Mets Sign Chris Capuano to 1-Year Deal

14 Comments + Add Comment

• BryanNYC January 3, 2011 at 8:26 pm

  Good signing, I remember a few years ago when everyone was raving about him…possibly a very high reward signing if he regains his his 2005 form,
• XtreemIcon January 3, 2011 at 8:29 pm

  Next up, Chad Qualls.
  • Bob L January 3, 2011 at 8:50 pm

    And you like Chad Qualls? Why is that again?
• XtreemIcon January 3, 2011 at 9:11 pm

  I like his peripherals. I like his career 3-1 K/BB ratio, his HR/9 ratio under 1, his 1.27 WHIP, and all that with a career 13% HR/FB rate, which should drastically decrease pitching in Citi Field.
  • Chris January 3, 2011 at 9:59 pm

    perhaps Bob L sees his 2010 ERA and thinks he is garbage. What he probably missed were the .399 BABIP, 53% strand rate, and 3.91 xFIP. Qualls will have a more than satisfactory 2011. mark it down. Especially if he is in Citi, which I hope he is as well, X.
    • Vinny B January 4, 2011 at 11:15 am

      BABIP is an awful stat. It’s a complete waste of time. It tellls you nothing.

      So that explains his 7.32 ERA? That was it? He was unlucky? Come on. Nobody is THAT unlucky.

      John Maine’s BABIP was near .350. Should we bring him back? I mean why not? He was “unlucky” too.

      Tom Seaver had a low BABip. So… was he just “lucky”?

      David Wright has career .343 BABIP. Is he lucky too? Josh Hamilton is .344 for his career. Votto is .353 How about Ichrio? .357 BABIP. I guess they aren’t any good – just lucky.
      • t agee January 4, 2011 at 12:16 pm

        BABIP that remains constant for a pitcher indicates that that is what he is. Wild flucuations year to year can indicate luck or even bad defense.

        Wrights very good BABIP show that when he hits the ball he is a very good hitter and that each K he racks up cost the team a 34% chance of a hit. Not that he would necessarily get a hit 34% of the time on the pitch he struck out on but that if he were able to keep his AB alive by not fishing or by fouling off a tough 2 strike pitch according to his success ratio to date he would have had plenty of more hits. Maybe only 10% since his BABIP would certainly include 2-0 and 3-1 counts but still some percentage of those K’s would have become hits.

        Maybe by finishing his AB with something other than a K his BABIP would drop but he would still have contributed more hits in the same amount of AB’s.
        • francis January 4, 2011 at 12:37 pm

          I agree with vinny. Babip is a waste.
          • Vinny B January 4, 2011 at 1:29 pm

            It’s Garbage. Good hitters have high Babip and good pitchers have low Babip.

            You see players like Wright, Hamilton, Votto, Ichrio, Jeter, Helton, manny, Vald, and many others all high Babip. Why? because they are good hitters and make soild contact more than others. It’s simple.

            Same things with picthers. Pitchers who are hard to hit have low Babip. Seaver, koufax, nolan ryan, Maddux, Pedro Martinez, Felix Hernandez, Santana, and many others great pitchers have low Babip. You aren’t getting alot of hits of those guys so that’s why they have low babip. Simple.

            It’s no surprise Qualls has a high babip this year -because he sucked and that’s why Maine had a high Babip this year.
            • t agee January 4, 2011 at 2:18 pm

              Greg Maddux had a sub .300 BABIP with the Braves every single year except for 1999 when it was .334 and a correspondingly higher ERA. How do you account for that? Bad year? Bad D? Javy Lopez? Random luck?
              • Vinny B January 4, 2011 at 2:25 pm

                He didn’t pitch as good that year as he did in other years – that’s what it means.
              • t agee January 4, 2011 at 2:42 pm

                In 1999 Pedro Martinez had his highest K’s per 9, lowest BB’s per 9 and lowest HR’s per 9 and yet he had his highest BABIP by far that year. Would you say he had a bad year? Many people consider that year to be one of the most dominating years a pitcher ever had.
• alwaysnextyear January 3, 2011 at 9:19 pm

  I like this signing. Good depth option. But, they should still try to sign at least 1 more guy if they expect to be able to go 7 deep on SP, which every team needs.

  even if they sign say Francis or young, they still don’t really have “too many” SPs. Assuming they all stay healthy in ST and earn rotation spots, you have pelf/dickey/neise/capuano/francis, with Gee in the pen of AAA as a back up plan.
• t agee January 4, 2011 at 2:35 pm

  Tom Seaver had only one over .300 BABIP his entire career. .326 in 1982 with the Reds. None that were even close to .300 until his last season except for that one. These guys shouldn’t really be compared to Cy young award winners anyway but if there K’s are still good and their walks are reasonable Hr’s given up not out of the norm yet their BABIP higher than in the past SOME of that can be attributed to randomness which affects even Cy Young caliber pitchers. Other parts could be explained by a full season of Cora instead of Reyes for a GB pitcher for example or an injury marred season by an Andrew Jones, a sudden lack of control with a breaking pitch that used to be counted on for a strike but now forces the pitcher to throw more FB’s or it could be the end of a pitchers effectivness. Most likely it’s a combination of some of those things but requires deeper digging to determine which one is more likely than the others.