NL East Report

An article by posted on September 4, 2009

Atlanta Braves: (4-6; -8.5)

The Atlanta Braves split a four-game series with the Florida Marlins, and will open a three game series against the Cincinnati Reds this weekend. The Danville Braves of the Appalachian League won the championship, and the Gwinnett Braves (AAA) are in prime position to make the playoffs, as they could clinch the Wild Card this weekend.

Florida Marlins: (5-5; -8.5)

The Florida Marlins took split with the Braves, and will head to Washington for a weekend series. The more interesting storyline of the week is the argument between Dan Uggla and Hanley Ramirez. Ramirez felt pain below his right knee and came out of the game, and later Uggla accused Hanley of not playing hard because he has a guaranteed $70 million contract. They made peace later to the media. Although this is a difficult argument for Uggla to make, as Hanley is leading the NL in batting and he may be the only reason the team is above.500; although it may just be frustration at not being as good as the team should be.

Philadelphia Phillies: (6-4; Leader)

The Philadelphia Phillies took two of three from the San Francisco Giants, and will travel to Houston to play the Astros. The Phillies took the first game against the Giants 1-0 when Cole Hamels outdueled Jonathan Sanchez, then lost to Brad Penny on Wednesday, before Pedro Martinez beat Tim Lincecum on Thursday.

Washington Nationals: (2-8; -32.5)

The Washington Nationals were swept by the San Diego Padres, and will come home to face the Florida Marlins. The Nationals lead the Bryce Harper sweepstakes by 5 games over the Kansas City Royals. The Mets are 6 games back of the 3rd pick.

Weekly Stat: Pythagorean Win-Loss is an estimation stat that uses Runs Scored (RS) and Runs Allowed (RA) to gauge how much a team is expected to win. Now, usually it is close, but not always. When expected W-L (X W-L) doesn’t match real life W-L , we call that Luck. Here’s what the numbers have to say for the division:

TeamRSRAReal W-LX W-LLuckFinish
Philadelphia Phillies

668

568

77-5476-55+195-67
Atlanta Braves

610

547

70-6474-60-486-76
Florida Marlins

634

641

70-6466-68+484-78
New York Mets

565

629

60-7460-74+/- 073-89
Washington  Nationals

599

726

46-8854-80-857-105

The Mets expected finish puts them in line for the 8th pick. The Nationals have had terrible luck, and Marlins have benefitted the most from luck.

Till Next Time

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