R.A. Dickey: Nobody Could Have Predicted This

An article by posted on August 5, 2010

While taking a look at Mike Pelfrey’s overall 2010 stats this morning, I came across some interesting data as I compared him to the other starters in the Mets rotation.

I compiled the following chart on Baseball Reference, so that you could see who fits where in several different pitching categories among the Mets’ top four starters.

Pos WLW-L%ERAGSIPHERBBSOWHIPH/9HR/9BB/9SO/9SO/BB
SPJohan Santana*86.5713.2023154.214655461051.2418.50.62.76.12.28
SPMike Pelfrey106.6254.1622129.21506050771.54210.40.63.55.31.54
SPJonathon Niese*75.5833.7819112.01204737861.4029.61.13.06.92.32
SPR.A. Dickey74.6362.361599.0892628641.1828.10.52.55.82.29
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/5/2010.

Mike Pelfrey now ranks last among our top four starters in ERA, WHIP, Walks, H/9, SO/9, BB/9, and SO/BB.

Surprisingly, R.A. Dickey leads all Mets starters in ERA, Winning Pct., WHIP, and just about every other category including the best walk rate.

You know things aren’t going very well when the knuckleballer has a better SO/BB ratio and the lowest BB/9 rate of any of your other pitchers. I’m looking at you Dan Warthen.

One more important thing to note about Pelfrey is that he now has a higher 1.541 WHIP this season, than he did in 2009 when he finished with a 1.512 WHIP. He is in fact performing worse this season than last year’s awful season in which he regressed tremendously.

Mike Pelfrey will be up for arbitration after this season, and with his agent Scott Boras calling the shots, it will be interesting to see if he and the Mets settle on a figure (highly unlikely), or if they fight it out in arbitration. Either way, he will be paid handsomely and will easily quadruple his current salary.

Finally, R.A. Dickey will be a free agent after this season. It might be time to offer him an extension before he gets thrown to the wolves.

About the Author ()

I'm a lifelong Mets fan who loves writing and talking about the Amazins' 24/7. From the Miracle in 1969 to the magic of 1986, and even the near misses in '73 and '00, I've experienced it all - the highs and the lows. I started Mets Merized Online in 2005 to feed my addiction and interact with other passionate Met fans like you. Follow me on Twitter @metsmerized.

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