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	<title>Comments on: From Left Field: The Power Of &#8220;If&#8221;</title>
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		<title>By: Des</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132419</link>
		<dc:creator>Des</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Feb 2011 03:43:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132419</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Patrick Flood:  Coming to Daniel Murphy&#039;s Defense (at 1B after the 2009 season)

“He (Murphy) didn’t look smooth playing first base, but he was surprisingly good. UZR ranked Daniel Murphy as the 4th best defensive first baseman in the majors last year (2009). Plus/minus ranked him as tied for first with Albert Pujols and Kevin Youkilis. Fan Scouting Reports ranks Murphy as a better defensive player than either Carlos Delgado or Fernando Tatis. He was not only solid defensively, but in fact he appears to be one of the best.“

“He played a grand total of 13 minor league games at first before 2009.“

“On the other hand, it would make sense for Murphy to be an above average first basemen. He was a +2 infielder in 213 minor league games (196 at third), though that is by iffy minor league Total Zone. He spent most of his time at third base, which is traditionally thought to be a more difficult defensive position to play – so first should be an easier job for him, once he figures out how to actually play it.”

 
“Turning double plays.  Not something traditionally associated with first basemen, but it can make a small difference. This seems to be another strength of Murphy’s. He initiated 9 ground ball double plays in 2009, fourth in the league among first basemen – and he only played two-thirds of a season at first. Murphy also finished fourth in assists to second base with 19. He turned more 3-6-3 double plays than anyone not named “Albert Pujols” – though it should be noted that he probably had more opportunities to turn double plays than other first baseman because of the Mets staff’s unfortunate aversion to pitching within the strike zone, thus putting more runners at first with less than two outs. All this shows that Murphy plays an first base with a third baseman’s mentality – he loves to go after the lead runner. “

“Daniel Murphy, in his 707 major league plate appearances as a 23 and 24 year old, has a wOBA of .330, which is exactly average, and an OPS+ of 103 – so his OPS is 3% better than the rest of the league during his major league stint. He&#039;s young, he&#039;s still improving, he only played one game at the AAA level before being called up to the majors. Despite all that, he&#039;s been a league-average hitter, he&#039;s projected to be a league-average hitter this year as well. “

http://www.patrickfloodblog.com/2010/02/coming-to-daniel-murphys-defense.html]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Patrick Flood:  Coming to Daniel Murphy&#8217;s Defense (at 1B after the 2009 season)</p>
<p>“He (Murphy) didn’t look smooth playing first base, but he was surprisingly good. UZR ranked Daniel Murphy as the 4th best defensive first baseman in the majors last year (2009). Plus/minus ranked him as tied for first with Albert Pujols and Kevin Youkilis. Fan Scouting Reports ranks Murphy as a better defensive player than either Carlos Delgado or Fernando Tatis. He was not only solid defensively, but in fact he appears to be one of the best.“</p>
<p>“He played a grand total of 13 minor league games at first before 2009.“</p>
<p>“On the other hand, it would make sense for Murphy to be an above average first basemen. He was a +2 infielder in 213 minor league games (196 at third), though that is by iffy minor league Total Zone. He spent most of his time at third base, which is traditionally thought to be a more difficult defensive position to play – so first should be an easier job for him, once he figures out how to actually play it.”</p>
<p>“Turning double plays.  Not something traditionally associated with first basemen, but it can make a small difference. This seems to be another strength of Murphy’s. He initiated 9 ground ball double plays in 2009, fourth in the league among first basemen – and he only played two-thirds of a season at first. Murphy also finished fourth in assists to second base with 19. He turned more 3-6-3 double plays than anyone not named “Albert Pujols” – though it should be noted that he probably had more opportunities to turn double plays than other first baseman because of the Mets staff’s unfortunate aversion to pitching within the strike zone, thus putting more runners at first with less than two outs. All this shows that Murphy plays an first base with a third baseman’s mentality – he loves to go after the lead runner. “</p>
<p>“Daniel Murphy, in his 707 major league plate appearances as a 23 and 24 year old, has a wOBA of .330, which is exactly average, and an OPS+ of 103 – so his OPS is 3% better than the rest of the league during his major league stint. He&#8217;s young, he&#8217;s still improving, he only played one game at the AAA level before being called up to the majors. Despite all that, he&#8217;s been a league-average hitter, he&#8217;s projected to be a league-average hitter this year as well. “</p>
<p><a href="http://www.patrickfloodblog.com/2010/02/coming-to-daniel-murphys-defense.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.patrickfloodblog.com/2010/02/coming-to-daniel-murphys-defense.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Des</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132400</link>
		<dc:creator>Des</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Feb 2011 02:52:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132400</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Don&#039;t try logic with a closed mind. It hasn&#039;t worked to date.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don&#8217;t try logic with a closed mind. It hasn&#8217;t worked to date.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Des</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132398</link>
		<dc:creator>Des</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Feb 2011 02:51:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132398</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you want a disaster . . .]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you want a disaster . . .</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Des</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132397</link>
		<dc:creator>Des</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Feb 2011 02:49:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132397</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Harry C. -- sometimes I think you&#039;re a genius. But of course I wake up then.  LOL.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Harry C. &#8212; sometimes I think you&#8217;re a genius. But of course I wake up then.  LOL.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Harry C</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132356</link>
		<dc:creator>Harry C</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 23:07:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132356</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yes, Donal certainly does not use his own judgement.  Whatever Sandy says Donal regurgitates..........   that is what he thinks is cold objective blah blah blah.  Have you ever had your own thought on anything Donal?   Try it once.... It might not kill ya.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, Donal certainly does not use his own judgement.  Whatever Sandy says Donal regurgitates&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;.   that is what he thinks is cold objective blah blah blah.  Have you ever had your own thought on anything Donal?   Try it once&#8230;. It might not kill ya.</p>
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		<title>By: Vinny B</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132342</link>
		<dc:creator>Vinny B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 22:27:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132342</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[And how does playing a good 1B mean you will be good at 2nd? Those are two different postions.

