Games played by Jason Bay: 110 – over (131)
Bay homers: 19 – over (21)
Times Bay will appear on the DL: 2 – push
Games played by Carlos Beltran assuming no trade: 110 – under (102)
Jose Reyes steals: 55 – over (57)
Reyes games with Mets assuming no trade: 145 – over (153)
David Wright homers: 30 – under (26)
Wright strikeouts: 130 – over (149)
Wright RBI: 107 – under (102)
Angel Pagan average: .280 – under (.277)
Pagan stolen bases: 30 – under (28)
Jose Thole average: .275 – over (.282)
Date we’ll see Johan Santana: Aug. 9 – over (opening day 2012)
MVPs – Tulo and Gonzalez
Cy Youngs – Lincecum and Sabathia
NL – East – Braves Central – Reds West – Giants WC – Phillies
AL – East Red Sox Central – White Sox West – A’s WC – Yankees
W.S. – Boston over SF in 6 games
over on the Mets, under on the Phils.
Mets victories: 78 – Under (76)
Phillies victories: 98 – Under
Mike Pelfrey wins: 16 – Under
R.A. Dickey wins: 11 – over
Jon Niese wins: 12 – over
Different Mets pitchers to make a start: 11 – push
Francisco Rodriguez game-ending appearances: 50 – over
Rodriguez saves: 25 – over
Ike Davis homers: 21 – over
Games played by Jason Bay: 110 – over
Bay homers: 19 – over
Times Bay will appear on the DL: 2 – under
Games played by Carlos Beltran assuming no trade: 110 – under
Jose Reyes steals: 55 – over
Reyes games with Mets assuming no trade: 145
David Wright homers: 30 – under
Wright strikeouts: 130 – over
Wright RBI: 107 – over
Angel Pagan average: .280 – over
Pagan stolen bases: 30 – over
Jose Thole average: .275 – under
Date we’ll see Johan Santana: Aug. 9 – over
Mets victories: 78 (Over
Phillies victories: 98 (Under)
Mike Pelfrey wins: 16 (Under)
R.A. Dickey wins: 11 (Over)
Jon Niese wins: 12 (Over)
Different Mets pitchers to make a start: 11 (Push)
Francisco Rodriguez game-ending appearances: 50 (Push)
Rodriguez saves: 25 (Over)
Ike Davis homers: 21 (Over)
Games played by Jason Bay: 110 (Over)
Bay homers: 19 (Over)
Times Bay will appear on the DL: 2 (Push…but I won’t be surprised if it’s Over)
Games played by Carlos Beltran assuming no trade: 110 (Under)
Jose Reyes steals: 55 (Over)
Reyes games with Mets assuming no trade: 145 (Over)
David Wright homers: 30 (Push)
Wright strikeouts: 130 (Over)
Wright RBI: 107 (Over)
Angel Pagan average: .280 (Over)
Pagan stolen bases: 30 (Over)
Jose Thole average: .275 (Over)
Date we’ll see Johan Santana: Aug. 9 (Over)
11 pitchers starting? what’re you on drugs?
You must be the one on drugs chris, or just a casual baseball fan.
The Mets used 12 starters last season, 11 in 2009, 12 in 2008, 13 in 2007.
So 11 starters in 2011, under or over? I say over. I’m going with the odds.
remember shamsky, chris is a wilpon apologist, who thinks the mets are great and do no wrong ever, that is why 86 was 25 years ago, but dont worry chris will tell you the mets had a great off season and will compete for the playoffs this yr…lol such a homer
Chris, all teams go through 10 starters or so every year.