PECOTA Projections From BP

An article by posted on January 29, 2010

The folks over at Baseball Prospectus just published their 2010 projected standings. For the life of me, I’ll never understand this whole scientific approach to these things. Last season, as I do every season, I posted my own projections and got 4 out of 6 first place teams right, and my system is no better than throwing darts! Anyhow, here’s their take on the NL East…

1. Philadelphia Phillies 88-74
2. Atlanta Braves 85-77
3. Washington Nationals 82-80
4. New York Mets 77-85
5. Florida Marlins 76-86

Wow, they have the Nationals finishing ahead of us and the Mets closer to last place (one game) than third place (five games).

In all fairness, these projections were probably prepared before the news broke that the Mets have re-signed Fernando Tatis. No word on whether there will an updated version released.

On the positive side for Yankees haters like myself, they have the Bronx Bombers finishing third despite all of their significant upgrades, and the Rays finishing in first place. In fact they have the Rays winning more games (96) than any other MLB team. Did I miss something this off season?

I have a feeling that someday I’m actually gonna get all this advanced metrics stuff, and that I’ll look back at my former self and shake my head in disbelief… Nah, probably not.

Anyway, you can check out their complete standings here.

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I'm a lifelong Mets fan who loves writing and talking about the Amazins' 24/7. From the Miracle in 1969 to the magic of 1986, and even the near misses in '73 and '00, I've experienced it all - the highs and the lows. I started Mets Merized Online in 2005 to feed my addiction and interact with other passionate Met fans like you. Follow me on Twitter @metsmerized.

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