Should we try Ike Davis at 2nd too?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And how does playing a good 1B mean you will be good at 2nd? Those are two different postions.</p>
<p>Should we try Ike Davis at 2nd too?</p>
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		<title>By: Metstheory22</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132335</link>
		<dc:creator>Metstheory22</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 22:07:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132335</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yes good one. Did not mean you specifically on K-Rod. Just fans in general seem to think he had a bad year.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes good one. Did not mean you specifically on K-Rod. Just fans in general seem to think he had a bad year.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: any</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132322</link>
		<dc:creator>any</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:34:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132322</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#039;t see K rod being an issue due to his mental state.  he is a nut job anyway.  as long as he doesn&#039;t punch anyone out and get suspended, he should be fine.

the thumb is the real issue, but he did come back and pitch in winter ball.  Only a couple innings I think, but enough to make sure he could do it (I assume that was the reason).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t see K rod being an issue due to his mental state.  he is a nut job anyway.  as long as he doesn&#8217;t punch anyone out and get suspended, he should be fine.</p>
<p>the thumb is the real issue, but he did come back and pitch in winter ball.  Only a couple innings I think, but enough to make sure he could do it (I assume that was the reason).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: any</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132318</link>
		<dc:creator>any</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:32:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132318</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[and the list of guys who moved from 3rd to 2nd is a bit longer.  At least for the mets, alfonso did it, and chase utley.  Both seemed to do OK.

Pete rose played both, but I don&#039;t know what order.  and 1B too, but I believe that came later?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>and the list of guys who moved from 3rd to 2nd is a bit longer.  At least for the mets, alfonso did it, and chase utley.  Both seemed to do OK.</p>
<p>Pete rose played both, but I don&#8217;t know what order.  and 1B too, but I believe that came later?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: any</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132317</link>
		<dc:creator>any</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:29:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132317</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[of your items, the one that I worry about the most is Young holding together.  But, I have more confidence in capuano.

2nd wuold be beltran being clean up level productive.  I expect he will be healthy enough to play, at least for a while!

most of the rest are reasonable to expect.  not guaranteed, but not wild, pie in the sky prayers.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>of your items, the one that I worry about the most is Young holding together.  But, I have more confidence in capuano.</p>
<p>2nd wuold be beltran being clean up level productive.  I expect he will be healthy enough to play, at least for a while!</p>
<p>most of the rest are reasonable to expect.  not guaranteed, but not wild, pie in the sky prayers.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Donal</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132316</link>
		<dc:creator>Donal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:28:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132316</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You do read reports and you do use statistics, so lets dispense with that nonsense, shall we? You just prefer some stats and reports to others.

It does not matter if you watch every play of every inning of every game. Human memory is faulty. We romanticize things. We ignore things that don&#039;t fit our preconceived notions. We emphasize things that support them. 

