Spring Training Battles – Odds To Make The Final Cut

An article by posted on March 22, 2010

As the Mets round the final turn and race down the stretch and toward the finish line, let’s take a look at which players will be standing in the winners circle come April 3rd. Remember, many leads are always lost as the pack tightens up near the finish line, but here’s how I see it now.

The Hitters

80:1 – Ike Davis is still a long shot despite the solid spring.
75:1 – Chris Coste will be too busy tutoring Josh Thole in Buffalo.
70:1 – Fernando Martinez might have a better chance than Ike, but still very unlikely even with his 1.364 OPS.
60:1 – Russ Adams will look great in his new Bisons duds.
50:1 – Omir Santos hopes Mets go with 3 catchers, but odds are he becomes catcher #3 in Buffalo.
40:1 – Frank Catalanotto is fading fast even though he looked like a favorite on March 1st.
20:1 – Chris Carter was a longshot going in, but his odds keep improving and it might end up a photo finish.
10:1 – Mike Jacobs is starting to make Daniel Murphy very nervous…
7:1 – Daniel Murphy continues to make Mike Jacobs very nervous…
5:1 – Fernando Tatis shouldn’t be here… See what happens when you give scrubs guaranteed contracts?
2:1 – Ruben Tejada will make the team barring a miraculous return be Jose Reyes before Opening Day.
1:1 – Gary Matthews Jr. will be feasting on Shake Shack burgers come Opening Day.
8:5 – Alex Cora you lucky dog, welcome back to Citi Field and bring both your thumbs with you.

The Pitchers

75:1 – Kelvim Escobar – He may pitch again this week, but his odds of making the cut are practically nil.
50:1 – Pat Misch is making it hard for the Mets to cut him, but I think they will.
50:1 – Elmer Dessens will stay put in Buffalo and won’t be seen unless the sky is falling in Queens.
40:1 – Jenrry Mejia showed some immaturity his last time on the mound and his odds to make it rise a little.
30:1 – Fernando Nieve isn’t having a solid spring, but Mets still reluctant to cut and lose him.
25:1 – Bobby Parnell might be throwing his heater in the frigid air of Buffalo unless he steps it up.
15:1 – Jon Niese isn’t making many friends with his 7.00+ ERA and he’ll soon find out that spring stats do count.
12:1 – Sean Green shouldn’t be so sure he’s nailed a spot in the bullpen. I’m thinking he might be left out.
10:1 – Ryota Igarashi was supposed to be a lock to make it, but I’m not betting on it right now.
10:1 – Nelson Figueroa is never too far away, unless the Mets DFA him which will prompt Figgy to play for Japan.
8:1 – Kiko Calero is someone Omar is very high on. He still has to prove his arm is healthy.
3:1 – Hiasanori Takahashi is already scoping out Sushi Bars in the Flushing area.

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I'm a lifelong Mets fan who loves writing and talking about the Amazins' 24/7. From the Miracle in 1969 to the magic of 1986, and even the near misses in '73 and '00, I've experienced it all - the highs and the lows. I started Mets Merized Online in 2005 to feed my addiction and interact with other passionate Met fans like you. Follow me on Twitter @metsmerized.

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