Thats why we use cold, objective, unbiased numbers when attmepting honest evaluations.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You do read reports and you do use statistics, so lets dispense with that nonsense, shall we? You just prefer some stats and reports to others.</p>
<p>It does not matter if you watch every play of every inning of every game. Human memory is faulty. We romanticize things. We ignore things that don&#8217;t fit our preconceived notions. We emphasize things that support them. </p>
<p>Thats why we use cold, objective, unbiased numbers when attmepting honest evaluations.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Mr North Jersey</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132315</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr North Jersey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:28:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132315</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With all due respect to what you &quot;know&quot; about baseball. 

The fact remains that people way more knowledgeable than yourself have decided Murphy will get a chance to audition for the starting 2b job. If he is or isn&#039;t the starting 2b is moot. 

What is important is whomever wins it that they can contribute and in whatever capacity that Murphy makes the team that he contributes as well.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With all due respect to what you &#8220;know&#8221; about baseball. </p>
<p>The fact remains that people way more knowledgeable than yourself have decided Murphy will get a chance to audition for the starting 2b job. If he is or isn&#8217;t the starting 2b is moot. </p>
<p>What is important is whomever wins it that they can contribute and in whatever capacity that Murphy makes the team that he contributes as well.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Jim Mancari</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132313</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Mancari</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:24:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132313</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Glad you enjoyed it!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Glad you enjoyed it!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Jim Mancari</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132312</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Mancari</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:24:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132312</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[He definitely was pitching great last year before the incident. He has to have learned his lesson and should be a huge part of the bullpen. He might not be as big an &quot;if&quot; as some of the other &quot;ifs.&quot;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>He definitely was pitching great last year before the incident. He has to have learned his lesson and should be a huge part of the bullpen. He might not be as big an &#8220;if&#8221; as some of the other &#8220;ifs.&#8221;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Mr North Jersey</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132310</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr North Jersey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:22:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132310</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nice post Jim. :-)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice post Jim. <img src='http://smhttp.18058.nexcesscdn.net/808D60/wordpress/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Mr North Jersey</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132309</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr North Jersey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:17:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132309</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[someone pointed out earlier I think it was A.N.Y. and I would have to agree that Murphy was never really a 1b to begin with. He was put there in the middle of the season to see if he could play the position to begin with.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>someone pointed out earlier I think it was A.N.Y. and I would have to agree that Murphy was never really a 1b to begin with. He was put there in the middle of the season to see if he could play the position to begin with.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Bayonne Mets Fan</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132307</link>
		<dc:creator>Bayonne Mets Fan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:15:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132307</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#039;t have to read any reports, I&#039;ve been around baseball long enough to know Murphy is not a starting 2B and was not good at 1B.  He was just OKAY there.   He was good enough at 1B to help increase his value as a utility player, utility players just fill in at spots...he&#039;s not a starting 1B either.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t have to read any reports, I&#8217;ve been around baseball long enough to know Murphy is not a starting 2B and was not good at 1B.  He was just OKAY there.   He was good enough at 1B to help increase his value as a utility player, utility players just fill in at spots&#8230;he&#8217;s not a starting 1B either.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Metstheory22</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132306</link>
		<dc:creator>Metstheory22</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:12:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132306</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I am not sure why everyone keeps harping on K-Rod.  Last year he was pitching better than his first year with the Mets, until he got hurt and was put on DL.
Hopefully his finger problem is healed and he does not change his pitching mechanics.  I think mentally he should be fine.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am not sure why everyone keeps harping on K-Rod.  Last year he was pitching better than his first year with the Mets, until he got hurt and was put on DL.<br />
Hopefully his finger problem is healed and he does not change his pitching mechanics.  I think mentally he should be fine.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Jerry M</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132303</link>
		<dc:creator>Jerry M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:11:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132303</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By the way Bayonne if Murphy makes 2nd base he will be in the company of Jackie Robinson who made the transition.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By the way Bayonne if Murphy makes 2nd base he will be in the company of Jackie Robinson who made the transition.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Jerry M</title>
		<link>http://metsmerizedonline.com/2011/02/from-left-field-the-power-of-if.html#comment-132302</link>
		<dc:creator>Jerry M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 21:09:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metsmerizedonline.com/?p=44613#comment-132302</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Go to SNY Bayonne and read report there and then go over to there are only two who made the transition to 1st base. You will find that comment there, I did not make it up.This was for the 2009 year only.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Go to SNY Bayonne and read report there and then go over to there are only two who made the transition to 1st base. You will find that comment there, I did not make it up.This was for the 2009 year only.</p>
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